Match stats

Logo St. Pauli Logo Hoffenheim
43 Ball possession (%) 57
10 Goal attempts 4
5 Shots on Goal 0
2 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked shots 2

St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim: prediction & betting odds 14 Mar 2025

The Matchday 26 clash in the Bundesliga between St. Pauli and Hoffenheim will take place on March 14 at the Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs. Hoffenheim: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

St. Pauli

The Hamburg side ended their four-match losing streak in the league with a 1-1 draw against Wolfsburg in the last round. Additionally, Alexander Blessin's team scored for the first time during this stretch. However, their winless run has now reached six matches. In the standings, St. Pauli remains in 15th place, but their gap from the relegation zone has narrowed to two points.

  • At least one opponent failed to score in 10 of St. Pauli's last 12 Bundesliga matches.
  • At home, the club has not won in 5 of their last 6 league games (1 draw, 4 losses).
  • In 7 of their last 9 home games in this tournament, the team has not conceded more than one goal.

Predicted lineup for St. Pauli (3-4-3)

Nikola Vasil – Siebe van der Heyden, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth – Philipp Treu, Lars Ritzka, Jackson Irvine, Eric Smith – Noah Weißhaupt, Danel Sinani, Oladapo Afolayan.

Injured for the club are forward Morgan Guilavogui and midfielder James Sands.

Hoffenheim

The Sinsheim side settled for a 1-1 draw at home against Heidenheim in the last round. The team is unbeaten in four Bundesliga matches (2 wins, 2 draws), marking the longest unbeaten run under Christian Ilzer in this championship. However, they managed to keep a clean sheet in only one of these matches. Moreover, the club has only three clean sheets in the current tournament. In the main standings, Hoffenheim remains in 13th place.

  • Hoffenheim has not scored more than one goal in 5 of their last 6 league matches.
  • Away, the team has not won in 9 of their last 12 Bundesliga matches (4 draws, 5 losses).
  • The club has conceded in 6 of their last 7 away matches in this tournament.

Predicted lineup for Hoffenheim (4-4-2)

Oliver Baumann – Valentin Jander, Arthur Chaves, Pavel Kaderabek, Leo Estigor – Diadie Samassekou, Finn Ole Becker, Tom Bischof, Andrej Kramaric – Gift Orban, Haris Tabakovic.

Defender Arthur Chaves will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Midfielder Diadie Samassekou and forward Adam Hložek are injured.

St. Pauli vs. Hoffenheim: Match Prediction

The Hamburg side is fighting for survival, yet they display reliable defensive play. Alexander Blessin's team has conceded only 30 goals in the current championship, a figure some clubs in the European competition zone cannot boast. In terms of xGA, St. Pauli ranks in the top 6 of the tournament. However, all the team's problems stem from a weak attack: only one goal scored in the last five Bundesliga matches. At home, they have been the least prolific team in this tournament, scoring just 7 goals.

Although the Sinsheim side has scored in four consecutive league matches, their last two games raise questions about their attacking potential. Christian Ilzer's team scored only once against Bochum and Holstein Kiel, two clubs among the top three for goals conceded. Away, Hoffenheim has not scored more than one goal in 10 of their last 12 Bundesliga matches.

My prediction: Total under 3

* The starting lineup for each team reflects their lineup in the previous match of this tournament.

Betting tips 14 Mar 2025

Unlike St. Pauli, who have been dragged back into the relegation battle after a poor run of results, Hoffenheim have already secured a comfortable mid-table position. The hosts have struggled in Hamburg, winning just once in five home matches since the start of 2025.

Following a 1:1 draw with Wolfsburg, St. Pauli remain five points above the automatic relegation zone, but the playoff spot is now just two points away. They have picked up only two points from the last six league matches and injuries combined with defensive errors have pulled them back into trouble. Their attacking output has been abysmal, generating just 4.19 xG in the last six rounds—the worst tally in the Bundesliga.

Since their elimination from the Europa League, Hoffenheim have significantly improved their domestic form. The attacking duo of Gift Orban and Andrej Kramaric has been particularly effective, with 4.93 xG accumulated over the last four matches. They have also benefited from defensive luck, conceding just three goals in their last four games, despite 8.29 xGA.

