Odds Overview
LDU Quito are clear favourites: a home win is priced at 1.62, while the draw and Mirassol to win are around 3.65 and 5.60. On the main 2.5-goal total, Under has the lower price — 1.67 against 2.15 for Over. In the handicap market, LDU Quito Draw No Bet at 1.20 is notably preferred to Mirassol Draw No Bet at 3.80.
Why LDU Quito Are Favourites for the Match
LDU Quito to win is priced at 1.62, the draw is offered at 3.65, and a Mirassol victory is 5.60.
• LDU Quito have won their last 7 home matches in the Copa Libertadores, making confident use of home advantage.
• Mirassol have scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, which will limit the visitors' options if they need to chase the game.
Form and Line-up LDU Quito
The first leg of the Round of 16 in Brazil ended in a 1:1 draw, so the teams remain level going into the return match in Quito.
At home in the Copa Libertadores, the Ecuadorian club have not been outscored in any of their last 10 home matches in the tournament. The team also control the approaches to their own goal reliably — opponents have had a maximum of 4 shots on target in 9 of those 10 games.
Key numbers:
LDU Quito have scored at least two goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the Copa Libertadores.
LDU Quito have had more than 12.5 shots including blocked attempts in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the Copa Libertadores.
LDU Quito have not conceded in the 2nd half in their last 9 home matches in the Copa Libertadores.
Probable line-up: Gonzalo Valle — William Mercado — Ricardo Ade — Luis Vega — Jose Carabali — Gonzales Baquero — Fernando Cornejo — Jesus Pretell — Yerlin Quinonez — Janner Corozo — Michael Estrada
Form and Line-up Mirassol
A 1:1 home draw in the first game leaves Mirassol with a chance of progressing, but forces them to work more strictly without the ball away from home.
The Brazilian club are consistent in attack, having scored at least once in all of their last 10 matches in all competitions. In addition, their games are restrained in terms of physical battles: a maximum of 27 fouls between the two teams has been recorded in 9 of their last 10 matches.
Key numbers:
In 8 of the last 10 matches in all competitions, Mirassol and their opponents have had a maximum of 9 shots on target.
There have been under 3.5 goals in 8 of Mirassol's last 10 matches in all competitions.
At least two goals have been scored in 9 of the last 10 home matches involving Mirassol in all competitions.
Probable line-up: Walter — Igor Formiga — Joao Victor — William Machado — Reinaldo — Neto Moura — Japa — Eduardo — Alesson — Bruno Santos — Edson Carioca
Team Chances
LDU Quito to win is offered at 1.62; the no-margin price is 1.73 and the probability is 57.7%. The draw is 3.65 with a no-margin price of 3.90 and a probability of 25.6%, while Mirassol to win is 5.60, 5.99 and 16.7% respectively.
Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
LDU Quito to win | 1.62 | 1.73 | 57.7% |
Draw | 3.65 | 3.90 | 25.6% |
Mirassol to win | 5.60 | 5.99 | 16.7% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5-goal line, Under at 1.67 is preferred to Over at 2.15. For a total of 2 goals, Over has the lower price — 1.60 against 2.20 for Under, while on 3.5 there is a clear lean towards Under at 1.20 over Over at 3.90.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
2 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
3.5 | 1.20 | 3.90 |
Handicap Prediction
LDU Quito handicap (-1.5) is available at 2.80, while Mirassol handicap (+1.5) is 1.38. On the 1-goal line, LDU Quito handicap (-1) is priced at 2.20 and Mirassol handicap (+1) at 1.63. The level-ball handicap leans clearly towards the hosts: LDU Quito Draw No Bet is 1.20 against Mirassol Draw No Bet at 3.80.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
2.80 | -1.5 | — |
— | +1.5 | 1.38 |
2.20 | -1 | — |
— | +1 | 1.63 |
1.20 | 0 | 3.80 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score — No at 1.67 looks more likely than Both teams to score — Yes at 2.15: the market more often expects at least one team not to score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 2.15 |
No | 1.67 |
Double Chance Prediction
The lowest odds are on 1X at 1.13, followed by 12 at 1.25. X2 at 2.25 is priced substantially higher than the other double chance options.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.13 | 1.25 | 2.25 |
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: LDU Quito — 1.5 goals, Mirassol — 0.5 goals.
LDU Quito Team Total
LDU Quito: Under 0.5 is offered at 4.30, while Over 0.5 is 1.16. For the 1-goal line, Under is priced at 3.00 and Over at 1.35; on 1.5, the odds are close: Under 1.78 and Over 1.92. On the 2-goal line, Under at 1.35 is notably lower than Over at 2.90.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.30 | 0.5 | 1.16 |
3.00 | 1 | 1.35 |
1.78 | 1.5 | 1.92 |
1.35 | 2 | 2.90 |
Mirassol Team Total
Mirassol: on the 0.5-goal line, Under is 1.92 and Over is 1.78. Under 1 at 1.30 is notably preferred to Over 1 at 3.15, and on 1.5 the gap is even bigger: Under 1.14 against Over 4.60.
Under | Team total | Over |
1.92 | 0.5 | 1.78 |
1.30 | 1 | 3.15 |
1.14 | 1.5 | 4.60 |
