Odds overview
Lazio are clear favourites — they are available to win at 1.43, with the draw at 4.50 and Parma to win at 8.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.88 has slightly shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals at 1.93. In the main handicap market, Lazio (-1) at 1.68 have considerably shorter odds than Parma (+1) at 2.18.
Why Lazio are favourites
Bookmakers strongly favour the hosts — Lazio are available to win at 1.43, the draw is at 4.50 and a Parma win is offered at 8.00.
- Lazio have been strong in attack and defence, averaging two goals scored and just 0.57 conceded per game across seven Serie A matches.
- Parma are struggling badly at the start of the campaign, scoring just 0.57 goals and conceding 1.86 per game.
Form and Line-up Lazio
In their most recent league match, Lazio thrashed Juventus 3:0 away from home, with goals from Oliver Provstgaard, Gustav Isaksen and Fisayo Dele-Bashiru.
Ahead of this match, Lazio are conceding an average of 0.57 goals per game in the league, the second-best record among Serie A teams.
- Lazio have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 Serie A home matches.
- There have been fewer than 9.5 corners in 8 of Lazio's last 10 Serie A home matches.
- There have been more than 7.5 shots on target in 8 of Lazio's last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Christos Mandas, Romano Floriani Mussolini, Josip Šutalo, Oliver Provstgaard, Nuno Tavares, Davide Frattesi, Reda Belahyane, Kenneth Taylor, Gustav Isaksen, Tijjani Noslin, Mattia Zaccagni.
Form and Line-up Parma
Parma lost 0:3 to Torino in a recent home match.
The team are bottom of the league for goals scored, averaging 0.57 per game.
- Parma have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in each of their last 10 Serie A away matches.
- Parma have had fewer than 4.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 Serie A away matches.
- Parma have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 Serie A away matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Edoardo Corvi, Diego Carlos, Mariano Troilo, Enrico Del Prato, Sascha Britschgi, Adrián Bernabé, Mandela Keita, Emanuele Valeri, El Bilal Touré, Giovanni Fabbian, Diego Romero.
The teams' chances
Lazio are offered to win at 1.43, with fair odds of 1.50 and an implied probability of 66.8%. The corresponding figures are 4.50, 4.71 and 21.2% for the draw, and 8.00, 8.37 and 11.9% for a Parma win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio win | 1.43 | 1.50 | 66.8% |
| Draw | 4.50 | 4.71 | 21.2% |
| Parma win | 8.00 | 8.37 | 11.9% |
Total goals prediction
In the totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.93 has slightly longer odds than Over 2.5 goals at 1.88. At the 3.5-goal line, the market favours Under 3.5 goals at 1.35 over Over 3.5 goals at 2.95.
| Goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.93 | 1.88 |
| 3.5 | 1.35 | 2.95 |
Handicap prediction
Lazio (-1.5) at 2.20 have longer odds than Parma (+1.5) at 1.65. At the -1/1 handicap line, Lazio (-1) at 1.68 have shorter odds than Parma (+1) at 2.18, while at a zero handicap Lazio (0) at 1.11 have much shorter odds than Parma (0) at 5.20.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.65 | |
| 1.68 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.18 | |
| 1.11 | 0 | 5.20 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — No at 1.68 has shorter odds than Both teams to score — Yes at 2.12, so the market considers it more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.12 |
| No | 1.68 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
2/25
|
9/50
|
7/4
|
| 888sport |
2/25
|
1/5
|
19/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Lazio — 2 goals; Parma — 0.5 goals.
Lazio team goals
For Lazio team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.07 has much shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 6.30. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 at 1.60 has shorter odds than Under 1.5 at 2.25; at 2 goals, Under 2 at 1.73 is a slight favourite over Over 2 at 2.05. At 2.5 goals, Under 2.5 at 1.45 has markedly shorter odds than Over 2.5 at 2.65.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.30 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
| 2.25 | 1.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.73 | 2 | 2.05 |
| 1.45 | 2.5 | 2.65 |
Parma team goals
For Parma team goals, Under 0.5 at 1.85 has only slightly shorter odds than Over 0.5 at 1.90. Under 1 at 1.23 has much shorter odds than Over 1 at 3.70, while Under 1.5 at 1.12 is also well below Over 1.5 at 5.10.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | 0.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.23 | 1 | 3.70 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 5.10 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Alberto Arena (Italy)
Matches — 13 (Serie A, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3;
Matches with a red card — 0 out of 13;
Matches with a penalty — 3 out of 13.
