Odds overview
Juventus are clear favourites — a Juventus win is available at 1.47, compared with 4.20 for a draw and 7.80 for a Lecce win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.83 is slightly shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 1.98. In the handicap market, Juventus (-1) at 1.75 is favoured over Lecce (+1) at 2.08.
Why Juventus are favourites
The bookmakers give Juventus a clear advantage: a Juventus win is offered at 1.47, a Lecce win at 7.80 and a draw at 4.20.
- Lecce regularly allow chances at their own end: opponents have had at least four shots on target in 8 of their last 10 Serie A matches, while Lecce have conceded an average of 1.71 goals per game this season.
- Juventus have taken the initiative confidently and have not been outshot in any of their last 10 league matches, allowing opponents no more than 12 shots per game.
- Juventus still have factors holding them back: they have scored only 1.29 goals per match on average in Serie A this season and come into this game after a European away trip.
Form and Line-up Lecce
A convincing 3:0 win over Udinese Calcio gave Lecce some breathing space after defeats to Bologna (1:2) and AC Milan (0:3). Ahead of Matchday 8, they sit 12th in the table with 9 points.
Defending remains the hosts' main weakness: opponents average 6.57 shots on target per match against them, leaving Lecce second from bottom in the league on this measure.
- There have been more than 2.5 offsides in each of Lecce's last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- Lecce have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- Lecce have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home league matches.
Probable Lecce line-up (4-3-3): Wladimiro Falcone, Danilo Veiga, Kialonda Gaspar, Tiago Gabriel, Antonino Gallo, Mohamed Kaba, Oumar Ngom, Youssef Maleh, Amar Fatah, Willem Geubbels, Konan N'Dri.
Lassana Coulibaly will miss the match through injury.
Form and Line-up Juventus
Luciano Spalletti's side have had mixed results in October: after losing 0:3 to Lazio in Serie A, Juventus beat Celta Vigo 2:1 and drew 2:2 with Rennes in the UEFA Europa League.
The visitors' matches have been low scoring, averaging 2.43 goals per game — one of the lowest figures in the league.
- There have been fewer than 25.5 fouls in 8 of Juventus' last 10 away matches in Serie A.
- The teams have attempted more than 23.5 shots combined in 8 of Juventus' last 10 away league matches.
- Juventus have taken more than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable Juventus line-up (4-2-3-1): Guglielmo Vicario, Pierre Kalulu, Gleison Bremer, Jhon Lucumí, Zeki Celik, Pape Matar Sarr, Douglas Luiz, Nicolás González, Weston McKennie, Kerim Alajbegović, Randal Kolo Muani.
Francisco Conceição will be unable to play because of a shoulder problem.
The teams' chances
Based on fair odds, Lecce have a 12.3% chance of winning, with average odds of 7.80 and fair odds of 8.16. The draw has a 22.8% chance, with average odds of 4.20 and fair odds of 4.40. Juventus lead with a 65% chance, average odds of 1.47 and fair odds of 1.54.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce to win | 7.80 | 8.16 | 12.3% |
| Draw | 4.20 | 4.40 | 22.8% |
| Juventus to win | 1.47 | 1.54 | 65.0% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.98 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.83, giving the over a slight edge. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.38 is considered considerably more likely than Over 3.5 goals at 2.80.
| Goal line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| 3.5 | 1.38 | 2.80 |
Handicap prediction
Juventus (-1.5) are offered at 2.25, while Lecce (+1.5) are at 1.60. At the adjacent line, Juventus (-1) at 1.75 are shorter than Lecce (+1) at 2.08. On the zero handicap, Juventus (0) are available at 1.12, compared with 5.00 for Lecce (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.25 | |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.75 | |
| 2.08 | 1 | |
| 5.00 | 0 | 1.12 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — No is shorter at 1.80 than Both teams to score — Yes at 1.95, so the scenario in which at least one team fails to score is considered slightly more likely.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.95 |
| No | 1.80 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
163/100
|
11/50
|
2/25
|
| 888sport |
81/50
|
11/50
|
1/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Lecce — 0.5 goals; Juventus — 2 goals.
Lecce team total goals
For Lecce's team total, Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.00 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.75. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is offered at 1.30 against 3.20 for Over 1 goal; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is 1.15 and Over 1.5 is 4.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| 1.30 | 1 | 3.20 |
| 1.15 | 1.5 | 4.40 |
Juventus team total goals
For Juventus' team total, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 6.30 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.07. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is 2.25 and Over 1.5 is 1.60; at 2 goals, the respective odds are 1.73 and 2.05; at 2.5 goals, Under 2.5 is 1.43 and Over 2.5 is 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.30 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
| 2.25 | 1.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.73 | 2 | 2.05 |
| 1.43 | 2.5 | 2.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Fabio Maresca (Italy)
Matches — 15 (Serie A, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.7;
Matches with a red card — 6 out of 15;
Matches with a penalty — 3 out of 15.
