Odds overview
Lazio are slight favourites, with an away win at 2.35 against 3.00 for a home win and 3.45 for a draw. In the main goals market, Over 2.5 at 1.73 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.10. Lazio Draw No Bet (0) at 1.70 is shorter than Sassuolo Draw No Bet (0) at 2.15.
Why Lazio are favourites
The bookmakers favour the visitors: Lazio are available at 2.35 to win, Sassuolo at 3.00 and the draw at 3.45.
• Lazio top the Serie A table after 8 matches, with 22 points, 16 goals scored and 5 conceded.
• The hosts have defensive problems: Sassuolo have conceded an average of 2 goals per game over the first 8 rounds of the season.
Form and Line-up Sassuolo
Sassuolo lost 0:2 to Como in the last round. At home, however, they have been productive in attack, scoring more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 Serie A home matches.
Sassuolo's matches have produced plenty of goalmouth threat: their games average a combined 12.12 shots on target, the highest figure among the league's 20 teams in the pre-match snapshot. In addition, more than 3.5 yellow cards were shown in 8 of their last 10 home league matches.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 8 of Sassuolo's last 10 Serie A home matches.
- Sassuolo's opponents scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 Serie A home matches.
- The combined foul total was under 24.5 in all 10 of Sassuolo's last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Stefano Turati, Ignace van der Brempt, Duje Ćaleta-Car, Fali Candé, Rafael Obrador, Vasilije Adžić, Nemanja Matić, Domenico Berardi, Darryl Bakola, Benjamín Domínguez, Kieron Bowie
Form and Line-up Lazio
Lazio beat Parma 2:1 in the previous round. Defensive solidity remains a defining feature of the Rome club: their figure of 0.57 goals conceded is the lowest among the league's 20 clubs in the pre-match snapshot.
Away from home, Lazio try to control matches tightly and limit chances at both ends. In 9 of their last 10 Serie A away matches, the combined shots on target total was under 9.5, while Lazio themselves attempted fewer than 13.5 shots in 8 of their last 10 away games.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in all 10 of Lazio's last 10 Serie A away matches.
- More than 8.5 corners were taken in 8 of Lazio's last 10 Serie A away matches.
- Lazio committed fewer than 13.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 Serie A away matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Christos Mandas, Romano Floriani Mussolini, Josip Šutalo, Oliver Provstgaard, Nuno Tavares, Davide Frattesi, Reda Belahyane, Kenneth Taylor, Gustav Isaksen, Tijjani Noslin, Mattia Zaccagni
Teams' chances
For a Lazio win, the average odds are 2.35, with fair odds of 2.46 and a 40.6% probability. The corresponding figures are 3.00, 3.15 and 31.8% for a Sassuolo win, and 3.45, 3.62 and 27.6% for a draw.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo win | 3.00 | 3.15 | 31.8% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.62 | 27.6% |
| Lazio win | 2.35 | 2.46 | 40.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.73 is shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.10. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 at 1.45 is a much stronger favourite than Over 3.5 at 2.65.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 3.5 | 1.45 | 2.65 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 handicap line, Lazio (-1.5) at 4.15 are shorter than Sassuolo (-1.5) at 4.90. At +1.5, Lazio (+1.5) at 1.13 and Sassuolo (+1.5) at 1.17 are close; at -1, Lazio (-1) are 3.50 against 4.30 for Sassuolo (-1). At the +1 line, Lazio (+1) at 1.16 are shorter than Sassuolo (+1) at 1.25, while on the zero handicap, Lazio (0) are 1.70 against 2.15 for Sassuolo (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.90 | -1.5 | 4.15 |
| 1.17 | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| 4.30 | -1 | 3.50 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 1.16 |
| 2.15 | 0 | 1.70 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.60, while No is 2.30: the market favours both teams finding the net.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 |
| No | 2.30 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
67/100
|
3/10
|
9/25
|
| 888sport |
13/20
|
3/10
|
9/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Sassuolo — 1.5 goals; Lazio — 1.5 goals.
Sassuolo team goals
For Sassuolo team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.27 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 3.40, while Over 1 at 1.55 compares with Under 1 at 2.35. At 1.5, Under 1.5 at 1.58 is favoured over Over 1.5 at 2.30; at 2, Under 2 at 1.22 compares with Over 2 at 3.85.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.40 | 0.5 | 1.27 |
| 2.35 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 1.58 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
| 1.22 | 2 | 3.85 |
Lazio team goals
For Lazio team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.20 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 4.30, while Over 1 at 1.37 compares with Under 1 at 2.85. At 1.5, Under 1.5 at 1.75 is shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.02; at 2, Under 2 at 1.30 compares with Over 2 at 3.25.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.30 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.85 | 1 | 1.37 |
| 1.75 | 1.5 | 2.02 |
| 1.30 | 2 | 3.25 |
