Odds overview
Lazio are favourites: a Lazio win is available at around 1.60, compared with 4.05 for the draw and 5.80 for a Monza win. In the main 2.5-goal totals market, the odds are almost even: Over 2.5 is 1.87 and Under 2.5 is 1.93. Lazio Draw No Bet (0) is 1.20, well below the 4.00 offered for Monza Draw No Bet (0).
Why Lazio are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: a Lazio win is offered at 1.60, a Monza win at 5.80 and the draw at 4.05.
- Lazio concede an average of 0.6 goals per Serie A match — the second-best figure in the league.
- Monza concede an average of 2.4 goals per match — the second-worst figure in Serie A.
- Monza have lost three of their five matches and sit 16th in the table.
Form and Line-up Lazio
Lazio have won four of their five league matches and drawn the other. Gattuso's side have conceded just three goals in that run. During the international break, Lazio drew 3:3 with Juve Stabia in a friendly and beat Arezzo 2:0.
- Lazio took fewer than 5.5 corners in nine of their last ten Serie A home matches.
- Lazio's opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners in eight of Lazio's last ten Serie A home matches.
- Lazio received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in eight of their last ten Serie A home matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Christos Mandas, Romano Floriani Mussolini, Josip Šutalo, Oliver Provstgaard, Nuno Tavares, Davide Frattesi, Reda Belahyane, Kenneth Taylor, Gustav Isaksen, Tijjani Noslin, Mattia Zaccagni.
Absentees: Alessio Furlanetto, Albert Guðmundsson and Luca Pellegrini (all injured); Danilo Cataldi, Adam Marušić and Nicolo Rovella (all doubtful).
Form and Line-up Monza
Monza have taken just four points from five Serie A matches, drawing with Parma and beating Sassuolo. The visitors have conceded 12 goals in that spell; only Venezia have conceded more, with 13. In a recent friendly against Brest, Monza snatched a late 2:2 draw, having previously lost 2:3 to Cremonese.
- There were fewer than 10.5 corners in nine of Monza's last ten Serie A away matches.
- Monza had fewer than 12.5 shots, including blocked efforts, in eight of their last ten Serie A away matches.
- Monza's opponents had more than 3.5 shots on target in eight of Monza's last ten Serie A away matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-3): Noel Törnqvist, Eddy Kouadio, Lorenzo Lucchesi, Andrea Carboni, Samuele Birindelli, Michael Folorunsho, Ebenezer Akinsanmiro, Ricardo Mangas, Patrick Cutrone, Gustavo Varela, Jay Robinson.
Absentees: Matteo Pessina and Jan Ziółkowski (both injured); Idrissa Touré (doubtful).
Each team's chances
A Lazio win is offered at 1.60, with fair odds of 1.67 and a probability of 59.8%. The draw is available at 4.05, with fair odds of 4.23 and a probability of 23.6%; the corresponding figures for a Monza win are 5.80, 6.06 and 16.5%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio win | 1.60 | 1.67 | 59.8% |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.23 | 23.6% |
| Monza win | 5.80 | 6.06 | 16.5% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is offered at 1.93 and Over 2.5 at 1.87, giving the latter a slight edge. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 at 1.35 is much more strongly favoured than Over 3.5 at 2.90.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.93 | 1.87 |
| 3.5 | 1.35 | 2.90 |
Handicap prediction
Lazio (-1.5) are offered at 2.60, while Monza (+1.5) are at 1.47. At the one-goal handicap line, Lazio (-1) are available at 2.00 and Monza (+1) at 1.80. Lazio Draw No Bet (0) at 1.20 have much shorter odds than Monza Draw No Bet (0) at 4.00.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.47 | |
| 2.00 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.80 | |
| 1.20 | 0 | 4.00 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.85 and Both teams to score — No at 1.90; the odds are almost even, with Yes marginally favoured.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.85 |
| No | 1.90 |
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Lazio — 1.5 goals; Monza — 0.5 goals.
Lazio team total goals
Lazio team total goals: Under 0.5 — 5.50, Over 0.5 — 1.10; Under 1 — 4.10, Over 1 — 1.20. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is 2.05 and Over 1.5 is 1.73; at the two-goal line, Under 2 is 1.55 against 2.35 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.50 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
| 4.10 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 2.05 | 1.5 | 1.73 |
| 1.55 | 2 | 2.35 |
Monza team total goals
Monza team total goals: Under 0.5 is offered at 2.20 and Over 0.5 at 1.63. At the one-goal line, Under 1 is 1.45 against 2.65 for Over 1; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is 1.22 and Over 1.5 is 3.85.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | 0.5 | 1.63 |
| 1.45 | 1 | 2.65 |
| 1.22 | 1.5 | 3.85 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Giuseppe Collu (Italy)
Matches — 14 (Serie A, 2025/26, 2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.1;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 14;
Matches with a penalty — 5 of 14.
