Odds overview
AS Roma are clear favourites: a Roma win is available at 1.35, compared with 4.80 for a draw and 9.50 for a Cagliari Calcio win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.15. Roma (-1) at 1.53 is considerably shorter than Cagliari (+1) at 2.45; at a handicap of 0, the gap is wider still — 1.07 against 6.20.
Why AS Roma are favourites
Bookmakers give AS Roma a clear advantage: a Roma win is offered at 1.35 (a 70.3% probability excluding the margin), a draw at 4.80 (19.8%) and a Cagliari Calcio win at 9.50 (10.0%).
• The hosts have been effective in attack, averaging 2.38 goals per Serie A match and ranking second in the league for chances created, with an xG of 2.15.
• The visitors' attacking slump widens the gap between the teams: Cagliari Calcio have scored just 0.75 goals per game over the same period, while their matches have the league's lowest combined goal average (1.88).
Form and Line-up AS Roma
AS Roma have been strong at home, going unbeaten in their last 10 home Serie A matches. They drew 3:3 away to Napoli in the previous round, again demonstrating their attacking output.
- AS Roma conceded fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 home Serie A matches.
- AS Roma's opponents attempted fewer than 13.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 home league matches.
- AS Roma and their opponents had more than 7.5 shots on target combined in 8 of Roma's last 10 home league matches.
Probable line-up (3-5-2): Pierluigi Gollini, Mario Hermoso, Evan N'Dicka, Gianluca Mancini, Wesley, Niccolo Pisilli, Bryan Cristante, Marten de Roon, Devyne Rensch, Donyell Malen, Matías Soulé
Form and Line-up Cagliari Calcio
Cagliari Calcio have taken 13 points from 8 rounds and sit eighth in Serie A, but lost their previous match to Bologna 0:2. After the game, head coach Fabio Pisacane pointed to too many sideways passes and too few runs into the space behind the defenders.
- Cagliari Calcio took fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 away Serie A matches.
- Cagliari Calcio scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 away league matches.
- There were fewer than 4.5 yellow cards in 9 of Cagliari Calcio's last 10 away league matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-2-1): Elia Caprile, Zé Pedro, Alessandro Deiola, Juan Rodriguez, Adam Obert, Alessandro Romano, Harry Winks, Yann Massolin, Daniel Maldini, Ndary Adopo, Paul Mendy
Harry Winks is doubtful because of back problems.
The teams' chances
An AS Roma win is offered at 1.35, with fair odds of 1.42 and a 70.3% probability. A draw is available at 4.80, with fair odds of 5.06 and a 19.8% probability; the corresponding figures for a Cagliari Calcio win are 9.50, 10.02 and 10.0%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability excluding margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma win | 1.35 | 1.42 | 70.3% |
| Draw | 4.80 | 5.06 | 19.8% |
| Cagliari Calcio win | 9.50 | 10.02 | 10.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.70 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.15. At 3.5 goals, the market instead favours Under 3.5 at 1.45 over Over 3.5 at 2.60.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.15 | 1.70 |
| 3.5 | 1.45 | 2.60 |
Handicap prediction
AS Roma (-1.5) are offered at 2.00 and Cagliari Calcio (+1.5) at 1.80. Roma (-1) at 1.53 are considerably shorter than Cagliari (+1) at 2.45. With a handicap of 0, Roma are available at 1.07 against 6.20 for Cagliari.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.80 | |
| 1.53 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.45 | |
| 1.07 | 0 | 6.20 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — No at 1.75 looks more likely than Both teams to score — Yes at 2.03: the market favours at least one team failing to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.03 |
| No | 1.75 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/100
|
17/100
|
9/4
|
| 888sport |
3/50
|
9/50
|
21/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: AS Roma — 2 goals; Cagliari Calcio — 0.5 goals.
AS Roma team goals
For AS Roma's team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.04 is strongly favoured over Under 0.5 at 7.70; Over 1.5 is available at 1.45 against 2.65 for Under 1.5. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 is offered at 1.80 and Under 2 at 1.95, while at 2.5 goals, Under 2.5 at 1.53 is shorter than Over 2.5 at 2.45.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.70 | 0.5 | 1.04 |
| 2.65 | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.95 | 2 | 1.80 |
| 1.53 | 2.5 | 2.45 |
Cagliari Calcio team goals
For Cagliari Calcio's team goals, Under 0.5 and Over 0.5 have the same odds of 1.88. Under 1 at 1.27 is considerably shorter than Over 1 at 3.40, as is Under 1.5 at 1.13 compared with Over 1.5 at 4.80.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.88 | 0.5 | 1.88 |
| 1.27 | 1 | 3.40 |
| 1.13 | 1.5 | 4.80 |
