Odds overview
Genoa CFC are favourites to win at 2.12, while a draw is available at around 3.30 and a Venezia win at 3.70. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 is slightly favoured over Over 2.5 at 1.95. For the handicap (0) market, Genoa CFC at 1.50 are clear favourites over Venezia at 2.55.
Why Genoa CFC are favourites
Bookmakers offer odds of 2.12 for a Genoa CFC win, 3.30 for a draw and 3.70 for a Venezia win.
- Ahead of the eighth round of Serie A, Genoa CFC are 17th in the table with 4 points, holding a narrow lead over the relegation zone.
- Venezia have struggled away from home: they have not won any of their last 10 away matches in the Italian league.
Form and Line-up Genoa CFC
Genoa CFC lost 0:2 away to AS Roma in the previous round. At home, though, they try to play with maximum discipline: they have not committed more than 12.5 fouls in any of their last 10 home Serie A matches.
Their restrained defensive approach is also reflected in their low booking count: the hosts received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home league matches.
- Under 3.5 goals has occurred in 9 of Genoa CFC's last 10 home Serie A matches.
- The Under 3.5 goals bet has won in 3 of Genoa CFC's 4 home matches in the 2026/27 season.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Justin Bijlow, Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Østigård, Johan Vásquez, Mikael Ellertsson, Samuel Wiafe, Morten Frendrup, David Puczka, Junior Messias, Stephan El Shaarawy, Milutin Osmajić.
Form and Line-up Venezia
Venezia beat Napoli 1:0 in their first match under Davide Nicola, thanks to a goal from Akor Adams and several saves by Filip Stanković. The statistics also show the strain on the visitors' defence: Venezia's opponents create an average of 2.34 xG per round.
- Venezia have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 away Serie A matches.
- Venezia have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 away league matches.
Probable line-up (3-5-2): Filip Stanković, Redouane Halhal, Matías Moreno, Juan Jesus, Antoine Hainaut, Kike Pérez, Toma Bašić, Simon Sohm, Ridgeciano Haps, John Yeboah, Akor Adams.
The teams' chances
A Genoa CFC win is offered at 2.12, with fair odds of 2.22 and a 45.1% probability. A draw is available at 3.30, with fair odds of 3.45 and a 29% probability; the corresponding figures for a Venezia win are 3.70, 3.87 and 25.9%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa CFC win | 2.12 | 2.22 | 45.1% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.45 | 29.0% |
| Venezia win | 3.70 | 3.87 | 25.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is shorter at 1.85 than Over 2.5 at 1.95. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 is favoured at 1.32, against 3.10 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 3.5 | 1.32 | 3.10 |
Handicap prediction
Genoa CFC (-1.5) are offered at 3.90, shorter than Venezia (-1.5) at 6.60. At the +1.5 line, Genoa CFC (+1.5) are available at 1.06 and Venezia (+1.5) at 1.20. For the -1 line, the odds are 3.10 for Genoa CFC (-1) and 5.80 for Venezia (-1); for the +1 line, they are 1.09 and 1.32 respectively. At the zero-handicap line, Genoa CFC (0) are shorter at 1.50 than Venezia (0) at 2.55.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.90 | -1.5 | 6.60 |
| 1.06 | 1.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.10 | -1 | 5.80 |
| 1.09 | 1 | 1.32 |
| 1.50 | 0 | 2.55 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.73 is shorter than Both teams to score — No at 2.05: the latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.73 |
| No | 2.05 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
29/100
|
3/10
|
7/10
|
| 888sport |
29/100
|
3/10
|
3/4
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Genoa CFC — 1.5 goals; Venezia — 1 goal.
Genoa CFC team goals
For Genoa CFC team goals, Under 0.5 is offered at 3.95 and Over 0.5 at 1.20; at the 1-goal line, the respective odds are 2.65 and 1.43. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is shorter at 1.70 than Over 1.5 at 2.08, while at the 2-goal line the odds are 1.28 and 3.35 respectively.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.95 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.65 | 1 | 1.43 |
| 1.70 | 1.5 | 2.08 |
| 1.28 | 2 | 3.35 |
Venezia team goals
For Venezia team goals, Under 0.5 at 2.65 has longer odds than Over 0.5 at 1.42. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 1.80 is slightly favoured over Over 1 at 1.95, while at 1.5 goals Under 1.5 at 1.35 is much shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.95.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.42 |
| 1.80 | 1 | 1.95 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.95 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Simone Sozza (Italy)
Matches — 19 (Serie A, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.8;
Matches with a red card — 3 out of 19;
Matches with a penalty — 10 out of 19.
