Odds overview
Rennes are slight favourites in the betting markets: a Rennes win is available at 2.35, compared with 2.75 for Nice, while the draw is 3.80. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.53 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.37. For the handicap (0) market, Nice are at 2.00 and Rennes at 1.75, again giving the visitors a slight edge.
Why Rennes are favourites
Rennes are the bookmakers' favourites, with the visitors available at 2.35 to win. The draw is 3.80, while a Nice win is 2.75.
- Rennes' away matches are consistently high-scoring: all 10 of their most recent away games in Ligue 1 have featured more than 2.5 goals.
- Nice, meanwhile, defend reliably at home: their opponents have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches in Ligue 1.
Form and Line-up Nice
Nice have won three of their last four Ligue 1 matches and beat Brest 2:1 away in their most recent game.
- In 8 of Nice's last 10 home matches in Ligue 1, their opponents have taken fewer than 5.5 corners.
- Nice have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home matches in Ligue 1.
Probable Nice line-up: Yehvann Diouf, Hamza Koutoune, Youssouf Ndayishimiye, Mohamed Abdelmonem, Xavier Mandza, Hicham Boudaoui, Axel Witsel, Niels Nkounkou, Gauthier Hein, Mohamed Amoura, Elye Wahi.
Form and Line-up Rennes
On 25 October 2026, Rennes comfortably beat Strasbourg 3:0 at home. Earlier, on 11 October, they beat Auxerre 4:1 in another high-scoring match.
Rennes have also played in high-scoring away matches: they lost 3:4 to Paris on 18 October and drew 2:2 with Juventus on 22 October.
- Rennes have had more than 11.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 away matches in Ligue 1.
- Rennes have had more than 3.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 away matches in Ligue 1.
Probable Rennes line-up: Brice Samba, Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal, Charlie Cresswell, Anthony Rouault, Przemyslaw Frankowski, Sebastian Szymanski, Valentin Ronge, Mahdi Camara, Mahamadou Nagida, Boulaye Dia, Mousa Al-Tamari.
Teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Nice a 34.6% chance of winning, with average odds of 2.75 and fair odds of 2.89. The draw is assessed at 25%: 3.80 against fair odds of 4.00. Rennes have a higher chance of winning — 40.4%; their average odds are 2.35 and their fair odds are 2.47.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice to win | 2.75 | 2.89 | 34.6% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 4.00 | 25.0% |
| Rennes to win | 2.35 | 2.47 | 40.4% |
Total goals betting analysis
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.53 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.37. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is available at 3.85 and Over 2 at 1.21. At 3.5 goals, by contrast, Under 3.5 at 1.57 is favoured over Over 3.5 at 2.28.
| Goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.37 | 1.53 |
| 2 | 3.85 | 1.21 |
| 3.5 | 1.57 | 2.28 |
Handicap betting analysis
In the handicap (0) market, Rennes (0) at 1.75 are shorter than Nice (0) at 2.00, so the market leans slightly towards the visitors.
| Home team | Handicap | Away team |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 0 | 1.75 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
57/100
|
29/100
|
11/25
|
| 888sport |
53/100
|
29/100
|
11/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting analysis
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Nice — 1.5 goals, Rennes — 1.5 goals.
Nice team total goals
For Nice, Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.21, compared with 3.85 for Under 0.5; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 is 1.35 and Under 1 is 3.05. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.72 is shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.03, while at the 2-goal line Under 2 is 1.30 against 3.30 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.85 | 0.5 | 1.21 |
| 3.05 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.72 | 1.5 | 2.03 |
| 1.30 | 2 | 3.30 |
Rennes team total goals
For Rennes, Over 0.5 goals at 1.17 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 4.25. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are almost equal: Under 1.5 is 1.86 and Over 1.5 is 1.88. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is available at 1.38, while Over 2 is 2.85.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.25 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 1.86 | 1.5 | 1.88 |
| 1.38 | 2 | 2.85 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Eric Wattellier (France)
Matches — 21 (Ligue 1, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellow cards) — 2.9;
Matches with a red card — 7 out of 21;
Matches with a penalty — 8 out of 21.
