Odds overview
Juventus are clear favourites: the away win is available at 1.65, compared with 5.30 for the home win, while the draw is at 4.05. In the 2.5-goal totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.82 is slightly shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.00. In the handicap 0 market, Juventus Draw No Bet at 1.25 is significantly favoured over Sassuolo Draw No Bet at 3.65.
Why Juventus are favourites for the match
Juventus to win is available at 1.65, the draw at 4.05 and Sassuolo to win at 5.30. The arguments for this assessment are:
Juventus have made a convincing start to the league campaign — 7 points after three matches and only one goal conceded.
Juventus have been consistent over a longer period — they have lost only once in their last ten matches.
Juventus have conceded the fewest goals in the league — 0.33 per game. Sassuolo will find it extremely difficult to score against such a defence, and without a goal, victory is even more unrealistic.
Form and Line-up Sassuolo
In Matchday 3, Sassuolo let victory slip away at Bologna (2:2), conceding the equaliser in stoppage time. Before that, the hosts beat Torino at home (2:1) and began the season with a defeat to Atalanta (1:2). The team have been creating chances actively at the start of the season: with an xG of 2.06, they rank third in the league for this metric.
Key numbers:
No more than 25 fouls were recorded in 9 of Sassuolo's last 10 Serie A matches
Sassuolo took no more than 5 corners in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches
Sassuolo's opponents were caught offside no more than once in 9 of the last 10 Serie A matches
Probable Sassuolo line-up (4-3-3): Arijanet Muric — Simone Cinquegrano, Jay Idzes, Fedde Leysen, Josh Doig — Vasilije Adzic, Nemanja Matic, Luca Lipani — Domenico Berardi, Kieron Bowie, Armand Lauriente.
Absentees: Cristian Volpato, Daniel Boloca, Darryl Bakola, Edoardo Pieragnolo, Fali Cande, Ismael Kone, Sebastian Walukiewicz, Efeson Paz (all injured).
Form and Line-up Juventus
Juventus avoided defeat against Milan in their last match (1:1) thanks to Federico Gatti's stoppage-time goal. Earlier, the Turin side secured shutout wins over Parma (2:0) and Frosinone (1:0). Luciano Spalletti's team's main strength is their disciplined defence: in Serie A, the visitors concede an average of just 0.33 goals per game, ranking first in the league for this metric.
Key numbers:
No more than 9 shots on target were taken in 8 of Juventus's last 10 Serie A matches
No more than 4 yellow cards were shown in 8 of Juventus's last 10 Serie A away matches
Juventus's opponents took no more than 5 corners in 10 of their last 10 Serie A home matches
Probable Juventus line-up (4-2-3-1): Guglielmo Vicario — Pierre Kalulu, Bremer, Jhon Lucumi, Zeki Celik — Teun Koopmeiners, Douglas Luiz — Francisco Conceicao, Nick Woltemade, Nicolas Gonzalez — Randal Kolo Muani.
Absentees: Jeff Ekhator, Juan Cabal, Jeremie Boga, Kenan Yildiz, Khephren Thuram, Manuel Locatelli, Pape Matar Sarr, Weston McKennie (all injured), Arkadiusz Milik (suspended).
Team chances
Juventus to win is available at 1.65; the fair odds are 1.72 and the probability is 58.2%. The figures for the draw are 4.05, 4.22 and 23.7%, while those for Sassuolo to win are 5.30, 5.52 and 18.1%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Sassuolo to win | 5.30 | 5.52 | 18.1% |
Draw | 4.05 | 4.22 | 23.7% |
Juventus to win | 1.65 | 1.72 | 58.2% |
Total goals prediction
Over 2.5 goals at 1.82 is preferred to Under 2.5 goals at 2.00. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 at 1.40 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 at 2.80.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.00 | 1.82 |
3.5 | 1.40 | 2.80 |
Handicap prediction
Juventus (-1.5) is available at 2.65, while Sassuolo (+1.5) is at 1.45. At the -1 line, Juventus (-1) is available at 2.08; at the 1 line, Sassuolo (+1) is at 1.75. With a handicap of 0, Juventus Draw No Bet at 1.25 is considerably shorter than Sassuolo Draw No Bet at 3.65.
Home team | Handicap | Away team |
— | -1.5 | 2.65 |
1.45 | 1.5 | — |
— | -1 | 2.08 |
1.75 | 1 | — |
3.65 | 0 | 1.25 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.77, while Both teams to score - No is at 2.00; the market slightly favours both teams scoring.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.77 |
No | 2.00 |
Double chance prediction
X2 at 1.18 is the most likely double-chance outcome, 12 is available at 1.25, while 1X at 2.30 is considerably longer.
1X | 12 | X2 |
2.30 | 1.25 | 1.18 |
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Sassuolo — 0.5 goals, Juventus — 1.5 goals.
Sassuolo team total
Sassuolo team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.55 is shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.35; at the 1-goal line, Under is at 1.55 and Over at 2.35. At the 1.5-goal mark, Under at 1.27 is significantly favoured over Over at 3.45.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.35 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
1.55 | 1 | 2.35 |
1.27 | 1.5 | 3.45 |
Juventus team total
Juventus team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.10 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 5.50, while Over 1 at 1.20 is shorter than Under 1 at 4.20. At the 1.5-goal line, Over at 1.72 is shorter than Under at 2.05; at the 2-goal mark, Under at 1.55 is favoured over Over at 2.35.
Under | Team total | Over |
5.50 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
4.20 | 1 | 1.20 |
2.05 | 1.5 | 1.72 |
1.55 | 2 | 2.35 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
Matches – 12 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match – 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.5;
Matches with red cards – 0 out of 12;
Matches with penalties – 3 out of 12.
