Match stats

Logo Genoa Logo Lecce
44 Ball possession (%) 56
8 Goal attempts 15
2 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked shots 8

Genoa vs Lecce: prediction & betting odds 14 March 2025

The Matchday 29 clash in Serie A between Genoa and Lecce will take place on March 14 at the Luigi Ferraris Stadium. Genoa vs. Lecce: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Genoa

The Genoese have drawn their last two matches in the Italian championship with identical 1-1 scores. Notably, they are among the most draw-prone teams this Serie A season, with 11 draws, second only to Juventus (13). The club has failed to win 5 of their last 6 matches in the top Italian league (3 draws, 2 losses), conceding exactly one goal in each of the last three. In the Serie A standings, Genoa is in 12th place, with a 10-point cushion above the relegation zone.

  • No more than 2 goals have been scored in the club's last 5 league matches.
  • At home, the Genoese are unbeaten in 4 Serie A matches (3 clean-sheet wins and 1 draw).
  • The team's home scoring streak in this tournament stands at 5 matches.

Predicted lineup for Genoa (4-5-1)

Nikola Leali – Aaron Martin Caricol, Johan Vasquez, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Koni De Winter – Morten Frendrup, Milan Badelj, Jeff Eghator, Fabio Miretti, Maxwel Cornet – Caleb Ekuban.

Lecce

The club suffered their third consecutive defeat in the Italian championship, losing 2-3 to AC Milan in the previous round. Their winless streak in this tournament has now extended to 5 matches (2 draws, 3 losses). It's important to note that Lecce is the lowest-scoring team this Serie A season, with only 20 goals. In the league standings, Marco Giampaolo's side is in 16th place, just 3 points above the relegation zone. Additionally, the first-round match between the upcoming opponents ended in a goalless draw.

Predicted lineup for Lecce (4-5-1)

  • Vladimiro Falcone – Antonino Gallo, Federico Baschirotto, Gaby Jean, Frederic Guilbert – Lassana Coulibaly, Medon Berisha, Tete Morente, Thorir Helgason, Santiago Pierotti – Nikola Krstovic.

Genoa vs. Lecce: Match Prediction

The upcoming match is unlikely to feature a vibrant game with plenty of goals. On the contrary, I expect no more than 2 goals in this match. Both teams' attacks are among the weakest in the league, with the visitors leading the ranking of the lowest-scoring teams this Serie A season. The hosts are not far behind Lecce, having scored only 26 times in the current championship. Furthermore, no more than 2 goals have been scored in Genoa's last 5 Serie A matches and in 4 of Lecce's last 5 matches in this tournament.

I also expect the Genoese club to earn points in this game. At home, Genoa is very resilient, having not lost in 7 of their last 8 league matches (3 wins, 4 draws). Lecce, on the other hand, has failed to win 13 of their last 16 away matches in the top Italian league (4 draws, 9 losses).

Therefore, my prediction: 1X + Total under 2.5 goals

Betting tips 14 March 2025

Both Genoa and Lecce have undergone managerial changes this season, yet both clubs remain above the relegation zone. This encounter in Genoa is unlikely to be a possession-heavy affair, as both teams thrive in counter-attacking football rather than controlling the game.

Despite clear improvements under Patrick Vieira, Genoa’s form has dipped, managing just one win in their last six Serie A matches. Their main issue has been poor finishing, scoring only six goals from 7.05 xG in that period. However, their defensive solidity remains intact, conceding just 4.90 xGA, a record bettered by only three teams in the league. Five of their last five matches have gone under 2.5 goals, and Genoa also boast the lowest goal average in Serie A (2.2 per game).

Before last week’s 2:3 defeat to AC Milan, Lecce had played four consecutive low-scoring matches, featuring two or fewer goals. The loss to Milan marked their first goals since late January, as they had failed to score in four straight games against Bologna, Monza (both 0:0), Udinese, and Fiorentina (both 0:1). Lecce also rank among the worst sides in terms of chance conversion, underperforming their xG by over seven goals.

The reverse fixture in January ended in a dull 0:0 draw, and the trend towards low-scoring matches should continue in Genoa. Both teams struggle in front of goal but remain relatively solid at the back.

