Odds overview
Le Havre are moderate favourites: a home win is available at 2.20, while the draw and an Angers win are both 3.35. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.07. In the Draw No Bet market, Le Havre at 1.60 are clearly preferred to Angers at 2.35.
Why Le Havre are favourites
The bookmakers favour the hosts: Le Havre to win is available at 2.20, while an Angers victory is offered at 3.35. The draw is also quoted at 3.35.
- After three rounds, Angers are 12th with three points: one win, two defeats and a 4:5 goal difference.
- Meanwhile, Le Havre have kept their home matches low-scoring: in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home games, the teams have scored no more than three goals in total.
Form and Line-up Le Havre
In their last league match, Le Havre lost 1:2 at home to Brest. The game became more difficult late in the first half after Junior Mwanga was sent off, while key moments of the match involved penalty awards.
The team are struggling to create danger at home: in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches, Le Havre have had no more than five shots on target. The hosts have scored two goals in three rounds of the current league campaign — an average of 0.67 per game.
Key numbers:
- In 8 of Le Havre's last 10 Ligue 1 home matches, their opponents have scored no more than one goal.
- In 9 of Le Havre's last 10 Ligue 1 home matches, the teams have scored no more than three goals in total.
- After three rounds, Le Havre are 16th with one point and a 2:4 goal difference.
Probable line-up: Gautier Gallon, Ayumu Seko, Vincent Sasso, Ahmed Touba, Elias Ehret Kristensen, Simon Ebonog, Amir Richardson, Timothee Pembele, Rassoul Ndiaye, Mbwana Samatta, Josh Maja
Form and Line-up Angers
Angers lost 1:2 at home to Rennes in the previous round, conceding twice by the 17th minute. Carlens Arcus pulled one back in the 35th minute after a Branco van den Boomen set-piece delivery.
Angers have not won the first half in any of their three matches in the current league campaign: they have drawn once and trailed at the break twice. They have had 11 shots on target in those matches — an average of 3.67 per game.
Key numbers:
- In each of Angers' three matches in the current league campaign, the teams have taken at least 11 corners in total: 11, 17 and 18.
- Angers have had 54 shots in the opening three rounds, but only 11 have been on target — 20.4% of their total attempts.
- Angers have not had more shots on target than their opponents in any of the three rounds: 2:8 against Lille, 6:7 against Auxerre and 3:5 against Rennes.
Probable line-up: Anthony Lopes, Carlens Arcus, Jordan Lefort, Ousmane Camara, Joseph Kalulu, Branco van den Boomen, Yassine Belkhdim, Amine Sbai, Anthony Bermont, Amine El Ouazzani, Jim Allevinah
Team chances
In the quoted market, a Le Havre win is available at 2.20; the fair odds are 2.31, with a probability of 43.2%. The draw and an Angers win have identical figures: 3.35, fair odds of 3.52 and a 28.4% probability for each outcome.
| Outcome | Odds | Fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre to win | 2.20 | 2.31 | 43.2% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.52 | 28.4% |
| Angers to win | 3.35 | 3.52 | 28.4% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.07. The gap is greater at 3.5: Under 3.5 goals is 1.28 and Over 3.5 goals is 3.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.07 |
| 3.5 | 1.28 | 3.35 |
Handicap prediction
For the -1.5 handicap, Le Havre (-1.5) are available at 4.15 and Angers (-1.5) at 6.70. On the +1.5 handicap, Le Havre (+1.5) are 1.06 against 1.20 for Angers (+1.5). For the -1 line, Le Havre (-1) are 3.25 and Angers (-1) 5.80; for the +1 line, they are 1.09 and 1.30 respectively. In the Draw No Bet market, Le Havre at 1.60 are shorter than Angers at 2.35.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | -1.5 | 6.70 |
| 1.06 | 1.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.25 | -1 | 5.80 |
| 1.09 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.60 | 0 | 2.35 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.82 is slightly shorter than Both teams to score - No at 1.95: the market gives a marginally greater chance to both teams scoring, while the second option means that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.82 |
| No | 1.95 |
Double chance prediction
1X and 12 are offered at the same odds of 1.35, while X2 is 1.68 and considered less likely.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
7/20
|
7/20
|
17/25
|
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Le Havre — 1.5 goals, Angers — 1 goal.
Le Havre team total
Le Havre team total: Under 0.5 goals at 3.70 is considerably longer than Over 0.5 goals at 1.23. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is available at 2.60 and Over 1 at 1.47; at 1.5, they are 1.60 and 2.25 respectively. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.23 and Over 2 is 3.70.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.70 | 0.5 | 1.23 |
| 2.60 | 1 | 1.47 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | 2.25 |
| 1.23 | 2 | 3.70 |
Angers team total
Angers team total: Under 0.5 goals at 2.70 is longer than Over 0.5 goals at 1.40. At the 1-goal line, the odds are almost equal: Under 1 is 1.85 and Over 1 is 1.90. At 1.5, Under 1.5 goals at 1.35 is clearly shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.95.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.85 | 1 | 1.90 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.95 |
