Odds overview
Juventus are slight favourites: a home win is available at 2.15, while the draw and a Napoli win are quoted at around 3.40–3.45. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 looks slightly more likely than Over 2.5 goals at 1.95. For a handicap of 0, Juventus Draw No Bet at 1.55 is clearly favoured over Napoli Draw No Bet at 2.45.
Why Juventus are favourites
Bookmakers make Juventus narrow favourites: a home win is available at 2.15, the draw at 3.40 and a Napoli win at 3.45.
- Juventus have consistently avoided defeat, going unbeaten in 7 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Napoli have defended reliably away from home: their opponents scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of Napoli's last 10 away matches in Serie A.
Form and Line-up Juventus
On 28 October, Juventus visited Genoa and lost 0:2. Before that, on 22 October, they drew 2:2 at home to Rennes.
Juventus rarely concede many goals at home in Serie A: the visitors scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.
- Juventus scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- In 9 of Juventus's last 10 home matches in Serie A, both teams scored fewer than 3.5 goals.
Probable line-up: Guglielmo Vicario, Federico Gatti, Gleison Bremer, Jhon Lucumí, Pierre Kalulu, Douglas Luiz, Pape Matar Sarr, Andrea Cambiaso, Weston McKennie, Kerim Alajbegović, Randal Kolo Muani.
Juventus have Francisco Conceição, Khephren Thuram, Kamil Grabara, Zeki Celik, Nicolás González, Jeff Ekhator, Manuel Locatelli and Kenan Yıldız injured, while Arkadiusz Milik remains out of the squad by the coach's decision.
Form and Line-up Napoli
On 28 October, Napoli beat Monza 4:1 away from home. Earlier, on 20 October, they beat Bodø/Glimt 4:3.
Against Monza, Amir Rrahmani was substituted at half-time after a blow to the chest, while Stanislav Lobotka injured his ankle.
- Napoli scored at least one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Napoli were unbeaten in 7 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable line-up: Vanja Milinković-Savić, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Rafael Zamora, Mathias Olivera, Frank Anguissa, Scott McTominay, Matteo Politano, Rasmus Højlund, Noa Lang, Amir Rrahmani, Stanislav Lobotka.
Napoli will be without Costantino Favasuli, Leonardo Spinazzola, Alessandro Buongiorno, Benoît Badiashile, David Neres and Alisson Santos because of injuries.
Teams' chances
A Juventus win is offered at 2.15, with fair odds of 2.26 and a 44.3% probability. The draw is available at 3.40, with fair odds of 3.57 and a 28% probability; a Napoli win is at 3.45, with fair odds of 3.62 and a 27.6% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus win | 2.15 | 2.26 | 44.3% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.57 | 28.0% |
| Napoli win | 3.45 | 3.62 | 27.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 1.85 and Over 2.5 at 1.95, giving the lower total a slight edge. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 at 1.33 is considerably more likely than Over 3.5 at 3.05.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 3.5 | 1.33 | 3.05 |
Handicap prediction
Juventus (-1.5) are available at 3.70 and Napoli (-1.5) at 6.30. At the +1.5 handicap line, Juventus (+1.5) are offered at 1.07 and Napoli (+1.5) at 1.23. At the -1 line, Juventus (-1) are at 3.00 and Napoli (-1) at 5.60; at the +1 line, the respective odds are 1.10 and 1.35. Juventus (0) at 1.55 are favoured over Napoli (0) at 2.45.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.70 | -1.5 | 6.30 |
| 1.07 | 1.5 | 1.23 |
| 3.00 | -1 | 5.60 |
| 1.10 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.55 | 0 | 2.45 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.75 and looks more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.00, which requires at least one team to fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.75 |
| No | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
3/10
|
9/25
|
31/50
|
| 888sport |
33/100
|
3/10
|
61/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Juventus — 1.5 goals; Napoli — 1 goal.
Juventus team total goals
For Juventus, Under 0.5 goals is available at 4.20 and Over 0.5 at 1.20. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is offered at 2.70 and Over 1 at 1.40; at 1.5, Under 1.5 is at 1.70 and Over 1.5 at 2.08. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is quoted at 1.28 and Over 2 at 3.30.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.70 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.70 | 1.5 | 2.08 |
| 1.28 | 2 | 3.30 |
Napoli team total goals
For Napoli, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.75 and Over 0.5 at 1.40. At the 1-goal line, the odds are almost equal: Under 1 at 1.88 and Over 1 at 1.87. At 1.5, Under 1.5 is available at 1.37 and Over 1.5 at 2.85.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.88 | 1 | 1.87 |
| 1.37 | 1.5 | 2.85 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Simone Sozza (Italy)
Matches — 20 (Serie A, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 3.7;
Matches with a red card — 3 of 20;
Matches with a penalty — 10 of 20.
