Odds overview
Udinese are slight favourites to win at 2.50, while Parma are at 3.00 and the draw is at 3.20. Under 2.5 goals has shorter odds than Over 2.5 goals, at 1.67 against 2.20. In the main handicap market at 0, Udinese are at 1.75 and Parma at 2.08.
Why Udinese are favourites
The bookmakers make Udinese favourites: an away win is available at 2.50, a Parma win at 3.00 and a draw at 3.20.
• Before Matchday 9, Parma are 19th in the relegation zone with just 4 points from 8 matches and a goal difference of 5:15.
• Udinese look more convincing in attack, averaging 1.29 goals per match across 7 games.
Form and Line-up Parma
Parma's main problem is their lack of attacking output: they average 0.62 goals per game, the lowest figure in Serie A.
Parma's defensive organisation also leaves much to be desired: the hosts concede an average of 1.88 goals per match, while their team total has been Under 1.5 goals in all of their last 10 away matches.
- There have been Under 3.5 goals in all of Parma's last 10 Serie A matches.
- Parma's opponents have been caught offside more than 1.5 times in 8 of Parma's last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- There have been Under 10.5 corners in 9 of Parma's last 10 home matches in Serie A.
Probable Parma line-up (3-4-2-1): Edoardo Corvi, Enrico Del Prato, Diego Carlos, Mariano Troilo, Dominik Drobnic, Emanuele Valeri, Mandela Keita, Vincent Sierro, Cristian Ordóñez, El Bilal Touré, David Romero
Form and Line-up Udinese
Udinese's matches this season have been open and high-scoring: their games average 3.58 goals, the second-highest figure in the league.
The visitors' defensive problems are plain to see: Udinese concede an average of 2.29 goals per game, and opponents have attempted more than 11.5 shots against them in 9 of their last 10 away matches in Serie A.
- Udinese have committed fewer than 13.5 fouls in all of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- There have been Under 4.5 yellow cards in 9 of Udinese's last 10 away matches in Serie A.
- Udinese have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 away matches in Serie A.
Probable Udinese line-up (3-4-2-1): Maduka Okoye, Christian Kabasele, James Abankwah, Enzo Ebosse, Mergim Vojvoda, Jesper Karlstrom, Oier Zarraga, Hassane Kamara, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Keinan Davis
The teams' chances
Udinese to win is offered at 2.50, with fair odds of 2.61 and a probability of 38.2%. For Parma to win, the corresponding figures are 3.00, 3.14 and 31.9%; for the draw, they are 3.20, 3.35 and 29.9%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma to win | 3.00 | 3.14 | 31.9% |
| Draw | 3.20 | 3.35 | 29.9% |
| Udinese to win | 2.50 | 2.61 | 38.2% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is offered at 1.67, compared with 2.20 for Over 2.5 goals. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 is shorter at 1.70, against 2.10 for Under 2. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 is the shorter option at 1.23, while Over 3.5 is at 3.75.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 2 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 3.5 | 1.23 | 3.75 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 handicap line, Udinese (-1.5) are at 4.90, shorter than Parma (-1.5) at 6.40. With a handicap of 1, the odds are close to the minimum: Udinese (+1) are at 1.10 and Parma (+1) at 1.20; at +1.5, they are 1.07 and 1.12 respectively. On the zero handicap, Udinese (0) at 1.75 have shorter odds than Parma (0) at 2.08. At -1, Udinese (-1) are at 4.20 and Parma (-1) at 5.40.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.40 | -1.5 | 4.90 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 1.07 |
| 5.40 | -1 | 4.20 |
| 1.20 | 1 | 1.10 |
| 2.08 | 0 | 1.75 |
Both teams to score prediction
The odds are almost level: Both teams to score - No is at 1.85 and Both teams to score - Yes at 1.90. The shorter odds for No mean the market slightly favours at least one team failing to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.90 |
| No | 1.85 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/2
|
9/25
|
2/5
|
| 888sport |
53/100
|
33/100
|
9/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Parma — 1 goal; Udinese — 1 goal.
Parma team total goals
For Parma's team total, Over 0.5 goals is offered at 1.42, compared with 2.65 for Under 0.5. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is at 1.80 and Over 1 at 1.95. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 has shorter odds at 1.35, while Over 1.5 is at 2.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.42 |
| 1.80 | 1 | 1.95 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.90 |
Udinese team total goals
For Udinese's team total, Over 0.5 goals is at 1.35 and Under 0.5 at 3.00. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 is at 1.73 against 2.05 for Under 1; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is offered at 1.48 and Over 1.5 at 2.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.00 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.05 | 1 | 1.73 |
| 1.48 | 1.5 | 2.55 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Davide Massa (Italy)
Matches — 20 (Serie A, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 27;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.5;
Matches with a red card — 4 of 20;
Matches with a penalty — 5 of 20.
