Odds overview
Dinamo Zagreb are favourites: the away win is available at 1.95, compared with 3.70 for the home win, while the draw is quoted at 3.80. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is notably favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.20. In the Draw No Bet market, Dinamo Zagreb at 1.45 looks more likely than Hapoel Beer Sheva at 2.65.
Why Dinamo Zagreb are favourites
Bookmakers regard Dinamo Zagreb as favourites: a win for the Croatian club is quoted at 1.95 (around a 49% probability without margin). Hapoel Beer Sheva are available at 3.70 (25.8%), while the draw is 3.80 (25.2%).
- Dinamo Zagreb have kept two clean sheets in recent matches, beating Velika Gorica (1:0) in the league and thrashing Bedem Ivankovo (4:0) in the Croatian Cup.
- Hapoel Beer Sheva are vulnerable defensively, as shown by their heavy defeat to Maccabi Tel Aviv (1:4), while the difficult logistics of travelling to Bucharest complicate the Israeli side's preparations.
Form and Line-up Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel have made an uneven start to the domestic league: after a 2:2 draw with Hapoel Haifa, they won 2:0 away to Hapoel Petah Tikva. Earlier in Europe, the Israeli side lost to Azerbaijani club Sabah (2:3) in Champions League qualifying.
The team rarely show much attacking activity in European matches: in 9 of their last 10 home games in the competition, the Israeli side attempted no more than 13 shots, including blocked efforts.
- In 9 of their last 10 home Europa League matches, Hapoel Beer Sheva's opponents committed at least 11 fouls.
- In 9 of their last 10 Europa League matches, Hapoel Beer Sheva received at least two yellow cards.
- In 9 of their last 10 Europa League games, Hapoel Beer Sheva took no more than five corners.
Probable line-up: Ofir Marciano, Guy Mizrahi, Itay Rotman, Miguel Vitor, Pedro Amador, Lucas Ventura, Niv Yehoshua, Eliel Peretz, Amir Ganah, Javon East, Adrian Ugarriza.
Lucas Ventura's involvement has not been confirmed due to an injury sustained in early September. Eliel Peretz's red card applies only to the domestic league and does not prevent him from playing in the Europa League.
Form and Line-up Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo have been inconsistent away from home: the Croatian club lost to Viking (1:3) in Champions League qualifying and drew with Istra 1961 (2:2) in the domestic league. The coaching staff have noted the need to manage workloads, as several new signings have not yet reached full fitness.
The Croatian side are pragmatic in away European matches: in 9 of their last 10 away Europa League games, Dinamo Zagreb registered no more than five shots on target.
- In 9 of their last 10 away Europa League matches, Dinamo Zagreb received no more than two yellow cards.
- In 9 of their last 10 Europa League matches, Dinamo Zagreb took no more than five corners.
- In 9 of their last 10 away Europa League games, Dinamo Zagreb were caught offside no more than twice.
Probable Dinamo Zagreb line-up (4-1-4-1): Dominik Kotarski, Moris Valincic, Sergi Dominguez, Scott McKenna, Matteo Perez Vinlof, Josip Misic, Iker Almena, Luka Stojkovic, Miha Zajc, Arber Hoxha, Smail Prevljak.
The status of Bruno Goda and Dion Drena Beljo for the upcoming match remains uncertain: no medical update has been issued since they were unwell before the club's previous round.
Team chances
A Dinamo Zagreb win is available at 1.95; the fair odds are 2.04 and the probability is 49%. Hapoel Beer Sheva are 3.70 to win, with fair odds of 3.87 and a probability of 25.8%; the draw is 3.80, with fair odds of 3.98 and a probability of 25.2%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beer Sheva to win | 3.70 | 3.87 | 25.8% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.98 | 25.2% |
| Dinamo Zagreb to win | 1.95 | 2.04 | 49.0% |
Total goals prediction
For the 2.5-goal total, Over 2.5 at 1.65 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.20. The situation is reversed at the 3.5 line: Under 3.5 is 1.50 and Over 3.5 is 2.50.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
Handicap prediction
Hapoel Beer Sheva (-1.5) are quoted at 6.30, while Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5) are 3.15; at the 1.5 line, the odds are 1.30 for Hapoel Beer Sheva (+1.5) and 1.07 for Dinamo Zagreb (+1.5). Hapoel Beer Sheva (-1) are 5.60 against 2.65 for Dinamo Zagreb (-1), while Hapoel Beer Sheva (+1) are 1.50 against 1.09 for Dinamo Zagreb (+1). At the zero line, Dinamo Zagreb (0) at 1.45 are shorter than Hapoel Beer Sheva (0) at 2.65.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.30 | -1.5 | 3.15 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 1.07 |
| 5.60 | -1 | 2.65 |
| 1.50 | 1 | 1.09 |
| 2.65 | 0 | 1.45 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.60 and looks more likely than Both teams to score - No at 2.30, in which at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 |
| No | 2.30 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
19/20
|
1/4
|
11/50
|
| William Hill |
19/20
|
1/4
|
11/50
|
| 888sport |
19/20
|
29/100
|
11/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Hapoel Beer Sheva — 1 goal; Dinamo Zagreb — 1.5 goals.
Hapoel Beer Sheva team total
Hapoel Beer Sheva team total: Over 0.5 is available at 1.35, compared with 2.95 for Under 0.5; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 is 1.72 and Under 1 is 2.05. At the 1.5-goal total, Under 1.5 at 1.45 is favoured over Over 1.5 at 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.95 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.05 | 1 | 1.72 |
| 1.45 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Dinamo Zagreb team total
Dinamo Zagreb team total: Over 0.5 is quoted at 1.13 against 4.90 for Under 0.5, while Over 1 is 1.27 against 3.40 for Under 1. At the 1.5 line, the odds are close: Over 1.5 is 1.80 and Under 1.5 is 1.95. For the 2-goal total, Under 2 is 1.50 and Over 2 is 2.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.90 | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| 3.40 | 1 | 1.27 |
| 1.95 | 1.5 | 1.80 |
| 1.50 | 2 | 2.55 |
Who Will Referee the Match
John Brooks (England)
Matches — 9 (international matches, 2024–2026);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 4.7;
Matches with red cards — 0 out of 9;
Matches with penalties — 3 out of 9.