St. Pauli’s home record is the second-worst in the Bundesliga, with just nine points from 12 matches. Hoffenheim, in much better form, should take advantage of their struggling opponents and extend their cushion from the bottom sides.

Betting prediction
Hoffenheim to win or draw
Cf
Odds
13/20
Bet now

St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim Odds

Bundesliga: previous matches in the tournament

St. Pauli
08.03.25
Wolfsburg
St. Pauli
D
01.03.25
St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
L
22.02.25
Mainz 05
St. Pauli
L
15.02.25
St. Pauli
Freiburg
L
09.02.25
RB Leipzig
St. Pauli
L
01.02.25
St. Pauli
Augsburg
D
26.01.25
St. Pauli
Union Berlin
W
18.01.25
Heidenheim
St. Pauli
W
15.01.25
Bochum
St. Pauli
L
11.01.25
St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
L
21.12.24
Stuttgart
St. Pauli
W
14.12.24
St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
L
07.12.24
Bayer 04
St. Pauli
L
29.11.24
St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
W
24.11.24
Borussia Mönchengladbach
St. Pauli
L
09.11.24
St. Pauli
Bayern Munich
L
02.11.24
Hoffenheim
St. Pauli
W
26.10.24
St. Pauli
Wolfsburg
D
18.10.24
Borussia Dortmund
St. Pauli
L
05.10.24
St. Pauli
Mainz 05
L
28.09.24
Freiburg
St. Pauli
W
22.09.24
St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
D
15.09.24
Augsburg
St. Pauli
L
30.08.24
Union Berlin
St. Pauli
L
25.08.24
St. Pauli
Heidenheim
L
More matches
Hoffenheim
09.03.25
Hoffenheim
Heidenheim
D
01.03.25
Bochum
Hoffenheim
W
23.02.25
Hoffenheim
Stuttgart
D
16.02.25
Werder Bremen
Hoffenheim
W
08.02.25
Hoffenheim
Union Berlin
L
02.02.25
Bayer 04
Hoffenheim
L
26.01.25
Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
D
18.01.25
Holstein Kiel
Hoffenheim
W
15.01.25
Bayern Munich
Hoffenheim
L
11.01.25
Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg
L
21.12.24
Hoffenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
L
15.12.24
Borussia Dortmund
Hoffenheim
D
08.12.24
Hoffenheim
Freiburg
D
01.12.24
Mainz 05
Hoffenheim
L
23.11.24
Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig
W
10.11.24
Augsburg
Hoffenheim
D
02.11.24
Hoffenheim
St. Pauli
L
27.10.24
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim
D
19.10.24
Hoffenheim
Bochum
W
06.10.24
Stuttgart
Hoffenheim
D
29.09.24
Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
L
21.09.24
Union Berlin
Hoffenheim
L
14.09.24
Hoffenheim
Bayer 04
L
31.08.24
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hoffenheim
L
24.08.24
Hoffenheim
Holstein Kiel
W
More matches

H2H: St. Pauli — Hoffenheim

Bundesliga 2024-2025
02.11.24
Hoffenheim
St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2010-2011
23.01.11
Hoffenheim
St. Pauli
2
:
2
28.08.10
St. Pauli
Hoffenheim
0
:
1

