Odds overview
Malta to win at 1.30 are clear favourites over the draw at 5.10 and Gibraltar to win at 12.50. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals is available at around 1.77, while Over 2.5 goals is 2.05. For the handicap (0), Malta at 1.05 are strongly favoured over Gibraltar at 7.50.
Why Malta are favourites
Bookmakers give the hosts a clear advantage: Malta to win is offered at 1.30, the draw at 5.10 and Gibraltar to win at 12.50.
• Gibraltar have not scored more than one goal in any of their last ten matches in all competitions, limiting the visitors' attacking potential.
• Even when the match goes their way, the hosts rarely turn it into a rout: Malta have not exceeded a team total of 2.5 goals in any of their last ten matches.
Form and Line-up Malta
Malta come into the match on the back of two consecutive wins in September: they first beat Andorra 2:1 in the UEFA Nations League, then defeated Liechtenstein 2:0 in a friendly. However, they won the friendly with a completely changed starting line-up, and their opponents missed a penalty, so it is too early to draw firm conclusions about the hosts' defence.
- Malta scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- There were fewer than 8.5 shots on target in all 10 of Malta's last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- Malta committed fewer than 13.5 fouls in all 10 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Malta line-up (4-2-3-1): Rashed Al-Tumi, Juan Corbalan, Gabriel Mentz, Jean Borg, Myles Beerman, Brandon Paiber, Jake Azzopardi, Joseph Mbong, Jake Grech, Keyon Ewurum, Basil Tuma
Aleandro Garcia will miss the match through injury.
Form and Line-up Gibraltar
Gibraltar neither scored nor conceded in their September matches, drawing 0:0 with Andorra in the UEFA Nations League and finishing their friendly against São Tomé and Príncipe with the same score.
- Gibraltar scored fewer than 1.5 goals in all 10 of their last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
- Gibraltar had fewer than 4.5 shots on target in all 10 of their last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
- Gibraltar took fewer than 3.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Gibraltar line-up (3-5-2): Bradley Banda, Julian Valarino, Bernardo Lopes, Dan Bent, James Scanlon, Nicholas Pozo, Graeme Torrilla, Leon Mason, Kian Ronan, Dylan Borge, Tjay De Barr
The teams' chances
Malta to win is offered at 1.30, with fair odds of 1.36 and a 73.6% probability. The draw is quoted at 5.10, with fair odds of 5.33 and an 18.8% probability; Gibraltar to win is 12.50, with fair odds of 13.07 and a 7.7% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malta to win | 1.30 | 1.36 | 73.6% |
| Draw | 5.10 | 5.33 | 18.8% |
| Gibraltar to win | 12.50 | 13.07 | 7.7% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.77 has shorter odds than Over 2.5 goals at 2.05. The gap is wider at 3.5 goals: Under 3.5 goals is 1.30 and Over 3.5 goals is 3.25.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.77 | 2.05 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.25 |
Handicap prediction
Malta (-1.5) are available at 1.93 and Gibraltar (+1.5) at 1.87. At the one-goal handicap line, Malta (-1) are quoted at 1.45 and Gibraltar (+1) at 2.65. Malta (0) at 1.05 have significantly shorter odds than Gibraltar (0) at 7.50.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| 1.93 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.87 | |
| 1.45 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.65 | |
| 1.05 | 0 | 7.50 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — No at 1.40 is considered much more likely than Both teams to score — Yes at 2.70: at least one team is expected not to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.70 |
| No | 1.40 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/100
|
17/100
|
11/4
|
| 888sport |
1/20
|
9/50
|
12/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Team totals are available for both sides.
Malta team total goals
For Malta's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.05 is strongly favoured over Under 0.5 goals at 7.00. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 goals is quoted at 1.57 against 2.30 for Under 1.5 goals; at the two-goal line, Under 2 goals is 1.77 and Over 2 goals is 1.97. Under 2.5 goals at 1.48 has shorter odds than Over 2.5 goals at 2.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.00 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
| 2.30 | 1.5 | 1.57 |
| 1.77 | 2 | 1.97 |
| 1.48 | 2.5 | 2.55 |
Gibraltar team total goals
For Gibraltar's team total, Under 0.5 goals at 1.48 has shorter odds than Over 0.5 goals at 2.55, indicating that the visitors going without a goal is considered more likely.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.48 | 0.5 | 2.55 |
