Odds overview
Borussia Dortmund are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.38, compared with 5.40 for a draw and 7.40 for a Werder Bremen win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.40 is much shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.75. Werder Bremen (+1.5) at 1.87 is slightly shorter than Borussia Dortmund (-1.5) at 1.93.
Why Borussia Dortmund are favourites
Bookmakers give Borussia Dortmund a clear advantage: a home win is quoted at 1.38, while Werder Bremen are available at 7.40 and a draw at 5.40.
- Borussia Dortmund have won eight of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- Werder Bremen have gone five away matches without a win and have scored no more than one goal in nine of their last 10 away league games.
- Borussia Dortmund have gone seven consecutive meetings with Werder Bremen without defeat.
Form and Line-up Borussia Dortmund
After losing 1:2 to Bayern Munich in the German Super Cup, Borussia Dortmund made a confident start to the new Bundesliga season — four straight wins with a 9:2 goal difference. Serhou Guirassy has again been the key player. The Guinean has recorded two goals and two assists in the Bundesliga. Between league fixtures, Borussia Dortmund also beat Hamburg 5:0 in the DFB-Pokal and Villarreal 3:2 in the UEFA Champions League.
Key numbers:
- Borussia Dortmund have not lost the corners count in any of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- There have been fewer than 4.5 cards in eight of Borussia Dortmund's last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- There have been more than 2.5 offsides in eight of Borussia Dortmund's last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
Probable Borussia Dortmund line-up (3-4-2-1): Gregor Kobel, Joane Gadou, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Julian Ryerson, Joey Veerman, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Konstantinos Karetsas, Maximilian Beier, Serhou Guirassy.
Absentees: Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, Mussa Kaba, Filippo Mane, Giannis Konstantelias, Justin Lerma (all injured).
Form and Line-up Werder Bremen
After an opening defeat to Freiburg (1:4), Werder Bremen produced some impressive spells at home, beating RB Leipzig 3:1 and Augsburg 3:2, and also drew 1:1 away to Cologne. Niclas Füllkrug was particularly impressive, scoring in each of the last three Bundesliga matches. But disaster struck during the international break — Werder Bremen lost a friendly against Twente 0:7, despite fielding a side made up of around half their first-choice players.
Key numbers:
- Werder Bremen have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in nine of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- Werder Bremen have not lost the offsides count in nine of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- There have been fewer than 10.5 shots on target in eight of Werder Bremen's last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
Probable Werder Bremen line-up (4-2-3-1): Karl Hein, Arthur, Amos Pieper, Marco Friedl, Olivier Deman, Youri Regeer, Ludovit Reis, Eren Dinkçi, Chuki, Marco Grüll, Niclas Füllkrug.
Absentees: Felix Agu, Salim Musah, Skelly Alvero, Moussa N'Diaye, Justin Njinmah, Jens Stage, Keke Topp (all injured); Karl Hein, Senne Lynen (both doubtful).
The teams' chances
Borussia Dortmund to win is quoted at 1.38, with fair odds of 1.44 and a probability of 69.3%. For the draw, the corresponding figures are 5.40, 5.64 and 17.7%; for a Werder Bremen win, they are 7.40, 7.73 and 12.9%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund win | 1.38 | 1.44 | 69.3% |
| Draw | 5.40 | 5.64 | 17.7% |
| Werder Bremen win | 7.40 | 7.73 | 12.9% |
Total goals prediction
Over 2.5 goals at 1.40 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.75. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is favoured at 1.80, compared with 2.00 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.75 | 1.40 |
| 3.5 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
Handicap prediction
Borussia Dortmund (-1.5) are available at 1.93 and Werder Bremen (+1.5) at 1.87. At a one-goal handicap, Borussia Dortmund (-1) are quoted at 1.53 and Werder Bremen (+1) at 2.45. With a handicap of 0, Borussia Dortmund (0) at 1.12 are considerably shorter than Werder Bremen (0) at 5.10.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.93 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.87 | |
| 1.53 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.45 | |
| 1.12 | 0 | 5.10 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.65 is favoured over Both teams to score — No at 2.20: the latter requires at least one team to fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.65 |
| No | 2.20 |
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team total goals lines for this match: Borussia Dortmund — 2.5 goals; Werder Bremen — 0.5 goals.
Borussia Dortmund team total goals
For Borussia Dortmund's team total, Over 2 goals at 1.55 is shorter than Under 2 goals at 2.35. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is quoted at 1.70 and Over 2.5 goals at 2.10; at the three-goal line, Under 3 goals is 1.38 and Over 3 goals is 2.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 2 | 1.55 |
| 1.70 | 2.5 | 2.10 |
| 1.38 | 3 | 2.80 |
Werder Bremen team total goals
For Werder Bremen's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.55 is shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.35. At the one-goal line, Under 1 goal is quoted at 1.53 and Over 1 goal at 2.40; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is 1.25 and Over 1.5 goals is 3.60.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.53 | 1 | 2.40 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.60 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Christian Dingert (Germany)
Matches — 12 (Bundesliga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.6;
Matches with a red card — 2 out of 12;
Matches with a penalty — 1 out of 12.