Betting prediction
Total Under 2.5
Cf
Odds
13/25
Bet now

Genoa vs Lecce Odds

Serie A: previous matches in the tournament

Genoa
07.03.25
Cagliari
Genoa
D
02.03.25
Genoa
Empoli
D
22.02.25
Inter Milan
Genoa
L
17.02.25
Genoa
Venezia
W
08.02.25
Torino
Genoa
D
02.02.25
Fiorentina
Genoa
L
27.01.25
Genoa
Monza
W
17.01.25
AS Roma
Genoa
L
12.01.25
Genoa
Parma
W
05.01.25
Lecce
Genoa
D
28.12.24
Empoli
Genoa
W
21.12.24
Genoa
Napoli
L
15.12.24
AC Milan
Genoa
D
07.12.24
Genoa
Torino
D
01.12.24
Udinese
Genoa
W
24.11.24
Genoa
Cagliari
D
07.11.24
Genoa
Como
D
04.11.24
Parma
Genoa
W
31.10.24
Genoa
Fiorentina
L
27.10.24
Lazio
Genoa
L
19.10.24
Genoa
Bologna
D
05.10.24
Atalanta
Genoa
L
28.09.24
Genoa
Juventus
L
21.09.24
Venezia
Genoa
L
15.09.24
Genoa
AS Roma
D
01.09.24
Genoa
Hellas Verona
L
24.08.24
Monza
Genoa
W
17.08.24
Genoa
Inter Milan
D
More matches
Lecce
08.03.25
Lecce
AC Milan
L
28.02.25
Fiorentina
Lecce
L
21.02.25
Lecce
Udinese
L
16.02.25
Monza
Lecce
D
09.02.25
Lecce
Bologna
D
31.01.25
Parma
Lecce
W
26.01.25
Lecce
Inter Milan
L
19.01.25
Cagliari
Lecce
L
11.01.25
Empoli
Lecce
W
05.01.25
Lecce
Genoa
D
30.12.24
Como
Lecce
L
21.12.24
Lecce
Lazio
L
15.12.24
Lecce
Monza
W
07.12.24
AS Roma
Lecce
L
01.12.24
Lecce
Juventus
D
25.11.24
Venezia
Lecce
W
08.11.24
Lecce
Empoli
D
02.11.24
Bologna
Lecce
L
29.10.24
Lecce
Hellas Verona
W
26.10.24
Napoli
Lecce
L
20.10.24
Lecce
Fiorentina
L
05.10.24
Udinese
Lecce
L
27.09.24
AC Milan
Lecce
L
21.09.24
Lecce
Parma
D
15.09.24
Torino
Lecce
D
31.08.24
Lecce
Cagliari
W
24.08.24
Inter Milan
Lecce
L
19.08.24
Lecce
Atalanta
L
More matches

