Odds overview
Nice are narrow favourites in the 1X2 market: a Nice win is available at 2.30, a Strasbourg win at 2.95 and a draw at 3.65. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.15. For the zero handicap, Nice Draw No Bet at 1.70 is considered more likely than Strasbourg Draw No Bet at 2.15.
Why Nice are favourites
A Nice win is available at odds of 2.30, a draw at 3.65 and a Strasbourg win at 2.95.
• Strasbourg are above their opponents in the Ligue 1 table, with 7 points to the hosts' 5, but home advantage makes Nice narrow favourites with the bookmakers.
• Both teams have defensive problems: Nice concede an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Strasbourg have been even more vulnerable at the back, conceding 2.0 per game.
• The visitors have been more productive in attack: Strasbourg score an average of 2.0 goals per league match, while Nice have managed just 0.6 so far.
Form and Line-up Nice
Nice have had mixed results in the league so far: in September, they beat Lille 2:1 at home, but lost 0:1 away to Auxerre and drew 1:1 with Le Mans.
Earlier, they lost 0:3 to Paris and drew 0:0 with Lorient. Ahead of this match, defender Mohamed Abdelmonem returned early from the Egypt national team to avoid risking his fitness on an artificial pitch and continue preparing with his club.
- Nice had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches.
- The two teams had more than 23.5 shots between them in 8 of Nice's last 10 Ligue 1 home matches.
- Nice received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches.
Probable Nice line-up (3-4-2-1): Yehvann Diouf, Jonathan Clauss, Mohamed Abdelmonem, Youssouf Ndayishimiye, Junior Mwanga, Niels Nkounkou, Axel Witsel, Djibril Coulibaly, Elye Wahi, Gauthier Hein, Mohamed Amoura
Antoine Mendy, Moïse Bombito, Morgan Sanson and Laurent Aberzhel will miss the match.
Form and Line-up Strasbourg
Strasbourg have been involved in a run of high-scoring Ligue 1 matches: a 6:2 away win over Troyes, a 2:1 home victory against Lens and a 1:1 draw with Monaco.
Defensive mistakes have also led to costly setbacks: Strasbourg lost 1:2 away to Paris and 0:4 to Olympique de Marseille.
- More than 2.5 goals were scored in 8 of Strasbourg's last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
- Strasbourg's opponents had more than 3.5 shots on target in all 10 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
- The two teams had more than 8.5 shots on target between them in 9 of Strasbourg's last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
Probable Strasbourg line-up (4-2-3-1): Filip Jorgensen, Gideon Antwi, Haksim Mitchell, Ismaël Doukouré, Allan Oso, Samir El Mourabet, Diogo Sousa, Gessime Yassine, Giovanni Reyna, Sebastian Nanasi, Jacobo Ortega
The visitors' Maxi Oyedele, Martial Godo and Joaquín Panichelli are injured.
Teams' chances
A Nice win is offered at 2.30, with fair odds of 2.41 and a 41.5% probability. The draw is available at 3.65, with fair odds of 3.82 and a 26.1% probability; the corresponding figures for a Strasbourg win are 2.95, 3.09 and 32.4%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice win | 2.30 | 2.41 | 41.5% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.82 | 26.1% |
| Strasbourg win | 2.95 | 3.09 | 32.4% |
Total goals betting
Under 2.5 goals at 2.15 has longer odds than Over 2.5 goals at 1.70. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is favoured at 1.48, compared with 2.55 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.15 | 1.70 |
| 3.5 | 1.48 | 2.55 |
Handicap betting
Nice (-1.5) is offered at 4.30 and Strasbourg (-1.5) at 5.00. Nice (+1.5) has shorter odds at 1.12 than Strasbourg (+1.5) at 1.20. At the -1 handicap line, Nice (-1) is available at 3.35 and Strasbourg (-1) at 4.30; at the +1 line, Nice (+1) is 1.16 and Strasbourg (+1) is 1.28. For the zero handicap, Nice Draw No Bet (0) at 1.70 is favoured over Strasbourg Draw No Bet (0) at 2.15.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.30 | -1.5 | 5.00 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.35 | -1 | 4.30 |
| 1.16 | 1 | 1.28 |
| 1.70 | 0 | 2.15 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score – Yes at 1.57 is favoured over Both teams to score – No at 2.30, the outcome in which at least one team fails to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.57 |
| No | 2.30 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
The bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Nice — 1.5 goals; Strasbourg — 1.5 goals.
Nice team total goals
Nice team total goals: Over 0.5 at 1.17 has much shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 4.15; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 is 1.35 versus 3.00 for Under 1. At 1.5, the odds are close: Under 1.5 is 1.78 and Over 1.5 is 1.98. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is favoured at 1.30 over Over 2 at 3.15.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 3.00 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.78 | 1.5 | 1.98 |
| 1.30 | 2 | 3.15 |
Strasbourg team total goals
Strasbourg team total goals: Over 0.5 at 1.25 has shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 3.45, while Over 1 at 1.53 is shorter than Under 1 at 2.40. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is favoured at 1.60 over Over 1.5 at 2.30; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.22 versus 3.85 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.40 | 1 | 1.53 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
| 1.22 | 2 | 3.85 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Jérémie Pignard (France)
Matches – 19 (Ligue 1, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 4.1;
Matches with a red card – 4 of 19;
Matches with a penalty – 6 of 19.
