Odds Overview
Paris are 1X2 favourites at around 2.00, while the draw and Strasbourg to win are available at 3.75 and 3.60 respectively. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.65 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.25. Paris Draw No Bet at 1.50 is quoted shorter than Strasbourg Draw No Bet at 2.60.
Why Paris Are the Match Favourites
The bookmakers favour the home side: Paris to win is available at 2.00, Strasbourg to win at 3.60, and the draw at 3.75.
• The hosts have started the competition confidently: after four rounds, Paris are fifth and unbeaten, with 8 points and a goal difference of 6:2.
• The visitors have regularly conceded early in the season: Strasbourg are conceding an average of 2 goals per game, joint-third in Ligue 1 on this metric.
Form and Line-up Paris
In the previous round, Paris drew 0:0 with Lyon. The side have also maintained discipline at home: in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches, Paris have committed no more than 13 fouls.
- At least 8 shots on target were recorded in 8 of Paris's last 10 Ligue 1 home matches
- There were at least 3 offsides in 9 of Paris's last 10 Ligue 1 home matches
- Paris received no more than 2 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches
Probable Paris line-up (4-2-3-1): Kevin Trapp, Hamari Traore, Diego Coppola, Samir Chergui, Adama Camara, Pierre Lees-Melou, Maxime Lopez, Luca Koleosho, Pablo Pagi, Ilan Kebbal, Lassine Sinayoko
Form and Line-up Strasbourg
Strasbourg shared the points with Monaco in the previous round, drawing 1:1, and have made a highly productive start in attack: averaging 2.25 goals scored per game, the Alsatians rank first in the league's pre-match standings.
- In 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away matches, Strasbourg have taken no more than 5 corners
- At least 9 shots on target were recorded in 9 of Strasbourg's last 10 Ligue 1 matches
- The total number of shots exceeded 24.5 in 9 of Strasbourg's last 10 Ligue 1 matches
Probable Strasbourg line-up (4-2-3-1): Filip Jorgensen, Godwin Antwi, Jekyll Mitchell, Ismael Doukoure, Joaquin Martinez Gauna, Diogo Loban de Souza, Pape Diop, Giovanni Reyna, Gessime Yassine, Jacobo Ortega, Sebastian Nanasi
Team Chances
Paris to win is available at 2.00; the fair odds are 2.09 and the probability is 47.9%. The draw is quoted at 3.75, with fair odds of 3.92 and a probability of 25.5%. Strasbourg to win is available at 3.60; the fair odds are 3.76 and the probability is 26.6%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris to win | 2.00 | 2.09 | 47.9% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.92 | 25.5% |
| Strasbourg to win | 3.60 | 3.76 | 26.6% |
Total Goals Prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 at 1.65 is quoted shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.25. At the 3.5 mark, the market favours Under 3.5 at 1.52, while Over 3.5 is available at 2.45.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.25 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.52 | 2.45 |
Handicap Prediction
Paris (-1.5) is available at 3.25, compared with 6.10 for Strasbourg (-1.5). At the 1.5 handicap line, Paris (+1.5) at 1.08 is quoted shorter than Strasbourg (+1.5) at 1.30. At the -1 handicap, the odds are 2.65 for Paris (-1) and 5.40 for Strasbourg (-1); at the +1 handicap, they are 1.10 for Paris (+1) and 1.43 for Strasbourg (+1). In the zero line, Paris Draw No Bet at 1.50 is preferred to Strasbourg Draw No Bet at 2.60.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.25 | -1.5 | 6.10 |
| 1.08 | 1.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.65 | -1 | 5.40 |
| 1.10 | 1 | 1.43 |
| 1.50 | 0 | 2.60 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.55, considerably shorter than 2.35 for Both teams to score - No, meaning a scenario in which at least one team does not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 |
| No | 2.35 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Paris — 1.5 goals; Strasbourg — 1 goal.
Paris Team Total
Paris team total: Over 0.5 at 1.12 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 5.00; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 at 1.27 is available against Under 1 at 3.45. At the 1.5 mark, the odds are close: Under 1.5 — 1.92, Over 1.5 — 1.83. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.47 is quoted shorter than Over 2 at 2.60.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.00 | 0.5 | 1.12 |
| 3.45 | 1 | 1.27 |
| 1.92 | 1.5 | 1.83 |
| 1.47 | 2 | 2.60 |
Strasbourg Team Total
Strasbourg team total: Over 0.5 at 1.30 is quoted shorter than Under 0.5 at 3.15. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 at 1.65 is preferred to Under 1 at 2.15, while at the 1.5 mark Under 1.5 is shorter at 1.50, compared with 2.50 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.15 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.15 | 1 | 1.65 |
| 1.50 | 1.5 | 2.50 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Jeremy Stinat (France)
Matches — 17 (Ligue 1, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 3.7;
Matches with red cards — 3 of 17;
Matches with penalties — 2 of 17.
