Odds Overview
Lyon are clear favourites: Lyon to win is priced at 1.50, while the draw and Le Havre to win are quoted at 4.50 and 6.50. In the main total, Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 is preferred to Under 2.5 goals at 2.07. On the handicap 0 line, Lyon Draw No Bet at 1.16 looks significantly more likely than Le Havre Draw No Bet at 4.40.
Why Lyon Are Favourites
The bookmakers give the hosts a clear advantage: a Lyon win is priced at 1.50, the draw at 4.50, and a Le Havre victory at 6.50.
- Lyon began Ligue 1 with a 2:0 win in Matchday 1, immediately confirming the difference in class.
- Le Havre, with 0.61 xG per game, are among the three worst Ligue 1 teams for chance creation quality.
Form and Line-up Lyon
Lyon, under Paulo Fonseca, lost to Fenerbahce (1:2) on 26 August and ended their European campaign. At the same time, they have been solid defensively at home in Ligue 1: in 8 of their last 10 home matches, Lyon's opponents had no more than 5 shots on target.
Important numbers:
- In 8 of Lyon's last 10 home Ligue 1 matches, they and their opponents took at least 9 corners.
- In 8 of their last 10 home Ligue 1 games, Lyon received no more than 2 yellow cards.
- In 8 of Lyon's last 10 home Ligue 1 matches, at least 24 fouls were recorded.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Dominik Greif — Ainsley Maitland-Niles — Ruben Kluivert — Moussa Niakhate — Nicolas Tagliafico — Tanner Tessmann — Tyler Morton — Corentin Tolisso — Ernest Nuamah — Lois Openda — Malick Fofana
Abner Vinicius — doubtful.
Form and Line-up Le Havre
Le Havre, under Didier Digard, are 14th in the table without any points ahead of Matchday 2. Their away results remain a problem: the club have failed to win in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
Important numbers:
- No more than 2 goals were scored in 9 of Le Havre's last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
- In 8 of their last 10 away Ligue 1 games, Le Havre scored 1 goal or fewer.
- At least 24 fouls were recorded in 8 of Le Havre's last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Lionel Mpasi — Timothee Pembele — Ayumu Seko — Vincent Sasso — Enzo Koffi — Fode Doucoure — Simon Ebonog — Junior Mwanga — Rassoul Ndiaye — Amir Richardson — Mbwana Samatta
Yanis Zouaoui — doubtful.
Teams' Chances
Lyon to win is offered at 1.50; the no-margin assessment is 1.56 and 63.9%. The draw is priced at 4.50, with a no-margin assessment of 4.69 and a probability of 21.3%, while Le Havre to win is 6.50, 6.78 and 14.8% respectively.
| Outcome | Average Odds | Average Odds Without Margin | No-Margin Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon to win | 1.50 | 1.56 | 63.9% |
| Draw | 4.50 | 4.69 | 21.3% |
| Le Havre to win | 6.50 | 6.78 | 14.8% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals at 2.07 is priced higher than Over 2.5 goals at 1.75. On the 3.5 line, the situation is the opposite: Under 3.5 goals at 1.40 is much more favoured than Over 3.5 goals at 2.65.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.07 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.40 | 2.65 |
Handicap Prediction
Lyon handicap (-1.5) is priced at 2.30, while Le Havre handicap (+1.5) is 1.60. For the 1 line, the prices are 1.78 on Lyon handicap (-1) and 2.05 on Le Havre handicap (+1). On the zero handicap, Lyon Draw No Bet at 1.16 is priced much lower than Le Havre Draw No Bet at 4.40.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | -1.5 | — |
| — | 1.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.78 | -1 | — |
| — | 1 | 2.05 |
| 1.16 | 0 | 4.40 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.85, while Both teams to score — No is 1.90. The prices are close, while the "No" option means at least one team will not score.
| Both Teams to Score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.85 |
| No | 1.90 |
Double Chance Prediction
1X is priced at 1.13, 12 at 1.23, and X2 at 2.65. The visitors' double chance remains the most expensive option.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
13/100
|
23/100
|
33/20
|
Team Total Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Lyon — 2 goals, Le Havre — 0.5 goals.
Lyon Team Total
Lyon: Under 0.5 goals at 6.30 is significantly higher than Over 0.5 goals at 1.07. On the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 goals is priced at 2.35 and Over 1.5 goals at 1.57; on the 2 line, the prices are 1.75 and 2.03 respectively. For 2.5, Under 2.5 goals is offered at 1.42 and Over 2.5 goals at 2.65.
| Under | Team Total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.30 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
| 2.35 | 1.5 | 1.57 |
| 1.75 | 2 | 2.03 |
| 1.42 | 2.5 | 2.65 |
Le Havre Team Total
Le Havre: Under 0.5 goals at 2.15 is priced higher than Over 0.5 goals at 1.65. On the 1 line, Under 1 goal at 1.40 is noticeably lower than Over 1 goal at 2.70, while on the 1.5 line Under 1.5 goals is 1.22 against 3.85 on Over 1.5 goals.
| Under | Team Total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.15 | 0.5 | 1.65 |
| 1.40 | 1 | 2.70 |
| 1.22 | 1.5 | 3.85 |
