Odds overview
Lazio are favourites, with a home win at around 1.60, a draw at 4.05 and a Monza win at 5.80. In the main 2.5-goal totals market, the odds are almost level: Over 2.5 is 1.87 against 1.93 for Under 2.5. Lazio with a handicap of 0 are at 1.20, well below Monza with a handicap of 0 at 4.00.
Why Lazio are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: a Lazio win is available at 1.60, a Monza win at 5.80 and a draw at 4.05.
- Lazio concede an average of 0.6 goals per match in Serie A — the second-best figure in the league.
- Monza concede an average of 2.4 goals per match — the second-worst figure in Serie A.
- Monza have lost three of their five matches and sit 16th in the table.
Form and Line-up Lazio
Lazio have won four of their five league matches and drawn the other. Gattuso's side have conceded just three goals in that run. During the international break, Lazio drew 3:3 with Juve Stabia in a friendly and beat Arezzo 2:0.
- Lazio have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- Lazio's opponents have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of Lazio's last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- Lazio have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 home matches in Serie A.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Christos Mandas, Romano Floriani Mussolini, Josip Šutalo, Oliver Provstgaard, Nuno Tavares, Davide Frattesi, Reda Belahyane, Kenneth Taylor, Gustav Isaksen, Tijjani Noslin, Mattia Zaccagni.
Unavailable: Alessio Furlanetto, Albert Guðmundsson and Luca Pellegrini (all injured); Danilo Cataldi, Adam Marušić and Nicolo Rovella (all doubtful).
Form and Line-up Monza
Monza have taken just four points from five Serie A matches, drawing with Parma and beating Sassuolo. The visitors have conceded 12 goals in that spell; only Venezia have fared worse, with 13. In a recent friendly against Brest, Monza snatched a late 2:2 draw, having previously lost 2:3 to Cremonese.
- There have been fewer than 10.5 corners in 9 of Monza's last 10 away matches in Serie A.
- Monza have attempted fewer than 12.5 shots, including blocked shots, in 8 of their last 10 away matches in Serie A.
- Monza's opponents have had more than 3.5 shots on target in 8 of Monza's last 10 away matches in Serie A.
Probable line-up (3-4-3): Noel Törnqvist, Eddy Kouadio, Lorenzo Lucchesi, Andrea Carboni, Samuele Birindelli, Michael Folorunsho, Ebenezer Akinsanmiro, Ricardo Mangas, Patrick Cutrone, Gustavo Varela, Jay Robinson.
Unavailable: Matteo Pessina and Jan Ziółkowski (both injured); Idrissa Touré (doubtful).
The teams' chances
A Lazio win is offered at 1.60, with fair odds of 1.67 and a probability of 59.8%. The draw is at 4.05, with fair odds of 4.23 and a probability of 23.6%; the corresponding figures for a Monza win are 5.80, 6.06 and 16.5%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio win | 1.60 | 1.67 | 59.8% |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.23 | 23.6% |
| Monza win | 5.80 | 6.06 | 16.5% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under is 1.93 and Over is 1.87, giving the Over a slight edge. At the 3.5-goal line, Under at 1.35 is a much stronger favourite than Over at 2.90.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.93 | 1.87 |
| 3.5 | 1.35 | 2.90 |
Handicap prediction
Lazio (-1.5) are at 2.60, while Monza (+1.5) are at 1.47. At the one-goal handicap, Lazio (-1) are at 2.00 and Monza (+1) at 1.80. Lazio (0) at 1.20 are at considerably shorter odds than Monza (0) at 4.00.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.47 | |
| 2.00 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.80 | |
| 1.20 | 0 | 4.00 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.85 and No at 1.90; the odds are almost level, with Yes marginally favoured.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.85 |
| No | 1.90 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/50
|
1/4
|
13/10
|
| 888sport |
7/50
|
1/4
|
13/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Lazio — 1.5 goals; Monza — 0.5 goals.
Lazio team goals
Lazio team goals: Under 0.5 is 5.50 and Over 0.5 is 1.10; Under 1 is 4.10 and Over 1 is 1.20. At the 1.5-goal line, Under is 2.05 and Over is 1.73; at the 2-goal line, Under is 1.55 against 2.35 for Over.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.50 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
| 4.10 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 2.05 | 1.5 | 1.73 |
| 1.55 | 2 | 2.35 |
Monza team goals
Monza team goals: Under 0.5 is offered at 2.20 and Over 0.5 at 1.63. At the 1-goal line, Under is 1.45 against 2.65 for Over; at the 1.5-goal line, Under is 1.22 and Over is 3.85.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | 0.5 | 1.63 |
| 1.45 | 1 | 2.65 |
| 1.22 | 1.5 | 3.85 |
