The Italian Super Cup final between Napoli and Bologna will take place on 22 December at Mrsool Park in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Napoli – Bologna: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Napoli
In the semi-final, Antonio Conte's side were stronger than Milan, winning 2-0. Thus, Napoli recorded only their second victory in their last six matches in Italian competitions. Moreover, the team kept a clean sheet for just the second time in their last seven outings in domestic tournaments. As a result, the Neapolitans will appear in their second Supercoppa Italiana final in the last three seasons, with the club's last triumph in this competition coming in 2014.
- The team has avoided defeat in normal time in 8 of their last 10 matches across Serie A, the Cup and the Supercoppa (6 wins, 2 draws).
- No more than two goals were scored in 90 minutes in 7 of the club's previous 9 meetings in Italian competitions.
- Napoli conceded in normal time in 5 of their last 7 matches in the league, the national Cup and the Supercoppa.
Probable Napoli line-up (3-4-3)
Vanja Milinković-Savić – Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Juan Jesus – Leonardo Spinazzola, Elif Elmaz, Scott McTominay, Stanislav Lobotka – David Neres, Rasmus Højlund, Matteo Politano.
Goalkeeper Alex Meret and midfielders André-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Billy Gilmour and Kevin De Bruyne will miss the match through injury. In addition, the participation of defenders Matías Olivera and Sam Beukema is highly doubtful due to knocks. Striker Romelu Lukaku has been named in the tournament squad but is not ready to start.
Bologna
The club are taking part in their first Supercoppa Italiana and reached the final after defeating Inter (1-1, 3-2 on penalties). Nevertheless, this was Bologna's fourth occasion in their last five domestic matches when they failed to win in regulation time (2 draws, 2 defeats). Over this stretch the side did not keep a clean sheet in 90 minutes, but in 7 of their previous 8 matches in Serie A, the Cup and the Supercoppa Bologna did score in normal time.
- The team has avoided defeat in normal time in 12 of their last 14 matches across the league, national Cup and Supercoppa (7 wins, 5 draws).
- The club conceded no more than one goal in 90 minutes in 8 of their previous 9 meetings in Italian competitions.
- Bologna scored in normal time in 7 of their last 8 matches in Serie A, the Cup and the Supercoppa.
Probable Bologna line-up (4-5-1)
Federico Ravaglia – Juan Miranda, Torbjørn Hæggholm, John Lucumi, Emil Holm – Federico Bernardeschi, Nicolò Moro, Jens Odgaard, Tommaso Pobega, Riccardo Orsolini – Santiago Castro.
Defender Nicolò Casale and midfielder Remo Freuler will miss the game due to injuries.
Referee
Andrea Colombo (Italy)
Matches – 5 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 29;
Penalties – 20%.
Match prediction Napoli – Bologna
Both sides produced quality attacking displays in their semi-finals, and I expect there to be goals in the final as well. Napoli failed to score in only three of their last 18 domestic matches, and on nine occasions in that run they scored at least twice. That said, the club have conceded in 5 of their previous 7 matches across Serie A, the Cup and the Supercoppa.
Bologna are also effective in attack: in their last 13 domestic outings they failed to score in normal time only twice, and in nine matches during that period they found the net at least twice. Defensively, however, the side have been vulnerable, conceding in five of their previous matches in the league, Cup and Supercoppa.
I expect goals at both ends in this meeting, so my prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
* For each team, the starting XI shown is from their previous match in this competition.
