Lille will host Le Havre at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Matchday 6 of the 2026/27 Ligue 1 season. The match is scheduled for 10 October 2026 at 11:15 EDT / 08:15 PDT.
Bookmakers offer odds of 2.30 for under 2.5 goals in Lille vs Le Havre, as though an open shootout is inevitable. However, both teams' playing styles and the usual tempo of this fixture point towards a cagey contest in which every goal will be hard-earned.
At home, Lille give opponents little freedom around their goal. In 9 of their last 10 home Ligue 1 matches, opponents managed no more than 5 shots on target, while the teams combined for under 9.5 shots on target in 8 of those 10 games. Moreover, 9 of the hosts' 10 league matches featured no more than three goals.
Le Havre do not rely on reckless attacking football away from home either. Under 2.5 goals were scored in 8 of the Normandy side's last 10 away Ligue 1 matches. They average just 0.8 goals per game this season, so breaking down the hosts' compact defence will be difficult.
The Normandy side's persistence poses some risk to a low-scoring outcome: they recorded at least 4 shots on target in 8 of their 10 league matches. However, away from home against opponents who dominate possession and territory, those attacks do not always translate into goals.
With the hosts reliably closing down space and the visitors struggling to make their attacks count away from home, expecting three goals looks overly ambitious.
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals — 2.30
Bastien Dechepy (France)
Matches – 18 (Ligue 1, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellow cards) – 4.3;
Matches with red cards – 5 of 18;
Matches with penalties – 7 of 18.
Nice
Lille
Lille
Troyes
Toulouse
Lille
Lille
PSG
Angers
Lille
Toulouse
Le Havre
Le Havre
Angers
Le Havre
Brest
Lyon
Le Havre
Le Havre
Monaco
Ligue 1 2025/26
Lille
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lille
Ligue 1 2024-2025
Lille
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lille
Ligue 1 2023-2024
Lille
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lille
Lille
| # | Team | Form | Matches played | W | D | L | G | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Monaco
|
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 13 |
|
2
|
Lyon
|
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 11 |
|
3
|
FC Paris
|
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 11 |
|
4
|
Lille
|
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 10 |
|
5
|
Rennes
|
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
|
6
|
PSG
|
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 8 |
|
7
|
Angers
|
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 7 |
|
8
|
Strasbourg
|
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 7 |
|
9
|
Le Mans
|
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 6 |
|
10
|
Auxerre
|
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | 6 |
|
11
|
Brest
|
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
|
12
|
Lorient
|
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
|
13
|
Toulouse
|
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
|
14
|
Nice
|
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 5 |
|
15
|
Lens
|
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 4 |
|
16
|
Troyes
|
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | 4 |
|
17
|
Marseille
|
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | 3 |
|
18
|
Le Havre
|
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 2 |
| # | Team | Form | Matches played | W | D | L | G | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Lyon
|
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 7 |
|
2
|
FC Paris
|
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
|
3
|
Rennes
|
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
|
4
|
Monaco
|
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
|
5
|
Auxerre
|
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
|
6
|
Le Mans
|
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 5 |
|
7
|
Nice
|
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
|
8
|
Lille
|
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
|
9
|
Strasbourg
|
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
|
10
|
Angers
|
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
|
11
|
Toulouse
|
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
|
12
|
Lens
|
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
|
13
|
Marseille
|
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 3 |
|
14
|
Brest
|
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
|
15
|
Lorient
|
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
|
16
|
Troyes
|
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 1 |
|
17
|
Le Havre
|
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
|
18
|
PSG
|
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| # | Team | Form | Matches played | W | D | L | G | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
PSG
|
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
|
2
|
Monaco
|
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
|
3
|
Lille
|
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
|
4
|
Lyon
|
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 4 |
|
5
|
FC Paris
|
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
|
6
|
Angers
|
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
|
7
|
Brest
|
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
|
8
|
Lorient
|
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
|
9
|
Rennes
|
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | 3 |
|
10
|
Strasbourg
|
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 3 |
|
11
|
Troyes
|
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
|
12
|
Toulouse
|
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
|
13
|
Le Mans
|
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
|
14
|
Lens
|
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 1 |
|
15
|
Le Havre
|
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
|
16
|
Auxerre
|
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 0 |
|
17
|
Nice
|
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
|
18
|
Marseille
|
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
| Bookie | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
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