Odds overview
Juventus are clear favourites: an away win is available at around 1.68, compared with 3.75 for a draw and 5.40 for a Genoa win. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals is quoted at 1.75 against 2.10 for Over 2.5 goals. Juventus have a clear advantage in the handicap markets: Juventus (0) are at 1.25, while Genoa (0) are at 3.65.
Why Juventus are favourites
The bookmakers make Juventus clear favourites: a Juventus win is offered at 1.68, a draw at 3.75 and a Genoa win at 5.40.
• Under Luciano Spalletti, Juventus sit 7th in the table with 14 points after 8 rounds, and have the edge over their opponents in quality and overall consistency.
• Juventus allow very little danger defensively: their opponents' xG stands at 0.54, the best figure in the league.
• The contrast matters for the goals market: the visitors defend reliably, while Genoa's attacking potential remains limited, pointing towards a low-scoring match.
Form and Line-up Genoa
Daniele De Rossi's Genoa beat Venezia 1:0 at home in Matchday 8 thanks to a goal from Mikael Egill Ellertsson. They had previously beaten Fiorentina (2:1) but lost away to AS Roma (0:2).
The hosts are having considerable trouble in attack: their average of 0.75 goals per game is among the lowest in Serie A. Genoa will find it difficult to score freely against opponents who organise their defence well.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 9 of Genoa's last 10 Serie A home matches.
- Genoa committed fewer than 12.5 fouls in all 10 of their last 10 Serie A home matches.
- Genoa received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 Serie A home matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Justin Bijlow, Sebastian Otoa, Leo Østigård, Johan Vásquez, Seydou Fini, Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Hamed Junior Traorè, Mario Mitaj, Junior Messias, Stephan El Shaarawy, Milutin Osmajić
Hamed Junior Traorè and Tommaso Baldanzi returned to full training with Genoa before the previous round. Kingsley Ehizibue remains a doubt.
Form and Line-up Juventus
Juventus beat Lecce 2:0 away in the last league round, with Weston McKennie and Douglas Luiz scoring. That victory followed a 0:3 home defeat to Lazio and a 2:2 draw with Rennes in the UEFA Europa League.
- Juventus received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in all 10 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- There were more than 23.5 shot attempts in 8 of Juventus's last 10 away matches in Serie A.
- There were fewer than 25.5 fouls in 8 of Juventus's last 10 away matches in Serie A.
Probable line-up (3-4-1-2): Guglielmo Vicario, Federico Gatti, Bremer, Jhon Lucumí, Pierre Kalulu, Douglas Luiz, Teun Koopmeiners, Andrea Cambiaso, Weston McKennie, Nick Woltemade, Randal Kolo Muani
Zeki Çelik and Nico González are injury doubts for Juventus, and the club have not specified when they will return.
The teams' chances
A Juventus win has average odds of 1.68, fair odds of 1.76 and a probability of 56.8%. For a draw, the figures are 3.75, 3.93 and 25.5%; for a Genoa win, they are 5.40, 5.65 and 17.7%, respectively.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa win | 5.40 | 5.65 | 17.7% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.93 | 25.5% |
| Juventus win | 1.68 | 1.76 | 56.8% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.75 and Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. At the 2-goal mark, Over 2 goals is more favoured at 1.53, compared with 2.45 for Under 2 goals. At 3.5, Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.27 and Over 3.5 goals at 3.40.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.10 |
| 2 | 2.45 | 1.53 |
| 3.5 | 1.27 | 3.40 |
Handicap betting
Juventus (-1.5) are quoted at 2.85, while Genoa (+1.5) are at 1.37. At the 1-goal line, Juventus (-1) are available at 2.20 and Genoa (+1) at 1.67. With a zero handicap, Juventus (0) at 1.25 are considerably shorter than Genoa (0) at 3.65.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.85 | |
| 1.37 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 2.20 | |
| 1.67 | 1 | |
| 3.65 | 0 | 1.25 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score – No is available at 1.75 and is favoured over Both teams to score – Yes at 2.05: the expectation is that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.05 |
| No | 1.75 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
23/20
|
29/100
|
7/50
|
| 888sport |
11/10
|
1/4
|
17/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Genoa — 0.5 goals; Juventus — 1.5 goals.
Genoa team total goals
For Genoa's team total, Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.70 against 2.08 for Under 0.5 goals. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is quoted at 1.38 and Over 1 goal at 2.80; at 1.5, Under 1.5 goals is available at 1.18 and Over 1.5 goals at 4.05.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.08 | 0.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.38 | 1 | 2.80 |
| 1.18 | 1.5 | 4.05 |
Juventus team total goals
For Juventus's team total, Over 0.5 goals is quoted at 1.15 against 4.50 for Under 0.5 goals. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is at 1.30 and Under 1 goal at 3.30; at 1.5, the odds are close — 1.85 for Over 1.5 goals and 1.90 for Under 1.5 goals. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is available at 1.40 and Over 2 goals at 2.70.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.50 | 0.5 | 1.15 |
| 3.30 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.90 | 1.5 | 1.85 |
| 1.40 | 2 | 2.70 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Daniele Doveri (Italy)
Matches – 22 (Serie A, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.3;
Matches with a red card – 1 of 22;
Matches with a penalty – 3 of 22.
