Odds overview
Rennes are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.45, while the draw and an Auxerre win are offered at 4.90 and 6.60. In the total goals market, Over 2.5 at 1.50 is considered much more likely than Under 2.5 at 2.50. Rennes (-1) at 1.65 have shorter odds than Auxerre (+1) at 2.15 in the handicap market.
Why Rennes are favourites
The bookmakers' odds clearly favour the hosts: a Rennes win is offered at 1.45, the draw at 4.90 and an Auxerre win at 6.60.
• Rennes have consistently picked up points at home, winning or drawing 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches.
• Auxerre's defence allow plenty of chances away from home: opponents have attempted more than 11.5 shots in 9 of the Burgundy club's last 10 away league matches.
Form and Line-up Rennes
Rennes lost 0:1 to Laval in a friendly on 2 October, although the Breton side hit the woodwork four times and rotated their squad, bringing in academy players.
In Ligue 1 fixtures, Rennes regularly put pressure on the opposition penalty area, attempting more than 11.5 shots, including blocked efforts, in 8 of their last 10 home matches.
- Rennes have taken more than 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches.
- Rennes' opponents have received more than 1.5 yellow cards in 9 of Rennes' last 10 Ligue 1 home matches.
- The two teams have attempted more than 23.5 shots combined in all 10 of Rennes' last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
Probable Rennes line-up (4-3-3): Nicolas Lemaître, Bryan Reynolds, Charlie Cresswell, Anthony Rouault, Quentin Merlin, Valentin Ronge, Mady Camara, Adrien Thomasson, Arnaud Nordin, Eliezer Mayenda, Elías Legendre Quiñónez
Form and Line-up Auxerre
Auxerre beat Clermont 4:3 in a friendly on 2 October, taking a 4:0 lead by the 59th minute before conceding three late goals following two penalties and Sinaly Diomandé's sending-off.
Away from home in the French league, however, the Burgundy club are less likely to turn attacks into shots on target, registering fewer than 4.5 in 9 of their last 10 away matches.
- Auxerre have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
- More than 23.5 fouls have been recorded in 8 of Auxerre's last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
- Auxerre have received more than 1.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
Probable Auxerre line-up (3-4-3): Paul Nardi, Sinaly Diomandé, Clément Petit Dôle, Clément Akpa, Rudy Matondo, Tyler Ekwah, Naouirou Ahamada, Fredrik Oppegård, Romain Faivre, Cameron Archer, Rémy Labeau-Lascary
Match result probabilities
A Rennes win is offered at 1.45, with fair odds of 1.52 and a fair probability of 66.0%. The draw is available at 4.90, with fair odds of 5.12 and a fair probability of 19.5%; the corresponding figures for an Auxerre win are 6.60, 6.90 and 14.5%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes win | 1.45 | 1.52 | 66.0% |
| Draw | 4.90 | 5.12 | 19.5% |
| Auxerre win | 6.60 | 6.90 | 14.5% |
Total goals prediction
In the 2.5-goal market, Under 2.5 is available at 2.50 and Over 2.5 at 1.50, favouring a match with three or more goals. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 at 1.67 is favoured over Over 3.5 at 2.20.
| Total goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 3.5 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
Handicap prediction
Rennes (-1.5) are available at 2.13 and Auxerre (+1.5) at 1.70. On the one-goal handicap, Rennes (-1) are offered at 1.65 compared with 2.15 for Auxerre (+1). With a handicap of 0, Rennes are quoted at 1.15 and Auxerre at 4.50.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.13 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.70 | |
| 1.65 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.15 | |
| 1.15 | 0 | 4.50 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes at 1.68 is considered more likely than Both teams to score – No at 2.13; the latter means that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.68 |
| No | 2.13 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/10
|
9/50
|
163/100
|
| 888sport |
3/25
|
9/50
|
17/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Rennes — 2 goals; Auxerre — 0.5 goals.
Rennes team total goals
For Rennes' team total, Under 0.5 is available at 7.70 and Over 0.5 at 1.04; at 1.5 goals, the respective odds are 2.65 and 1.42. On the 2-goal line, Under 2 is offered at 2.05 and Over 2 at 1.72, while at 2.5 goals Under 2.5 at 1.60 has shorter odds than Over 2.5 at 2.25.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.70 | 0.5 | 1.04 |
| 2.65 | 1.5 | 1.42 |
| 2.05 | 2 | 1.72 |
| 1.60 | 2.5 | 2.25 |
Auxerre team total goals
For Auxerre's team total, Under 0.5 is offered at 2.35 and Over 0.5 at 1.55. On the 1-goal line, Under 1 is available at 1.55 compared with 2.35 for Over 1; at 1.5 goals, the respective odds are 1.25 and 3.45.
| Under | Team total goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.55 | 1 | 2.35 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.45 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Willy Delajod (France)
Matches — 20 (Ligue 1, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4;
Matches with a red card — 4 out of 20;
Matches with a penalty — 7 out of 20.
