Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Red Bull Salzburg are slight favourites: the away win is 2.30 versus 2.95 for the home win, while the draw is 3.60. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is notably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.25. In the main handicap market, Red Bull Salzburg Draw No Bet is shorter at 1.70 versus 2.15 for Levski Sofia Draw No Bet.
Why Red Bull Salzburg are favourites
Bookmakers give the Austrian club a slight edge: Red Bull Salzburg to win is available at 2.30, the draw is 3.60, and Levski Sofia's victory is 2.95.
• Red Bull Salzburg recorded two emphatic domestic league wins: over Austria (4:1) and Rapid (5:1).
• Levski Sofia come into the match after a goalless draw with Botev Vratsa in Bulgaria's First League, while Red Bull Salzburg confidently beat St Polten 3:0 in the Austrian Cup.
• The visitors' favourite status is paired with moderate odds of 2.30, reflecting a challenging away context and supporting a scenario of limited scoring from the Austrians.
Form and Line-up Levski Sofia
In the domestic league, Levski Sofia have put together a run of three wins, beating Botev Plovdiv (3:1), Slavia (2:1) and CSKA 1948 (1:0). Head coach Julio Velazquez has highlighted the team's heavy physical and emotional workload in a congested schedule, which increases the risk of rotation for the European match.
The hosts' statistics confirm the restrained nature of their matches: in 8 of their previous 10 games in all competitions, there were under 4.5 goals, while in 8 of 10 Europa League matches the total number of goals did not exceed three. Meanwhile, in 9 of 10 European matches, the Bulgarian club's opponents received at least two yellow cards.
- Levski Sofia's opponents took no more than five corners in 8 of their last 10 Europa League matches
- In 8 of Levski Sofia's last 10 Europa League matches, the two teams committed a combined 25 or more fouls
- Levski Sofia's opponents had fewer than 13.5 shots, including blocked efforts, in 8 of their last 10 Europa League matches
Probable Levski Sofia line-up (4-2-3-1): Svetoslav Vutsov, Aldair, Kristian Dimitrov, Nikola Serafimov, Alex Centelles, Maicon, El Mehdi Mubarik, Serginho, Reynaldo, Everton Bala, Armstrong Oko-Flex
Form and Line-up Red Bull Salzburg
In a recent Austrian Bundesliga match, Red Bull Salzburg drew with Ried (1:1), dominating the game and having 24 shots with an xG of 1.56. Earlier in the Europa League, the Austrians comfortably beat Mjallby 3:0 to reach the league phase.
Despite their attacking activity, Red Bull Salzburg's away matches in the Europa League are marked by defensive vulnerability: in 9 of their last 10 away games, opponents had at least four shots on target.
- In 9 of Red Bull Salzburg's last 10 away Europa League matches, referees recorded no more than 24 fouls in total
- Red Bull Salzburg received no more than two yellow cards in all of their last 10 Europa League matches
- In 8 of Red Bull Salzburg's last 10 away Europa League matches, the teams had at least nine shots on target
Probable Red Bull Salzburg line-up (4-2-3-1): Christian Zawieschitzky, Nikolas Veratschnig, Kevin Boma, Valentin Zabransky, Dominik Schmid, Abubakr Barry, Bartosz Mazurek, Enrique Aguilar, Sota Kitano, Yorbe Vertessen, Haris Tabakovic
Out: Christian Fruchtl (injured)
Team chances
The no-margin assessment gives Red Bull Salzburg a 41.3% chance of an away win, with fair odds of 2.42 versus 2.30 in the market. Levski Sofia have a 32.2% chance and fair odds of 3.10 versus 2.95, while the draw has a 26.4% chance and fair odds of 3.79 versus 3.60: the away win appears the most likely outcome.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia to win | 2.95 | 3.10 | 32.2% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.79 | 26.4% |
| Red Bull Salzburg to win | 2.30 | 2.42 | 41.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.25, indicating expectations of a high-scoring match. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is preferred at 1.52 versus 2.45 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.25 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.52 | 2.45 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 handicap line, Red Bull Salzburg (-1.5) at 3.95 is shorter than Levski Sofia (-1.5) at 4.80. At the 1-goal handicap, both odds are short: Red Bull Salzburg (+1) — 1.17 and Levski Sofia (+1) — 1.30; at the 1.5-goal line, Red Bull Salzburg (+1.5) is 1.13 and Levski Sofia (+1.5) is 1.20. With the Draw No Bet handicap, Red Bull Salzburg at 1.70 is preferred to Levski Sofia at 2.15. At the -1 handicap line, Red Bull Salzburg (-1) is 3.25 versus 4.20 for Levski Sofia (-1).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | -1.5 | 3.95 |
| 1.20 | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| 4.20 | -1 | 3.25 |
| 1.30 | 1 | 1.17 |
| 2.15 | 0 | 1.70 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.55 is notably shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.40, so the market is more likely to expect goals from both teams than a scenario in which at least one does not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 |
| No | 2.40 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/10
|
29/100
|
3/10
|
| William Hill |
3/5
|
3/10
|
2/5
|
| 888sport |
73/100
|
3/10
|
3/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Levski Sofia — 1.5 goals; Red Bull Salzburg — 1.5 goals.
Levski Sofia team total
Levski Sofia team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.25 is significantly shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 3.55; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 is 1.50 versus 2.45 for Under 1. At 1.5, Under 1.5 goals is preferred — 1.60 versus 2.25 for Over 1.5 goals, while at the 2-goal line Under 2 at 1.23 is notably shorter than Over 2 at 3.70.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.55 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.45 | 1 | 1.50 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | 2.25 |
| 1.23 | 2 | 3.70 |
Red Bull Salzburg team total
Red Bull Salzburg team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.17 is shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 4.20, while Over 1 is 1.33 versus 3.05 for Under 1. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are close: Under 1.5 goals — 1.83 and Over 1.5 goals — 1.93. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.35 is preferred to Over 2 at 2.95.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 3.05 | 1 | 1.33 |
| 1.83 | 1.5 | 1.93 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 2.95 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Mohammad Al-Emara (Finland)
Matches — 8 (international matches, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.6;
Matches with red cards — 0 of 8;
Matches with penalties — 4 of 8.
