Odds Overview
Lens are favourites to win at 2.08, while Strasbourg to win and the draw are priced almost the same: 3.50 and 3.55. On the main total, Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 looks notably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.20. On the handicap, Lens Draw No Bet at 1.53 is priced lower than Strasbourg Draw No Bet at 2.50.
Why Lens Are Favourites for the Match
Bookmakers offer odds of 2.08 on a Lens win, price a Strasbourg win at 3.50 and the draw at 3.55.
- Lens have started the official part of the season confidently, beating PSG 1:0 in the Trophee des Champions and opening Ligue 1 with a 5:2 win over Auxerre.
- Strasbourg began with a heavy 0:4 defeat to Marseille in the 1st round and also lost all their friendlies during pre-season.
Form and Line-up Strasbourg
Strasbourg head coach Hugo Oliveira, after the 0:4 defeat to Marseille, paid particular attention to the need for emotional control, as the heavy scoreline was largely shaped by a second-half sending-off.
At home, the Alsatians have generally played cleanly: in their last 10 home league matches, the team have received no more than two yellow cards, and in 9 of those 10 games they committed a maximum of 11 fouls per match.
Key numbers:
- At least three goals were scored in 8 of Strasbourg's last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
- In 9 of Strasbourg's last 10 Ligue 1 matches, the teams registered at least 9 shots on target between them.
- In 8 of Strasbourg's last 10 Ligue 1 matches, the teams took at least 9 corners.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Filip Jorgensen — Guela Doue — Andrew Omobamidele — Lucas Hogsberg — Genesis Antwi — Diogo Lobao Sousa — Samir El Mourabet — Samuel Amo-Ameyaw — Sebastian Nanasi — Gessime Yassine — Sekou Mara
Panichelli will miss out for the hosts because of injury.
Form and Line-up Lens
Lens are adapting to the demands of new head coach Dino Toppmoller, who said before the start of the tournament that he intended to use already established team connections.
Away from home, the club reliably limit opponents' activity: in 9 of Lens' last 10 away Ligue 1 matches, their opponents had fewer than 14 attempts on goal and were caught offside no more than once per game.
Key numbers:
- At least three goals were scored in 8 of Lens' last 10 away Ligue 1 matches.
- In 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches, Lens had at least 4 shots on target.
- In 8 of Lens' last 10 Ligue 1 matches, at least 9 corners were recorded.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Robin Risser — Maik Nawrocki — Ismaelo Ganiou — Souleymane Sagnan — Saud Abdulhamid — Michael Cuisance — Yassine Titraoui — Matthieu Udol — Florian Thauvin — Franjo Ivanovic — Abdallah Sima
Team Chances
Lens to win at 2.08 has a no-margin price of 2.18 and a probability of 45.9%, which is higher than Strasbourg to win — 3.50, 3.67 and 27.3% — and the draw — 3.55, 3.72 and 26.9% respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg win | 3.50 | 3.67 | 27.3% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.72 | 26.9% |
| Lens win | 2.08 | 2.18 | 45.9% |
Totals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 is priced lower than Under 2.5 goals at 2.20. At the 3.5 mark, the price favours Under 3.5 goals at 1.50 over Over 3.5 goals at 2.50.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
Handicap Prediction
Lens (-1.5) at 3.50 is priced lower than Strasbourg (-1.5) at 5.80. On the 1.5 handicap, Lens (+1.5) have the lower price — 1.08 compared with 1.25 on Strasbourg (+1.5); on the -1 line, Lens (-1) are at 2.85 compared with 5.20 on Strasbourg (-1). For the 1 handicap, 1.11 is offered on Lens (+1) and 1.37 on Strasbourg (+1), while on Draw No Bet it is 1.53 on Lens (0) compared with 2.50 on Strasbourg (0).
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| 5.80 | -1.5 | 3.50 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 1.08 |
| 5.20 | -1 | 2.85 |
| 1.37 | 1 | 1.11 |
| 2.50 | 0 | 1.53 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.55 is priced notably lower than Both teams to score — No at 2.40, meaning the option of both teams scoring looks preferable on price.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 |
| No | 2.40 |
Double Chance Prediction
The lowest double-chance odds are on 12 at 1.32; X2 is offered at 1.33, while 1X is 1.75.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
3/4
|
8/25
|
33/100
|
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Strasbourg — 1 goal, Lens — 1.5 goals.
Strasbourg Team Total
Strasbourg: Over 0.5 goals at 1.30 is priced lower than Under 0.5 goals at 3.25; on the 1 line, Over 1 goal is 1.63 compared with Under 1 goal at 2.20. At the 1.5 mark, Under 1.5 goals has the lower price at 1.53, while Over 1.5 goals is offered at 2.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.25 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.20 | 1 | 1.63 |
| 1.53 | 1.5 | 2.40 |
Lens Team Total
Lens: Over 0.5 goals at 1.13 is significantly lower than Under 0.5 goals at 4.70, while Over 1 goal at 1.30 is lower than Under 1 goal at 3.25. On the 1.5 line, the prices are almost level: Under 1.5 goals — 1.87, Over 1.5 goals — 1.88. At the 2 mark, Under 2 goals is preferable on price at 1.40 compared with Over 2 goals at 2.70.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.70 | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| 3.25 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.87 | 1.5 | 1.88 |
| 1.40 | 2 | 2.70 |
