Odds overview
The betting markets give Torino a slight edge: Torino to win is available at 2.50, while a draw is around 3.05 and Parma to win is 3.15. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals is shorter at 1.58 than Over 2.5 goals at 2.40. At a handicap of 0, Torino Draw No Bet is quoted at 1.70 and Parma Draw No Bet at 2.15.
Why Torino are favourites
Bookmakers favour Torino: a Torino win is offered at 2.50, compared with 3.15 for Parma to win and 3.05 for a draw.
- Torino have made a decent start to the season, beating Fiorentina 2:1 away and Udinese 2:1 at home.
- Parma have stumbled regularly in Serie A, losing 1:2 to Como and 0:3 to Inter.
Form and Line-up Parma
Parma have had a mixed run in the league: they beat Genoa 2:1 at home and drew 1:1 with Monza. Alberto Gilardino was appointed head coach on 29 September 2026.
The hosts' main problem remains their attack: Parma's expected goals (xG) figure is just 0.65, the lowest in the league.
- There have been fewer than 10.5 corners in 8 of Parma's last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 9 of Parma's last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- There have been fewer than 9.5 shots on target in 9 of Parma's last 10 home matches in Serie A.
Probable line-up (3-5-2): Edoardo Corvi, Mariano Troilo, Diego Carlos, Franco Carboni, Enrico Delprato, Giovanni Fabbian, Vincent Sierro, Mandela Keita, Emanuele Valeri, El Bilal Touré, Nesta Elphege.
Form and Line-up Torino
Torino have mixed setbacks with points gained: they lost 0:2 to AS Roma but earned a 1:1 draw away to Bologna.
Matches involving the visitors have been subdued: teams average 7.17 shots on target per Torino match, the lowest figure in Serie A.
- There have been fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of Torino's last 10 away matches in Serie A.
- There have been fewer than 3.5 goals in 9 of Torino's last 10 away matches in Serie A.
- There have been fewer than 4.5 yellow cards in Torino's last 10 away matches in Serie A.
Probable line-up (3-5-2): Lucas Perri, Pietro Comuzzo, Saúl Coco, Ricardo Rodríguez, Rafik Belghali, Daniel Bragansa, Rolando Mandragora, Gaetano Oristanio, Alessio Cacciamani, Che Adams, Giovanni Simeone.
Teams' chances
Torino are favourites on a margin-free basis: a Torino win has a 38.3% probability, with odds of 2.50 and fair odds of 2.61. A draw is rated at 31.4%, with odds of 3.05 and fair odds of 3.19; a Parma win is rated at 30.4%, with odds of 3.15 and fair odds of 3.29.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma to win | 3.15 | 3.29 | 30.4% |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.19 | 31.4% |
| Torino to win | 2.50 | 2.61 | 38.3% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.58, compared with 2.40 for Over 2.5 goals. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals has a slight edge at 1.80, compared with 1.95 for Under 2 goals. Under 3.5 goals is quoted at 1.16 and Over 3.5 goals at 4.30.
| Total-goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.58 | 2.40 |
| 2 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 1.16 | 4.30 |
Handicap prediction
Parma (-1.5) is available at 6.80, longer than Torino (-1.5) at 5.10. At the 1.5 handicap line, Torino (+1.5) is slightly shorter at 1.06 than Parma (+1.5) at 1.12. At the -1 line, Parma (-1) is available at 5.80 and Torino (-1) at 4.10; at the 1 line, Parma (+1) is 1.18 and Torino (+1) is 1.09. At a handicap of 0, Torino Draw No Bet is 1.70 and Parma Draw No Bet is 2.15.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.80 | -1.5 | 5.10 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 1.06 |
| 5.80 | -1 | 4.10 |
| 1.18 | 1 | 1.09 |
| 2.15 | 0 | 1.70 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is shorter at 1.80 than Both teams to score – Yes at 1.95.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.95 |
| No | 1.80 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
57/100
|
9/25
|
3/10
|
| 888sport |
57/100
|
9/25
|
33/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Parma — 1 goal; Torino — 1 goal.
Parma team goals
Parma team goals: Under 0.5 goals is 2.60, compared with 1.47 for Over 0.5 goals; Under 1 goal is 1.67, compared with 2.13 for Over 1 goal; Under 1.5 goals is 1.30 and Over 1.5 goals is 3.25.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 0.5 | 1.47 |
| 1.67 | 1 | 2.13 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.25 |
Torino team goals
Torino team goals: Under 0.5 goals is 2.90, compared with 1.35 for Over 0.5 goals; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is 1.80 and Under 1 goal is 1.95; Under 1.5 goals is 1.40, compared with 2.70 for Over 1.5 goals.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 1.95 | 1 | 1.80 |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | 2.70 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Giovanni Airoldi (Italy)
Matches – 11 (Serie A, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellow cards) – 4.5;
Matches with a red card – 1 of 11;
Matches with a penalty – 1 of 11.
