Odds overview
Juventus are the 1X2 favourites: a home win is available at 2.08, the draw at 3.35 and an away win at 3.75. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. In the handicap market, Juventus Draw No Bet at 1.50 is considerably shorter than Milan Draw No Bet at 2.60.
Why Juventus are favourites for the match
Bookmakers favour Juventus: a home win is available at 2.08, the draw at 3.35 and a Milan win at 3.75.
Juventus have been performing convincingly in the league: the Turin side have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
Milan have not been particularly prolific away from home against opposing defences: in 9 of their last 10 away league matches, the Rossoneri have scored no more than once.
Form and Line-up Juventus
Juventus confidently came through their previous home Serie A fixture, beating Parma 2:0. At home, the team consistently control matches: in each of their last 10 home league games, the Turin side have not been outperformed by their opponents either in shots on target or total shots.
Key numbers:
Juventus have received no more than 2 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home Serie A matches.
Juventus' opponents have taken no more than 5 corners in their last 10 home matches.
In 8 of their last 10 home league matches, Juventus' opponents have committed no more than 12 fouls.
Probable Juventus line-up (4-2-3-1): Guglielmo Vicario — Zeki Celik — Bremer — Jhon Lucumi — Pierre Kalulu — Douglas Luiz — Manuel Locatelli — Jeremie Boga — Nico Gonzalez — Francisco Conceicao — Randal Kolo Muani.
Form and Line-up Milan
Milan beat Venezia 2:0 at home in their last match. Their away league games have, however, been played at a restrained tempo: in 9 of the team's last 10 away fixtures, they have taken no more than 10 corners.
Key numbers:
Milan have taken no more than 4 corners in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
In 8 of Milan's last 10 away Serie A matches, the two teams have registered no more than 24 shots in total.
Milan's opponents have received at least 2 yellow cards in 8 of the last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable Milan line-up (3-4-2-1): Mike Maignan — Strahinja Pavlovic — Koni De Winter — Mario Gila — Davide Bartesaghi — Yunus Musah — Luka Modric — Samuel Chukwueze — Adrien Rabiot — Alphadjo Cisse — Goncalo Ramos.
Team chances
A Juventus win is rated at 46.0%: odds of 2.08, with fair odds of 2.18. The draw is given a 28.5% chance at 3.35 and fair odds of 3.50, while a Milan win is rated at 25.5% at 3.75 and 3.92 respectively.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Juventus to win | 2.08 | 2.18 | 46.0% |
Draw | 3.35 | 3.50 | 28.5% |
Milan to win | 3.75 | 3.92 | 25.5% |
Total goals betting
For the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. For the 2-goal total, Over 2 goals at 1.53 is preferred to Under 2 goals at 2.40, while for 3.5, Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.27 compared with 3.40 for Over 3.5 goals.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
2 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
3.5 | 1.27 | 3.40 |
Handicap betting
Juventus (-1.5) are available at 3.80, while Milan (-1.5) are at 7.30. On the 1.5 handicap, Juventus (+1.5) are shorter at 1.05 compared with 1.22 for Milan (+1.5); on the -1 line, the odds are 3.00 and 6.40 respectively. Juventus (+1) at 1.07 are shorter than Milan (+1) at 1.35, while Juventus Draw No Bet at 1.50 is shorter than Milan Draw No Bet at 2.60.
Home | Handicap | Away |
3.80 | -1.5 | 7.30 |
1.05 | 1.5 | 1.22 |
3.00 | -1 | 6.40 |
1.07 | 1 | 1.35 |
1.50 | 0 | 2.60 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.85, slightly shorter than Both teams to score - No at 1.90. The latter option means that at least one team is expected not to score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.85 |
No | 1.90 |
Double chance betting
The shortest odds in the double chance market are for 1X at 1.30; 12 is available at 1.35, while X2 is at 1.77.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.30 | 1.35 | 1.77 |
Team total goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Juventus — 1.5 goals, Milan — 1 goal.
Juventus team total
Juventus team total: Under 0.5 goals at 3.90 is opposed by Over 0.5 goals at 1.20; on the 1-goal line, the odds are 2.65 and 1.45. For 1.5, Under 1.5 goals at 1.65 is shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.17, while on the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.25 is available against 3.60 for Over 2 goals.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.90 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
2.65 | 1 | 1.45 |
1.65 | 1.5 | 2.17 |
1.25 | 2 | 3.60 |
Milan team total
Milan team total: Under 0.5 goals at 2.55 is longer than Over 0.5 goals at 1.50. On the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal at 1.75 is shorter than Over 1 goal at 2.03, while on the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.30 is available against 3.15 for Over 1.5 goals.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.55 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
1.75 | 1 | 2.03 |
1.30 | 1.5 | 3.15 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Maurizio Mariani (Italy)
Matches — 15 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 3.8;
Matches with red cards — 1 of 15;
Matches with penalties — 6 of 15.