H2H: Genoa — Lecce

Serie A 2024-2025
05.01.25
Lecce
Genoa
Serie A 2023-2024
28.01.24
Genoa
Lecce
22.09.23
Lecce
Genoa
Serie A 2019-2020
19.07.20
Genoa
Lecce
08.12.19
Lecce
Genoa
Serie A 2011-2012
04.03.12
Lecce
Genoa
2
:
2
16.10.11
Genoa
Lecce
0
:
0
Serie A 2010-2011
23.04.11
Genoa
Lecce
4
:
2
05.12.10
Lecce
Genoa
1
:
3
Serie A 2008-2009
31.05.09
Genoa
Lecce
4
:
1
18.01.09
Lecce
Genoa
0
:
2
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Napoli
37 23 10 4 57:27 79
2
Inter Milan
37 23 9 5 77:35 78
3
Atalanta
37 22 8 7 76:34 74
4
Juventus
37 17 16 4 55:33 67
5
AS Roma
37 19 9 9 54:35 66
6
Lazio
37 18 11 8 61:48 65
7
Fiorentina
37 18 8 11 57:39 62
8
Bologna
37 16 14 7 56:44 62
9
AC Milan
37 17 9 11 59:43 60
10
Como
37 13 10 14 49:50 49
11
Torino
37 10 14 13 39:43 44
12
Udinese
37 12 8 17 39:53 44
13
Genoa
37 9 13 15 34:48 40
14
Cagliari
37 9 9 19 40:54 36
15
Hellas Verona
37 9 7 21 32:65 34
16
Parma
37 6 15 16 41:56 33
17
Lecce
37 7 10 20 26:58 31
18
Empoli
37 6 13 18 32:57 31
19
Venezia
37 5 14 18 30:53 29
20
Monza
37 3 9 25 28:67 18
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Inter Milan
19 13 4 2 40:21 43
2
Napoli
18 13 3 2 30:13 42
3
AS Roma
19 13 2 4 37:15 41
4
Juventus
19 11 7 1 31:15 40
5
Fiorentina
19 12 4 3 32:18 40
6
Bologna
18 10 7 1 32:15 37
7
Atalanta
18 9 5 4 34:21 32
8
AC Milan
18 8 7 3 28:16 31
9
Lazio
18 7 9 2 33:25 30
10
Como
18 8 5 5 28:24 29
11
Torino
18 6 7 5 17:16 25
12
Udinese
18 7 3 8 20:24 24
13
Cagliari
19 6 4 9 24:28 22
14
Genoa
19 5 7 7 21:25 22
15
Parma
19 5 6 8 25:28 21
16
Venezia
18 5 5 8 15:19 20
17
Lecce
19 4 6 9 13:31 18
18
Hellas Verona
19 4 5 10 15:36 17
19
Empoli
18 2 7 9 9:24 13
20
Monza
19 1 5 13 13:31 8
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Atalanta
19 13 3 3 42:13 42
2
Napoli
19 10 7 2 27:14 37
3
Inter Milan
18 10 5 3 37:14 35
4
Lazio
19 11 2 6 28:23 35
5
AC Milan
19 9 2 8 31:27 29
6
Juventus
18 6 9 3 24:18 27
7
AS Roma
18 6 7 5 17:20 25
8
Bologna
19 6 7 6 24:29 25
9
Fiorentina
18 6 4 8 25:21 22
10
Como
19 5 5 9 21:26 20
11
Udinese
19 5 5 9 19:29 20
12
Torino
19 4 7 8 22:27 19
13
Empoli
19 4 6 9 23:33 18
14
Genoa
18 4 6 8 13:23 18
15
Hellas Verona
18 5 2 11 17:29 17
16
Cagliari
18 3 5 10 16:26 14
17
Lecce
18 3 4 11 13:27 13
18
Parma
18 1 9 8 16:28 12
19
Monza
18 2 4 12 15:36 10
20
Venezia
19 0 9 10 15:34 9

Team lineups

Genoa

P. Vieira
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Nicola Leali
gk. 21 -21
Aaron Martin
df. 27 0
Johan Vásquez
df. 27 2
Stefano Sabelli
df. 24 0
Alessandro Zanoli
df. 23 0
Koni De Winter
df. 16 3
Morten Frendrup
mf. 27 2
Fabio Miretti
mf. 22 1
Patrizio Masini
mf. 16 1
Ruslan Malinovskyi
mf. 6 0
Andrea Pinamonti
fw. 27 8
Substitutes
Benjamin Siegrist
gk. 0 0
Daniele Sommariva
gk. 0 0
Alan Agustín Matturro Romero
df. 10 0
Brooke Dion Nelson Norton-Cuffy
df. 7 0
Matteo Barbini
df. 0 0
Milan Badelj
mf. 21 1
Jean Emile Junior Onana Onana
mf. 3 0
Filippo Carbone
mf. 0 0
Jeff Ekhator Osayuki
fw. 19 1
Lorenzo Venturino
fw. 2 0
Joi Xheto Nuredini
fw. 0 0
Lysandros Andreas Papastylianou
fw. 0 0
Lecce

M. Giampaolo
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Wladimiro Falcone
gk. 28 -46
Federico Baschirotto
df. 28 0
Frédéric Guilbert
df. 23 0
Antonino Gallo
df. 21 0
Gaby Jean
df. 17 0
Lassana Coulibaly
mf. 28 0
Þórir Jóhann Helgason
mf. 11 0
Medon Berisha
mf. 10 0
Nikola Krstović
fw. 28 9
Santiago Daniel Pierotti
fw. 26 4
Tete Morente
fw. 24 3
Substitutes
Christian Früchtl
gk. 0 0
Jasper Lauri Petteri Samooja
gk. 0 0
Esmevânio Kialonda Gaspar
df. 15 0
Danilo Filipe de Melo Veiga
df. 4 0
Tiago Gabriel Coelho Oliveira
df. 0 0
Ylber Ramadani
mf. 23 0
Hamza Rafia
mf. 18 0
Mohamed Kaba
mf. 9 0
Ante Rebić
fw. 22 1
Jesper Karlsson
fw. 8 0
Konan Ignace Jocelyn N’Dri
fw. 3 0
Rareş Cătălin Burnete
fw. 2 0

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Andy H
Andy H
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