Odds overview
Roma are clear favourites at 1.43 to win, while the draw and a Genoa win are available at around 4.70 and 7.40. In the 2.5 goals market, Over 2.5 at 1.70 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.15. Roma (-1.5) are offered at 2.15, while Genoa (+1.5) are at 1.70.
Why Roma are favourites
Bookmakers give the hosts a clear edge: Roma are 1.43 to win, the draw is 4.70 and Genoa are offered at 7.40.
• League position: after six rounds, Roma are third in Serie A with 14 points, having scored 14 goals and conceded just three — the fewest in the league.
• The visitors' low scoring rate: Genoa average just 0.83 goals per game, the second-lowest figure in the league.
• Head-to-head record: Roma have won 8 of the last 10 meetings at the Stadio Olimpico. The other two ended in draws.
Form and Line-up Roma
Roma are highly active in attack. They create more chances than any other side, averaging 2.87 xG per match. Their main driving force is the Paulo Dybala–Donyell Malen partnership: the Argentine has provided four assists and the Dutchman has scored six goals. Malen, however, cannot face Genoa after losing his composure and being sent off against Como in the previous round. Santiago Castro, who has yet to score this season, is expected to replace him up front.
- Roma are unbeaten in their last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- Roma's opponents have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- Roma have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home league matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Pierluigi Gollini, Gianluca Mancini, Evan N'Dicka, Mario Hermoso, Nahuel Molina, Marten de Roon, Manu Kone, Wesley, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Paulo Dybala, Santiago Castro
Absentees: Donyell Malen (suspended), Mile Svilar and Bryan Cristante (injured); Manu Kone (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Genoa
Genoa claimed their first Serie A win of the season only in the sixth round, after the international break, beating Fiorentina 2:1 at home. Previously, they lost 1:2 to Parma and drew 1:1 with Frosinone. Those results leave them 17th, just above the relegation zone. At least Daniele De Rossi's side had a full week to prepare, unlike Roma, who faced Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League in midweek (3:4).
- Genoa have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 away matches in Serie A.
- Genoa have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 away league matches.
- Genoa have attempted fewer than 13.5 shots, including blocked shots, in 9 of their last 10 away matches in Serie A.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Justin Bijlow, Kingsley Ehizibue, Cody Drameh, Leo Østigård, Johan Vásquez, Hamed Traore, Morten Frendrup, Mikael Ellertsson, Junior Messias, Stephan El Shaarawy, Milutin Osmajić
Absentees: Lorenzo Colombo, Sebastian Otoa, Elias Havel, Ethan Meichtry and Djibril Sow (injured); Alex Amorim (doubtful)
The teams' chances
Roma are offered at 1.43 to win, with fair odds of 1.50 and a probability of 66.8%. The draw is available at 4.70, with fair odds of 4.92 and a probability of 20.3%; the corresponding figures for a Genoa win are 7.40, 7.75 and 12.9%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma win | 1.43 | 1.50 | 66.8% |
| Draw | 4.70 | 4.92 | 20.3% |
| Genoa win | 7.40 | 7.75 | 12.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is 2.15 and Over 2.5 is 1.70, favouring at least three goals. At 3.5, by contrast, Under 3.5 at 1.45 is much shorter than Over 3.5 at 2.60.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.15 | 1.70 |
| 3.5 | 1.45 | 2.60 |
Handicap prediction
Roma (-1.5) are offered at 2.15, while Genoa (+1.5) are at 1.70. At the one-goal handicap line, Roma (-1) are 1.65 and Genoa (+1) are 2.20. For a zero handicap, Roma (0) are 1.12 and Genoa (0) are 5.00.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.15 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.70 | |
| 1.65 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.20 | |
| 1.12 | 0 | 5.00 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.90 and No at 1.85. The odds are almost level, with a slight edge for at least one team failing to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.90 |
| No | 1.85 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/10
|
9/50
|
163/100
|
| 888sport |
1/10
|
1/5
|
17/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Roma — 2 goals; Genoa — 0.5 goals.
Roma team goals
For Roma team goals, Under 0.5 is 7.50 and Over 0.5 is 1.05; Under 1.5 is 2.50 and Over 1.5 is 1.50. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.85 and Over 2 is 1.90; at 2.5, Under 2.5 is 1.48 and Over 2.5 is 2.55.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.50 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
| 2.50 | 1.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.85 | 2 | 1.90 |
| 1.48 | 2.5 | 2.55 |
Genoa team goals
For Genoa team goals, Under 0.5 is offered at 2.00 and Over 0.5 at 1.75; Under 1 is 1.37 and Over 1 is 2.85. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is 1.20 while Over 1.5 is 4.30.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| 1.37 | 1 | 2.85 |
| 1.20 | 1.5 | 4.30 |