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Bayern Munich
28 21 5 2 81:27 68
2
Bayer 04
28 18 8 2 63:34 62
3
Eintracht Frankfurt
28 14 6 8 55:42 48
4
RB Leipzig
29 13 9 7 47:37 48
5
Mainz 05
28 13 7 8 46:32 46
6
Borussia Mönchengladbach
28 13 5 10 45:41 44
7
Freiburg
28 12 6 10 38:44 42
8
Borussia Dortmund
28 12 5 11 52:43 41
9
Stuttgart
28 11 7 10 51:44 40
10
Werder Bremen
28 11 6 11 45:53 39
11
Augsburg
28 10 9 9 31:39 39
12
Wolfsburg
29 10 8 11 51:45 38
13
Union Berlin
28 9 6 13 26:40 33
14
Hoffenheim
28 6 9 13 34:52 27
15
St. Pauli
28 7 5 16 23:34 26
16
Heidenheim
28 6 4 18 32:53 22
17
Bochum
28 5 5 18 28:59 20
18
Holstein Kiel
28 4 6 18 39:68 18
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Bayern Munich
14 12 1 1 46:14 37
2
Bayer 04
14 9 3 2 32:18 30
3
RB Leipzig
14 8 4 2 27:16 28
4
Borussia Dortmund
14 8 3 3 34:17 27
5
Eintracht Frankfurt
14 8 3 3 32:20 27
6
Freiburg
14 8 2 4 26:19 26
7
Mainz 05
14 6 5 3 19:13 23
8
Borussia Mönchengladbach
14 7 2 5 24:19 23
9
Augsburg
14 6 4 4 16:15 22
10
Stuttgart
14 6 2 6 30:24 20
11
Union Berlin
14 5 4 5 12:14 19
12
Werder Bremen
14 4 4 6 20:26 16
13
Wolfsburg
15 3 6 6 25:27 15
14
Hoffenheim
14 3 5 6 21:29 14
15
St. Pauli
14 3 4 7 9:15 13
16
Bochum
14 3 3 8 13:26 12
17
Holstein Kiel
14 3 2 9 18:34 11
18
Heidenheim
14 3 1 10 12:25 10
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Bayer 04
14 9 5 0 31:16 32
2
Bayern Munich
14 9 4 1 35:13 31
3
Mainz 05
14 7 2 5 27:19 23
4
Wolfsburg
14 7 2 5 26:18 23
5
Werder Bremen
14 7 2 5 25:27 23
6
Eintracht Frankfurt
14 6 3 5 23:22 21
7
Borussia Mönchengladbach
14 6 3 5 21:22 21
8
Stuttgart
14 5 5 4 21:20 20
9
RB Leipzig
15 5 5 5 20:21 20
10
Augsburg
14 4 5 5 15:24 17
11
Freiburg
14 4 4 6 12:25 16
12
Borussia Dortmund
14 4 2 8 18:26 14
13
Union Berlin
14 4 2 8 14:26 14
14
St. Pauli
14 4 1 9 14:19 13
15
Hoffenheim
14 3 4 7 13:23 13
16
Heidenheim
14 3 3 8 20:28 12
17
Bochum
14 2 2 10 15:33 8
18
Holstein Kiel
14 1 4 9 21:34 7

Team lineups

St. Pauli

A. Blessin
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Nikola Vasilj
gk. 25 -30
Hauke Wahl
df. 25 0
Philipp Treu
df. 24 0
Manolis Saliakas
df. 21 1
David Nemeth
df. 15 0
Siebe Van der Heyden
df. 6 1
Jackson Irvine
mf. 25 0
Eric Smith
mf. 23 1
Danel Sinani
fw. 17 1
Elias Saad
fw. 12 2
Noah Raphael Weißhaupt
fw. 10 0
Substitutes
Ben Alexander Voll
gk. 0 0
Lars Ritzka
df. 15 0
Adam Dzwigala
df. 12 0
Carlo Gregor Boukhalfa
mf. 19 1
Connor Isaac Metcalfe
mf. 4 0
Oladapo Joshua Afolayan
fw. 24 2
Johannes Eggestein
fw. 23 3
Scott Brian Banks
fw. 11 0
Abdoulie Ceesay
fw. 6 0
Hoffenheim

Christian Ilzer
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Oliver Baumann
gk. 20 -36
Kevin Akpoguma
df. 24 0
Pavel Kadeřábek
df. 17 0
David Jurásek
df. 9 0
Leo Skiri Østigård
df. 4 0
Tom Bischof
mf. 23 4
Anton Levi Stach
mf. 21 1
Finn Ole Becker
mf. 8 0
Umut Deger Tohumcu
mf. 8 0
Andrej Kramarić
fw. 23 7
Gift Emmanuel Orban
fw. 9 4
Substitutes
Luca Dante Philipp
gk. 5 -11
Valentin Gendrey
df. 17 1
Stanley Nsoki
df. 16 0
Robin Hranáč
df. 4 0
Dennis Geiger
mf. 14 0
Marius Bülter
fw. 16 4
Haris Tabakovic
fw. 14 2
Erencan Yardımcı
fw. 6 0
Bazoumana Touré
fw. 4 0
Need Register or Need Login to access unique content: statistics, best odds, trends and tips. Login / Registration
Copy the token