Odds overview
Genoa CFC are narrow favourites at around 2.50 to win, while a Lecce win and a draw are available at 3.05 and 3.10. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals is clearly favoured over Over 2.5 goals — 1.58 against 2.40. On the handicap line of 0, Genoa CFC are shorter than Lecce: 1.73 against 2.10.
Why Genoa CFC are favourites
Bookmakers make Genoa CFC the favourites: an away win is available at 2.50. A draw is offered at 3.10 and a Lecce win at 3.05.
- Genoa CFC have built momentum in Serie A, winning their previous two league matches against Juventus (2:0) and Venezia (1:0).
- Lecce regularly drop points: they have lost 6 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- The head-to-head record favours the visitors: Lecce have failed to win 8 of their last 10 meetings with Genoa CFC.
Form and Line-up Lecce
In their previous Serie A home match, on 25 October 2026, Lecce lost 0:2 to Juventus. They also failed to score away to AC Milan on 20 September, losing 0:3.
- Lecce registered fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Lecce took fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 Serie A home matches.
Probable Lecce line-up: Wladimiro Falcone, Danilo Veiga, Antonino Gallo, Mohamed Kaba, Oumar Ngom, Youssef Maleh, Willem Geubbels, Corrie Ndaba, Jamil Siebert, Tiago Gabriel, Omri Gandelman.
Ivan Ilić (thigh injury), Santiago Pierotti (ankle injury), Medon Berisha and Lassana Coulibaly (muscle injuries) will miss the match.
Form and Line-up Genoa CFC
On 28 October 2026, Genoa CFC beat Juventus 2:0 at home, and on 25 October they defeated Venezia 1:0. But their most recent away match in the competition ended in defeat: on 17 October, Genoa CFC lost 0:2 to AS Roma.
- Genoa CFC registered fewer than 7.5 shots on target in their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Fewer than 10.5 corners were taken in 9 of Genoa CFC's last 10 Serie A away matches.
Probable Genoa CFC line-up: Justin Bijlow, Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Østigård, Johan Vásquez, Kingsley Ehizibue, Morten Frendrup, Alexandre Amorim, Mikael Ellertsson, Tommaso Baldanzi, Vitinha, Milutin Osmajic.
Elias Havel will not play for Genoa CFC because of an ankle injury.
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Genoa CFC a 38.1% chance of winning, with fair odds of 2.63. A Lecce win is rated at 31.2% with fair odds of 3.20, and a draw at 30.7% with fair odds of 3.26; the respective average odds are 3.05, 3.10 and 2.50.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce win | 3.05 | 3.20 | 31.2% |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.26 | 30.7% |
| Genoa CFC win | 2.50 | 2.63 | 38.1% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 1.58 and Over 2.5 at 2.40. The odds are close for a total of 2 goals: Under 2 at 1.95 and Over 2 at 1.80. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is offered at 1.15 and Over 3.5 at 4.40.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.58 | 2.40 |
| 2 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 1.15 | 4.40 |
Handicap betting
At the -1.5 handicap line, Genoa CFC are available at 5.20 against 6.60 for Lecce. At 1.5, the odds are 1.11 for Lecce and 1.06 for Genoa CFC. At the -1 line, Lecce are offered at 5.60 and Genoa CFC at 4.20; at the 1 line, Lecce are 1.17 and Genoa CFC 1.10. On the 0 handicap, Genoa CFC are quoted at 1.73 and Lecce at 2.10.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.60 | -1.5 | 5.20 |
| 1.11 | 1.5 | 1.06 |
| 5.60 | -1 | 4.20 |
| 1.17 | 1 | 1.10 |
| 2.10 | 0 | 1.73 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score – No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is available at 1.75. Both teams to score – Yes is quoted at 2.03.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.03 |
| No | 1.75 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
53/100
|
9/25
|
33/100
|
| 888sport |
57/100
|
9/25
|
33/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Lecce — 1 goal; Genoa CFC — 1 goal.
Lecce team total goals
For Lecce's team total, Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.50 and Over 0.5 at 1.50. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is offered at 1.70 and Over 1 at 2.10; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is 1.30 and Over 1.5 is 3.20.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.70 | 1 | 2.10 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.20 |
Genoa CFC team total goals
For Genoa CFC's team total, Under 0.5 goals is quoted at 2.85 and Over 0.5 at 1.37. At the 1-goal line, the odds are 1.90 for Under 1 and 1.85 for Over 1; at the 1.5-goal line, they are 1.40 for Under 1.5 and 2.75 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | 0.5 | 1.37 |
| 1.90 | 1 | 1.85 |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | 2.75 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Matteo Marchetti (Italy)
Matches – 15 (Serie A, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.2;
Matches with a red card – 3 of 15;
Matches with a penalty – 4 of 15.
