Odds overview
Paris are slight favourites at around 2.25 to win, while the draw is available at 3.40 and a Rennes win at 3.20. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 is a clear favourite over Under 2.5 goals at 2.20. For the main handicap, Paris (0) at 1.63 have shorter odds than Rennes (0) at 2.25.
Why Paris are favourites
Bookmakers offer odds of 2.25 on a Paris win and 3.20 on a Rennes win. The draw is available at 3.40.
• Paris have made a convincing start to the league season: ahead of the seventh round, they have taken 11 points from six matches and sit fifth in the table. That is a strong start for a club who finished 11th last season.
• Paris concede fewer goals per game than any other team — just 0.67 on average.
• Rennes have a busier schedule: the Breton side played in the UEFA Europa League this Thursday, leaving them less time to rest.
Form and Line-up Paris
Paris lost 0:1 away to Lorient in the previous round, conceding the only goal in the 68th minute. Liam Rosenior's side nevertheless took 16 shots, three of them on target.
- In eight of Paris's last 10 home matches in Ligue 1, their opponents scored fewer than 1.5 goals.
- Paris had more than 3.5 shots on target in nine of their last 10 home matches in Ligue 1.
- Paris's opponents committed fewer than 13.5 fouls in all of their last 10 home matches in Ligue 1.
Probable Paris line-up (4-2-3-1): Kevin Trapp, Hamari Traoré, Diego Coppola, Samir Chergui, Adama Camara, Pierre Lees-Melou, Maxime Lopez, Luca Koleosho, Pablo Pagis, Ilan Kebbal, Lassine Sinayoko
Absentees: Jonathan Ikoné, Nhoa Sangui (injured)
Form and Line-up Rennes
Rennes come into the match after a 4:1 home win over Auxerre, with two late stoppage-time goals from Boulaye Dia making the score emphatic. The Breton side are third in Ligue 1, just one point behind leaders Monaco. However, they played a demanding UEFA Europa League match this Thursday, snatching victory over Greek side OFI Crete only in the final minute of normal time.
- More than 2.5 goals were scored in all of Rennes's last 10 away matches in Ligue 1.
- Rennes had more than 3.5 shots on target in nine of their last 10 away matches in Ligue 1.
- More than 2.5 offsides were recorded in eight of Rennes's last 10 away matches in Ligue 1.
Probable Rennes line-up (4-3-3): Brice Samba, Bryan Reynolds, Charlie Cresswell, Anthony Rouault, Mahamadou Nagida, Adrien Thomasson, Valentin Rongier, Mahdi Camara, Mousa Al-Tamari, Estéban Lepaul, Issa Soumaré
The teams' chances
A Paris win is offered at 2.25, with fair odds of 2.36 and a 42.3% probability. The draw is available at 3.40, with fair odds of 3.57 and a 28.0% probability. A Rennes win is offered at 3.20, with fair odds of 3.36 and a 29.7% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris win | 2.25 | 2.36 | 42.3% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.57 | 28.0% |
| Rennes win | 3.20 | 3.36 | 29.7% |
Total goals betting outlook
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.20 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.67, so the market expects at least three goals. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.50 is a clear favourite over Over 3.5 goals at 2.50.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
Handicap betting outlook
Paris (-1.5) are available at 3.75 and Rennes (-1.5) at 5.90. At the 1.5-goal line, Paris (+1.5) are offered at 1.08 against 1.23 for Rennes (+1.5). Paris (-1) are available at 3.10, while Rennes (-1) are at 5.10; at the 1-goal line, Paris (+1) are quoted at 1.11 and Rennes (+1) at 1.32. On the zero handicap, Paris (0) at 1.63 have shorter odds than Rennes (0) at 2.25.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.75 | -1.5 | 5.90 |
| 1.08 | 1.5 | 1.23 |
| 3.10 | -1 | 5.10 |
| 1.11 | 1 | 1.32 |
| 1.63 | 0 | 2.25 |
Both teams to score betting outlook
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.52, while Both teams to score — No is at 2.45. The market considers both teams scoring considerably more likely; the No option means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.52 |
| No | 2.45 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/25
|
29/100
|
31/50
|
| 888sport |
9/25
|
3/10
|
61/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals betting outlook
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Paris — 1.5 goals; Rennes — 1.5 goals.
Paris team goals
For Paris team goals, Under 0.5 is available at 4.50 and Over 0.5 at 1.15. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is offered at 3.10 against 1.32 for Over 1. Under 1.5 and Over 1.5 have almost identical odds — 1.85 and 1.90 respectively. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is quoted at 1.40 and Over 2 at 2.75.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.50 | 0.5 | 1.15 |
| 3.10 | 1 | 1.32 |
| 1.85 | 1.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.40 | 2 | 2.75 |
Rennes team goals
For Rennes team goals, Under 0.5 is offered at 3.50 and Over 0.5 at 1.25. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is available at 2.40 and Over 1 at 1.55. Under 1.5 stands at 1.58 against 2.30 for Over 1.5. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is quoted at 1.16 and Over 2 at 4.30.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.40 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 1.58 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
| 1.16 | 2 | 4.30 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Bastien Dechepy (France)
Matches — 19 (Ligue 1, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 27;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.3;
Matches with a red card — 6 out of 19;
Matches with a penalty — 8 out of 19.
