The Matchday 36 La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Mallorca will take place on May 14 at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs. Mallorca: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Real Madrid
The Madrid team played a spectacular match in the last round away against Barcelona. However, even after leading by two goals, the capital club ultimately lost (3-4). Interestingly, Kylian Mbappe scored a hat-trick in this match and became the first player in the club's history to score such a number of goals against the Catalans, yet still lost El Clasico. As a result, the gap from Barcelona became seven points, which, with three rounds to go, indicates that Carlo Ancelotti's team will end the season without trophies. The Italian coach will leave Madrid at the end of the season, and Xabi Alonso will take over.
- The team has won 7 of their last 9 league games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Real's last 10 La Liga matches.
- Madrid opened the scoring in 10 of their last 12 La Liga matches.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-4-2)
Thibaut Courtois – Lucas Vazquez, Raul Asencio, Fran Garcia, Aurelien Tchouameni – Federico Valverde, Dani Ceballos, Arda Guler, Jude Bellingham – Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior.
Due to injuries, defenders Lucas Vazquez, David Alaba, Eder Militao, Ferland Mendy, and Dani Carvajal, midfielder Eduardo Camavinga, and forward Vinicius Junior are out. Defender Antonio Rudiger is suspended for six matches and also out for two months due to injury. Additionally, midfielder Aurelien Tchouameni will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Mallorca
The islanders have not won or scored in three consecutive La Liga matches. In this series, the team drew with Leganes (0-0) and lost 0-1 to both Barcelona and Girona. In the last round, they broke this unsuccessful streak by defeating Valladolid 2-1 at home. The victory allowed them to keep their chances of entering the European competition zone. Currently, the team is ninth, but only trails Rayo Vallecano above them on tiebreakers.
- The club has not won in 8 of their last 11 La Liga matches (4 draws and 4 losses).
- No more than two goals were scored in 8 of Mallorca's last 11 league matches.
- The islanders lost only one first half in their last 10 La Liga matches (3 wins and 6 draws).
Predicted lineup for Mallorca (4-5-1)
Dominik Greif – Martin Valjent, Antonio Raillo, Pablo Maffeo, Joan Mojica – Takuma Asano, Sergi Darder, Daniel Rodriguez, Omar Mascarell, Samu Costa – Vedat Muriqi.
Referee
Javier Alberola Rojas (Spain)
Matches – 18 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 56;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 39%.
Real Madrid vs. Mallorca: Match Prediction
The capital club had a chance to partially salvage a failed season, but in a head-to-head clash with Barcelona, the team lost. Notably, Madrid lost all four El Clasico matches this season (including the extra-time defeat in the Spanish Cup final). After such another setback from the Catalans, Real Madrid players are likely not in the best condition, and considering the club has already secured a Champions League spot, they lack motivation for the final three rounds.
The islanders should take advantage of this situation. Mallorca doesn't play spectacular football, but they are not easy to beat. Jagoba Arrasate's team has not lost by two or more goals in 13 consecutive La Liga matches. Also, Madrid hasn't shown dominant victories: in their last 10 league games, they won seven times by a narrow margin and lost three times. Moreover, in the last four head-to-head meetings in La Liga, the islanders haven't lost by more than one goal.
My prediction – Mallorca with a handicap (+1.5)
