Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, the home win at 1.45 is the clear favourite ahead of the draw at 4.90 and the away win at 6.80. In the main total market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is rated considerably higher than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. In the handicap market, Le Mans (+1.5) at 1.70 is preferred to Rennes (-1.5) at 2.17.
Why Rennes are favourites for the match
Bookmakers consider Rennes clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.45, the draw is at 4.90 and a Le Mans win is at 6.80.
- Rennes regularly pose a threat in front of the opposition goal: in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches, the Bretons have registered at least four shots on target.
- The hosts confidently control the overall number of attacking moves, registering more than 11 shot attempts, including blocked efforts, in 8 of their last 10 tournament matches.
Form and Line-up Rennes
Rennes began their Ligue 1 campaign with a 2:2 draw against Paris Saint-Germain. The Bretons rank among the league's three highest-scoring teams by average goals scored. At home, the team maintain a high attacking line and use the flanks actively, matching their opponents for offsides in 9 of their last 10 league home matches.
Key numbers:
- In 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches, Rennes have taken at least 5 corners.
- In 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches, Rennes have recorded at least 4 shots on target.
- In 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches, Rennes have received no more than 2 yellow cards.
Probable Rennes line-up (4-3-3): Brice Samba — Przemyslaw Frankowski — Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal — Charlie Cresswell — Mahamadou Nagida — Adrien Thomasson — Valentin Rongier — Sebastian Szymanski — Mousa Tamari — Esteban Lepaul — Issa Soumare
Mahdi Camara served a suspension in the first round.
Form and Line-up Le Mans
Le Mans entered the top flight with a 2:2 draw against Brest, also scoring twice in their opening match. However, the visitors still have serious defensive gaps, with their opponents creating four clear-cut chances. To strengthen the defensive unit, the club brought in Ryan Bamba on loan from Rennes.
Key numbers:
- In 8 of Le Mans' last 10 matches in all competitions, they and their opponents have taken no more than 9 corners.
- In 9 of Le Mans' last 10 matches in all competitions, their opponents have committed no more than 13 fouls.
- At least 4 offsides have been recorded in 8 of Le Mans' last 10 away matches in all competitions.
Probable Le Mans line-up (3-5-2): Nicolas Kocik — Ryan Bamba — Theo Eyoum — Noa Boisse — Yasser Larouci — Antoine Rabillard — Alexandre Lauray — Adil Bourabaa — Lucas Buades — Louis Mouton — Dame Gueye
Djibril Sidibe and Mama Balde remained doubts for Le Mans because of injuries.
Team chances
The home win is available at 1.45, with fair odds of 1.51 and a 66.3% probability. The draw is at 4.90, with fair odds of 5.10 and a 19.6% probability; the away win is at 6.80, with fair odds of 7.08 and a 14.1% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes to win | 1.45 | 1.51 | 66.3% |
| Draw | 4.90 | 5.10 | 19.6% |
| Le Mans to win | 6.80 | 7.08 | 14.1% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over is considerably preferred at 1.55 to Under at 2.35. At the 3.5 line, the relationship is reversed: Under is at 1.60, while Over is at 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
Rennes (-1.5) is available at 2.17, while Le Mans (+1.5) is at 1.70, so the option in favour of the visitors is rated lower. At the 1 line, Rennes (-1) is at 1.65, while Le Mans (+1) is at 2.15. With the Draw No Bet handicap, Rennes (0) at 1.14 is considerably shorter than Le Mans (0) at 4.60.
| Home team | Handicap | Away team |
|---|---|---|
| 2.17 | -1.5 | — |
| — | 1.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.65 | -1 | — |
| — | 1 | 2.15 |
| 1.14 | 0 | 4.60 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.75 is rated higher than Both teams to score - No at 2.05; the latter means that at least one of the teams will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.75 |
| No | 2.05 |
Double chance prediction
The most likely double chance is 1X at 1.13, followed by 12 at 1.20. X2 at 2.80 is rated substantially lower.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | 1.20 | 2.80 |
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Rennes — 2 goals; Le Mans — 0.5 goals.
Rennes team total
Rennes: at the 0.5 line, Over at 1.04 is considerably preferred to Under at 8.00. At 1.5, Over is at 1.45 compared with 2.65 for Under; at the 2 line, Over at 1.80 is slightly shorter than Under at 1.95. At the 2.5 mark, Under at 1.50 is rated higher than Over at 2.45.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 8.00 | 0.5 | 1.04 |
| 2.65 | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.95 | 2 | 1.80 |
| 1.50 | 2.5 | 2.45 |
Le Mans team total
Le Mans: at the 0.5 line, Over at 1.60 is preferred to Under at 2.25. At the 1 mark, Under is at 1.50 compared with 2.55 for Over, while at the 1.5 line, Under at 1.22 is considerably shorter than Over at 3.85.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.50 | 1 | 2.55 |
| 1.22 | 1.5 | 3.85 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Romain Lissorgue (France)
Matches — 11 (Ligue 1, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.1;
Matches with red cards — 1 of 11;
Matches with penalties — 3 of 11.
