Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Le Havre to win have a slight edge at 2.35, while the draw is 3.40 and Auxerre to win are 3.10. The main 2.5-goal totals market is almost evenly priced: Under 2.5 at 1.92 and Over 2.5 at 1.88. At a handicap of 0, Le Havre Draw No Bet at 1.67 are notably shorter than Auxerre Draw No Bet at 2.20.
Why Le Havre are favourites
Bookmakers give the hosts a slight advantage: Le Havre to win are offered at 2.35, compared with 3.10 for Auxerre and 3.40 for the draw. Even so, the odds suggest only a modest edge for the hosts.
• Le Havre have a strong head-to-head record: the Normandy side have avoided defeat against Auxerre in 12 of 14 meetings.
• The visitors' defence makes regular mistakes: Auxerre concede an average of 2.67 goals per game, the worst figure in the league.
• Auxerre's latest away match ended in a heavy 1:4 defeat to Rennes.
Form and Line-up Le Havre
Le Havre have struggled to settle into the season: the Normandy side have drawn twice and lost four times in their opening six Ligue 1 matches. In the previous round, Ayumu Seko's dismissal in the 61st minute disrupted the match, leaving Le Havre to defend with ten men for more than half an hour before losing 0:1 to Lille. Le Havre are still two points away from 19th place.
- Le Havre have failed to win 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
- Fewer than four goals were scored in 8 of Le Havre's last 10 Ligue 1 home matches.
- Le Havre had fewer than six shots on target in 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches.
Probable Le Havre line-up (4-2-3-1): Gauthier Gallon, Djibril Ouziad, Mouhamad N'Diaye, Ahmed Touba, Vincent Sasso, Simon Ebonog, Amir Richardson, Sota Nakamura, Rassoul Ndiaye, Ali Samatta, Josh Maja
Unavailable: Elias Jelert, Felix Mambimbi, Timothée Pembélé, Lionel Mpasi-Nzau (injured), Ayumu Seko (suspended)
Form and Line-up Auxerre
Auxerre have been inconsistent under Will Still, winning twice and losing four times in the opening six league rounds. That leaves them in 16th place, the relegation play-off spot. They suffered a heavy 1:4 defeat to Rennes in their last match, with Cameron Archer scoring their only goal. The Englishman has now scored in four consecutive rounds. With eight goals scored, the Burgundy side rank 13th in the league on that measure.
- There were at least nine corners in 9 of Auxerre's last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
- Referees showed at least three yellow cards in 9 of Auxerre's last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
- Auxerre had fewer than six shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
Probable Auxerre line-up (4-3-3): Mamadou Diop, Arthur Piedfort, Axel Tuanzebe, Clément Akpa, Lamine Sy, Naouirou Ahamada, Kévin Danois, Fredrik Oppegård, Romain Faivre, Danny Namaso, Cameron Archer
Unavailable: Assane Dioussé, Marvin Senaya, Ryan Mandang, Sékou Fofana, Telli Siwe (injured)
The teams' chances
Le Havre to win are offered at 2.35, with fair odds of 2.45 and a probability of 40.8%. The draw is quoted at 3.40, with fair odds of 3.54 and a probability of 28.2%; the corresponding figures for Auxerre to win are 3.10, 3.23 and 31.0%. The market gives the hosts a slight advantage.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre win | 2.35 | 2.45 | 40.8% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.54 | 28.2% |
| Auxerre win | 3.10 | 3.23 | 31.0% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.88 are slightly shorter than Under 2.5 at 1.92. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 are clearly favoured at 1.35, compared with 2.90 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.92 | 1.88 |
| 3.5 | 1.35 | 2.90 |
Handicap betting
Le Havre (-1.5) at 4.30 are shorter than Auxerre (-1.5) at 5.20. At +1.5, the odds are close: Le Havre (+1.5) are 1.11 and Auxerre (+1.5) are 1.16. At -1, Le Havre (-1) are 3.60 and Auxerre (-1) are 4.50; at +1, the respective odds are 1.15 and 1.25. At a handicap of 0, Le Havre Draw No Bet at 1.67 are shorter than Auxerre Draw No Bet at 2.20.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| 4.30 | -1.5 | 5.20 |
| 1.11 | 1.5 | 1.16 |
| 3.60 | -1 | 4.50 |
| 1.15 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.67 | 0 | 2.20 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score – Yes at 1.70 appears more likely than Both teams to score – No at 2.10, which requires at least one team to fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.70 |
| No | 2.10 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: 1.5 goals for Le Havre and 1 goal for Auxerre.
Le Havre team total goals
Le Havre team total goals: at the 0.5-goal line, Over 0.5 at 1.22 are considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 3.85. At 1 goal, Over 1 are 1.45 versus 2.65 for Under 1; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.65 are shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.18. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 are offered at 1.25 and Over 2 at 3.60.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.85 | 0.5 | 1.22 |
| 2.65 | 1 | 1.45 |
| 1.65 | 1.5 | 2.18 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.60 |
Auxerre team total goals
Auxerre team total goals: at the 0.5-goal line, Over 0.5 at 1.32 are notably shorter than Under 0.5 at 3.10. At 1 goal, Over 1 at 1.65 are shorter than Under 1 at 2.15, while at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.50 are favoured over Over 1.5 at 2.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.10 | 0.5 | 1.32 |
| 2.15 | 1 | 1.65 |
| 1.50 | 1.5 | 2.50 |
