Odds overview
Paris Saint-Germain are clear favourites: an away win is available at 1.42, compared with around 6.30 for a home win and 5.40 for a draw. In the main goals market, Over 2.5 at 1.32 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 3.10. Paris Saint-Germain (-1.5) at 2.05 looks more likely than Strasbourg (-1.5) at 8.50.
Why Paris Saint-Germain are favourites
Bookmakers give Paris Saint-Germain a clear edge: an away win is offered at 1.42, a draw at 5.40 and a Strasbourg win at 6.30.
- Paris Saint-Germain rank third in Ligue 1 for goals scored, with 11 in six matches.
- Strasbourg have conceded 12 goals in six Ligue 1 matches; only Troyes (13) and Auxerre (16) have conceded more.
- Paris Saint-Germain have lost to Strasbourg just once in their last 18 meetings.
Form and Line-up Strasbourg
After two emphatic wins over Lens (2:1) and Troyes (6:2), Strasbourg drew with Monaco (1:1) and lost to Paris (1:2) and Nice (1:2). Their main problem is defence. The hosts have conceded in every match, averaging two goals against per game.
- There have been over 8.5 corners in 9 of Strasbourg's last 10 home Ligue 1 matches.
- Strasbourg have committed fewer than 11.5 fouls in each of their last 10 home Ligue 1 matches.
- Strasbourg have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in each of their last 10 home Ligue 1 matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Filip Jørgensen, Genesis Antwi, Jayden Mitchell, Karim Coulibaly, Oso, Diogo Sousa, Pape Diop, Dário Essugo, Gessime Yassine, Conrad Harder, Samuel Amo-Ameyaw.
Unavailable: Joaquín Panichelli, Martial Godo and Ismaël Doukouré (all injured); Sebastian Nanasi (doubtful).
Form and Line-up Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain are on a five-match winning run: they beat Slovan Bratislava (6:1) and Manchester City (4:2) in the UEFA Champions League, as well as Brest (1:0), Marseille (2:1) and Le Mans (3:1) in Ligue 1. Defence is also a problem for Luis Enrique's side — they have kept just one clean sheet in 10 matches this season.
- There have been fewer than 10.5 corners in 9 of Paris Saint-Germain's last 10 away Ligue 1 matches.
- Paris Saint-Germain have committed fewer than 11.5 fouls in each of their last 10 away Ligue 1 matches.
- There have been over 2.5 offsides in each of Paris Saint-Germain's last 10 away Ligue 1 matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Matvei Safonov, Achraf Hakimi, Ilya Zabarnyi, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes, João Neves, Vitinha, Fabián Ruiz, Maghnes Akliouche, Ferran Torres, Mika Godts.
Unavailable: Alessandro Longoni and Senny Mayulu (both injured).
The teams' chances
A Strasbourg win is offered at 6.30, with fair odds of 6.60 and a 15.1% probability. The draw is available at 5.40, with fair odds of 5.66 and a 17.7% probability. A Paris Saint-Germain win is offered at 1.42, with fair odds of 1.49 and a 67.2% probability, confirming their status as favourites.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg win | 6.30 | 6.60 | 15.1% |
| Draw | 5.40 | 5.66 | 17.7% |
| Paris Saint-Germain win | 1.42 | 1.49 | 67.2% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over is much shorter at 1.32 than Under at 3.10. At the 3.5-goal line, the odds are closer: Over is 1.82 and Under is 1.98, giving the higher total a slight edge.
| Goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 3.10 | 1.32 |
| 3.5 | 1.98 | 1.82 |
Handicap prediction
Paris Saint-Germain (-1.5) are much shorter at 2.05 than Strasbourg (-1.5) at 8.50. At the +1.5 line, Paris Saint-Germain (+1.5) are 1.03, compared with 1.77 for Strasbourg (+1.5); at -1, the odds are 1.60 and 7.30 respectively. At the +1 line, Paris Saint-Germain (+1) are 1.05 and Strasbourg (+1) are 2.25; at 0, Paris Saint-Germain (0) are 1.15 and Strasbourg (0) are 4.40.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.50 | -1.5 | 2.05 |
| 1.77 | 1.5 | 1.03 |
| 7.30 | -1 | 1.60 |
| 2.25 | 1 | 1.05 |
| 4.40 | 0 | 1.15 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is favoured at 1.50 over No at 2.55, meaning an outcome in which at least one team fails to score is considered less likely.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.50 |
| No | 2.55 |
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goals lines for this match: Strasbourg at 1 goal and Paris Saint-Germain at 2.5 goals.
Strasbourg team goals
For Strasbourg team goals, Over 0.5 is shorter at 1.40 than Under 0.5 at 2.70. At the 1-goal line, the odds are almost level: Under is 1.82 and Over is 1.95. At the 1.5-goal line, Under at 1.37 is favoured over Over at 2.85.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.82 | 1 | 1.95 |
| 1.37 | 1.5 | 2.85 |
Paris Saint-Germain team goals
For Paris Saint-Germain team goals, Over 2 is shorter at 1.53 than Under 2 at 2.40. At the 2.5-goal line, Under is 1.82 and Over is 1.95. At the 3-goal line, Under at 1.45 is markedly shorter than Over at 2.65.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 2 | 1.53 |
| 1.82 | 2.5 | 1.95 |
| 1.45 | 3 | 2.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Willy Delajod (France)
Matches — 21 (Ligue 1, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.1;
Matches with a red card — 4 out of 21;
Matches with a penalty — 7 out of 21.
