Odds overview
Bologna are favourites to win at 1.90, while the draw is available at 3.35 and a Lecce win at 4.50. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 has shorter odds than Over 2.5 goals at 2.10, suggesting expectations of a low-scoring match. The visitors are also favoured in the handicap (0) market: Bologna Draw No Bet is available at 1.35, compared with 2.90 for Lecce Draw No Bet.
Why Bologna are favourites
The bookmakers favour the visitors: a Bologna win is offered at 1.90, the draw at 3.35 and a Lecce win at 4.50.
• Bologna have been well organised at the back, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game at the start of the season — fewer than second-placed Inter Milan.
• Lecce have the least valuable squad in Serie A, valued at €82.5 million. Bologna's players, by contrast, are worth €229 million in total, the 10th-highest figure.
Form and Line-up Lecce
Despite conceding 10 goals, Lecce sit 12th after five rounds. They have conceded at least twice in three matches, but Eusebio Di Francesco's side have still claimed two wins, beating Venezia 2:0 and Monza 3:2. Both opponents returned to the top flight this summer.
- Lecce have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 Serie A home matches.
- There have been fewer than 9.5 shots on target in 8 of Lecce's last 10 Serie A home matches.
- Lecce have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in all of their last 10 Serie A home matches.
Probable Lecce line-up (4-3-3): Wladimiro Falcone, Danilo Veiga, Kialonda Gaspar, Jamil Siebert, Antonino Gallo, Youssef Maleh, Ivan Ilić, Lassana Coulibaly, Joël Monteiro, Nikola Štulić, Santiago Pierotti
Absentees: Medon Berisha, Willem Geubbels (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Bologna
After finishing eighth last season, Bologna's current position of 18th after the first month of Serie A looks extremely disappointing. Their defence has been fairly solid, conceding 1.2 goals per game, but their attack is struggling: only fellow strugglers Genoa have scored as few as Bologna's three goals. Raffaele Palladino has every player available except Emil Holm and Jens Odgaard, but Bologna have yet to record a win. They have managed only two draws.
- There have been more than 2.5 offsides in each of Bologna's last 10 Serie A away matches.
- There have been fewer than 9.5 shots on target in 9 of Bologna's last 10 Serie A away matches.
- Bologna have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 Serie A away matches.
Probable Bologna line-up (3-4-3): Lukasz Skorupski, Eivind Helland, Torbjørn Heggem, Arthur Theate, Nadir Zortea, Tommaso Pobega, Lewis Ferguson, Juan Miranda, Federico Bernardeschi, Riccardo Orsolini, Roberto Piccoli
Absentees: Emil Holm, Jens Odgaard (doubtful)
The teams' chances
Bologna's chance of winning, with the bookmaker's margin removed, is estimated at 50.3%, with odds of 1.90 and fair odds of 1.99. The draw is rated at 28.5%, with odds of 3.35 against fair odds of 3.51. Lecce's chance of winning is estimated at 21.2%, with odds of 4.50 and fair odds of 4.71.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce win | 4.50 | 4.71 | 21.2% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.51 | 28.5% |
| Bologna win | 1.90 | 1.99 | 50.3% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 has shorter odds than Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals at 1.53 is considerably shorter than Under 2 goals at 2.40. For the 3.5-goal line, the market leans more strongly towards Under 3.5 goals at 1.27, while Over 3.5 goals is available at 3.40.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| 2 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 3.5 | 1.27 | 3.40 |
Handicap betting
Bologna (-1.5) at 3.45 has longer odds than Lecce (+1.5) at 1.27. At the 1-goal handicap line, Bologna (-1) are available at 2.75 and Lecce (+1) at 1.45. With a handicap of 0, Bologna Draw No Bet at 1.35 is favoured over Lecce Draw No Bet at 2.90.
| Home team | Handicap | Away team |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3.45 | |
| 1.27 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 2.75 | |
| 1.45 | 1 | |
| 2.90 | 0 | 1.35 |
Both teams to score betting
There is almost nothing between the options in the market: Both teams to score — No is available at 1.87, while Both teams to score — Yes is at 1.88. The No option means that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.88 |
| No | 1.87 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
91/100
|
3/10
|
1/5
|
| 888sport |
83/100
|
3/10
|
11/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
For this match, the bookmakers have set team total lines of 1 goal for Lecce and 1.5 goals for Bologna.
Lecce team total goals
For Lecce's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.55 has shorter odds than Under 0.5 goals at 2.35. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is available at 1.58 compared with 2.30 for Over 1 goal; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is at 1.25 compared with 3.45 for Over 1.5 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.58 | 1 | 2.30 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.45 |
Bologna team total goals
For Bologna's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.18 has much shorter odds than Under 0.5 goals at 4.15, while Over 1 goal at 1.35 is shorter than Under 1 goal at 3.00. The odds are close at the 1.5-goal line: Under 1.5 goals is 1.75 and Over 1.5 goals is 2.03. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is favoured at 1.30, while Over 2 goals is available at 3.25.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
| 3.00 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.75 | 1.5 | 2.03 |
| 1.30 | 2 | 3.25 |
