Odds overview
Nice are favourites to win at 1.83, with the draw at 3.70 and Le Mans to win at 4.30. Over 2.5 goals at 1.88 is rated slightly more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 1.92. At the 0 handicap, Nice Draw No Bet at 1.35 is considerably preferred to Le Mans Draw No Bet at 2.95.
Why Nice are favourites for the match
Bookmakers make the home side favourites: Nice to win is available at 1.83, while Le Mans are offered at 4.30 and the draw at 3.70.
- The hosts come into the match after a heavy 0:3 defeat to Paris FC, having encountered defensive and disciplinary problems in the second half.
- The visitors showed their ability to score in Ligue 1 in the opening round, drawing 2:2 with Brest thanks to goals from Dame Gueye and Louis Mafouta.
Form and Line-up Nice
Nice drew 0:0 at home in the opening round. Following the subsequent setback, head coach Olivier Pantaloni specifically noted that the team's possession lacked incisiveness and presence in the opposition penalty area.
The upcoming game will be the team's first home match in four months. Nice will wear a special kit in memory of the victims of the terrorist attack of 14 July 2016.
Key numbers:
- In 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches, Nice did not score more goals than their opponents.
- Nice took at least 5 corners in 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches.
- In 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches, Nice received no more than 2 yellow cards.
Probable Nice line-up (3-4-3): Yehvann Diouf — Mohamed Abdelmonem — Youssouf Ndayishimiye — Junior Mandza — Jonathan Clauss — Djibril Coulibaly — Axel Witsel — Melvin Bard — Gauthier Hein — Nathan Ngoumou — Sofiane Diop
Laurent Abergel will miss out through injury.
Form and Line-up Le Mans
In their previous match, Le Mans showed character to come back from 0:2 away to Stade Rennais, but after a sending-off in the 68th minute they conceded an added-time penalty and lost 2:3.
The club added 20-year-old midfielder Daouda Traore to their squad in the summer, signing him on loan from Southampton with an option to buy.
Key numbers:
- Le Mans committed 13 or more fouls in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- At least 4 offsides were recorded in 8 of Le Mans' last 10 away matches.
- In 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions, Le Mans received no more than 2 yellow cards.
Probable Le Mans line-up (3-5-2): Hatfout — Boisse — Eyoum — Voyer — Buades — Bretelle — Bourabaa — Lauray — Calodat — Dame Gueye — Louis Mafouta
Goalkeeper Nicolas Kocik is doubtful through injury, while Djibril Sidibe is awaiting a decision on his suspension.
Team chances
Nice to win is offered at 1.83, with fair odds of 1.92 and a probability of 52.1%. The draw is 3.70, with fair odds of 3.88 and a probability of 25.8%, while Le Mans to win is 4.30, 4.51 and 22.2% respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice to win | 1.83 | 1.92 | 52.1% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.88 | 25.8% |
| Le Mans to win | 4.30 | 4.51 | 22.2% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is 1.92 and Over 2.5 goals is 1.88, with a slight preference for the over. For 3.5 goals, Under is 1.35 while Over is 2.90.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.92 | 1.88 |
| 3.5 | 1.35 | 2.90 |
Handicap prediction
Nice (-1.5) are available at 3.10, compared with 8.00 for Le Mans (-1.5). Nice (+1.5) are 1.04 and Le Mans (+1.5) are 1.32; on the -1 line, the odds are 2.50 for Nice (-1) and 6.90 for Le Mans (-1). For the +1 handicap, Nice (+1) are 1.06 and Le Mans (+1) are 1.53, while at the 0 handicap they are 1.35 for Nice Draw No Bet and 2.95 for Le Mans Draw No Bet.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.10 | -1.5 | 8.00 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 1.32 |
| 2.50 | -1 | 6.90 |
| 1.06 | 1 | 1.53 |
| 1.35 | 0 | 2.95 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is 1.78, while Both teams to score - No, meaning that at least one team will not score, is 1.98. The market rates both teams scoring slightly more highly.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.78 |
| No | 1.98 |
Double chance prediction
1X is offered at 1.25, 12 at 1.30 and X2 at 2.00. The most likely double-chance outcome is 1X, while X2 is rated considerably more cautiously.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | 1.30 | 2.00 |
Team totals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Nice — 1.5 goals; Le Mans — 1 goal.
Nice team total
Nice team total: Under 0.5 is 4.60 and Over 0.5 is 1.14; on the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 3.45 and Over 1 is 1.27. For 1.5 goals, the odds are almost identical: Under 1.5 is 1.88 and Over 1.5 is 1.87. On the 2-goal line, Under 2 is offered at 1.40 and Over 2 at 2.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.60 | 0.5 | 1.14 |
| 3.45 | 1 | 1.27 |
| 1.88 | 1.5 | 1.87 |
| 1.40 | 2 | 2.80 |
Le Mans team total
Le Mans team total: Under 0.5 is 2.50 and Over 0.5 is 1.50. On the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 1.68 and Over 1 is 2.10; for 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is 1.32 and Over 1.5 is 3.10.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.68 | 1 | 2.10 |
| 1.32 | 1.5 | 3.10 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Jeremy Pignard (France)
Matches — 18 (Ligue 1, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 4.1;
Matches with red cards — 4 of 18;
Matches with penalties — 6 of 18.
