Odds Overview
Lille are the 1X2 favourites: an away win is available at 2.05, while a home win and the draw are around 3.70 and 3.50 respectively. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.85 is slightly favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 1.95. On the 0 handicap line, Lille Draw No Bet at 1.50 is considerably shorter than Nice Draw No Bet at 2.60.
Why Lille Are the Match Favourites
Bookmakers favour the visitors: Lille to win is available at 2.05, the draw at 3.50, and a Nice victory at 3.70.
- Lille top the Ligue 1 table with 10 points after four rounds: three wins and one draw, with a goal difference of 7:2.
- Nice are bottom of the league for average goals scored, netting just 0.25 goals per match.
Form and Line-up Nice
Nice have made a difficult start to Ligue 1: they drew at home with Lorient (0:0) and Le Mans (1:1), then lost 0:1 away to Auxerre.
- Nice scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
- Nice registered no more than five shots on target in 9 of their last 10 home Ligue 1 matches.
- Nice received no more than two yellow cards in their last 10 home Ligue 1 matches.
Probable Nice line-up (3-4-3): Yehvann Diouf, Mohamed Abdelmonem, Youssouf Ndayishimiye, Kojo Peprah Oppong, Jonathan Clauss, Axel Witsel, Dylan Coulibaly, Nicolas Nkounkou, Gauthier Hein, Elye Wahi, Mohamed El Amine Amoura.
Form and Line-up Lille
Lille enjoyed a successful last round, beating Troyes 2:0 at home despite limited rotation following their UEFA Champions League match against Real Betis.
The club concede an average of 0.5 goals per game, the best record in the league.
- Lille's opponents scored no more than one goal in their last 10 away Ligue 1 matches.
- Lille committed no more than 13 fouls in their last 10 away Ligue 1 matches.
- In 9 of their last 10 away Ligue 1 matches, Lille's opponents registered no more than four shots on target.
Probable Lille line-up (4-2-3-1): Berke Ozer, Tiago Santos, Nathan Ngoy, Alexsandro Ribeiro, Romain Perraud, Nabil Bentaleb, Ngal'ayel Mukau, Dylan Bakwa, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Bashar Onal, Ayase Ueda.
Team Chances
On a no-margin basis, the probability of an away win is 46.7%, with average odds of 2.05 and fair odds of 2.14. The draw is rated at 27.4% — 3.50 versus 3.65 — and a home win at 25.9% — 3.70 versus 3.86.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice to win | 3.70 | 3.86 | 25.9% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.65 | 27.4% |
| Lille to win | 2.05 | 2.14 | 46.7% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.85 is quoted slightly shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 1.95. At the 3.5 mark, the market is much more strongly inclined towards Under 3.5 goals at 1.33 than Over 3.5 goals at 3.05.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 3.5 | 1.33 | 3.05 |
Handicap Prediction
Nice (-1.5) at 6.70 is rated lower than Lille (-1.5) at 3.55. On the 1.5 handicap line, Lille (+1.5) at 1.06 is shorter than Nice (+1.5) at 1.25; on the -1 line, Lille (-1) at 2.85 is shorter than Nice (-1) at 5.90. For the 1 handicap, the odds are 1.37 on Nice (+1) and 1.08 on Lille (+1), while on the 0 line they are 2.60 on Nice Draw No Bet and 1.50 on Lille Draw No Bet.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.70 | -1.5 | 3.55 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 1.06 |
| 5.90 | -1 | 2.85 |
| 1.37 | 1 | 1.08 |
| 2.60 | 0 | 1.50 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.75 looks more likely than Both teams to score - No at 2.03: the latter option means that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.75 |
| No | 2.03 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Nice — 1 goal; Lille — 1.5 goals.
Nice Team Total
Nice's team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.40 is favoured over Under 0.5 goals at 2.65. On the 1-goal line, the odds are almost equal: Under 1 at 1.85 and Over 1 at 1.90. At the 1.5 mark, Under 1.5 goals at 1.38 is shorter, while Over 1.5 goals is available at 2.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.85 | 1 | 1.90 |
| 1.38 | 1.5 | 2.80 |
Lille Team Total
Lille's team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.20 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 4.20, while Over 1 at 1.35 is shorter than Under 1 at 2.90. On the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.77 holds a slight edge over Over 1.5 goals at 2.00; at the 2-goal mark, Under 2 at 1.35 is shorter than Over 2 at 3.00.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.90 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.77 | 1.5 | 2.00 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 3.00 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Willy Delajod (France)
Matches — 19 (Ligue 1, 2025/26-2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3;
Matches with red cards — 4 of 19;
Matches with penalties — 7 of 19.
