Odds Overview
Rennes are favourites: the away win is available at 1.92, compared with 3.70 for a Sturm Graz win and 3.90 for the draw. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 is considerably favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.20. In the handicap market, Rennes Draw No Bet at 1.45 looks more likely than Sturm Graz Draw No Bet at 2.65.
Why Rennes Are the Match Favourites
Bookmakers consider Rennes the favourites: the visitors are available at 1.92 to win, while Sturm Graz are at 3.70 and the draw is offered at 3.90.
- Rennes have begun the French league season with convincing results against strong opponents: they beat Marseille (1:0) and edged out Angers (2:1).
- Sturm Graz have shown defensive inconsistency in the domestic league, conceding three goals in a 1:3 defeat to Rapid Vienna.
Form and Line-up Sturm Graz
In the latest round of the Austrian Bundesliga, Sturm Graz beat LASK 2:1 at home. The hosts had 14 shots in that match, seven of them on target.
Earlier, the Austrian club beat Altach (1:0) at home and shared the points with Austria Lustenau (1:1).
- Sturm Graz committed at least 12 fouls in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the Europa League.
- At least 3 offsides were recorded in 8 of Sturm Graz's last 10 home matches in the Europa League.
- Sturm Graz received at least 2 yellow cards in 8 of their 10 home matches in the Europa League.
Probable line-up: Daniil Khudyakov, Joshua Quarshie, Jon Gorenc Stankovic, Albert Vallci, Gizo Mamageishvili, Simon Seidl, Sidi Jatta, Arjan Malic, Jürgen Heil, Jacob Hödl, Valmir Matoshi.
Otar Kiteishvili has returned from injury and is getting playing time, but his ability to complete the full match remains in doubt.
Form and Line-up Rennes
The French club have begun the season well in high-tempo matches, drawing with Paris Saint-Germain (2:2) and beating Le Mans 3:2.
In 9 of Rennes's last 10 away matches in all competitions, their opponents committed no more than 13 fouls, while at least 3 offsides were recorded in 8 of their last 10 away matches.
- At least 9 corners were taken in 9 of Rennes's last 10 matches.
- Rennes committed at least 11 fouls in 8 of their last 10 away matches.
- At least 4 yellow cards were shown in 8 of Rennes's last 10 matches.
Probable Rennes line-up (4-1-4-1): Brice Samba, Przemyslaw Frankowski, Charlie Cresswell, Anthony Rouault, Mahamadou Nagida, Valentin Rongier, Ludovic Blas, Adrien Thomasson, Mahdi Camara, Issa Soumare, Esteban Lepaul.
Adrien Thomasson returned to the starting line-up after muscle discomfort, but his ability to complete the full match against Sturm Graz remains uncertain.
Team Chances
Rennes to win is the main selection: average odds of 1.92, fair odds of 2.01 and a probability of 49.7%. The figures for a Sturm Graz win are 3.70, 3.88 and 25.8%, while those for the draw are 3.90, 4.09 and 24.5%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz win | 3.70 | 3.88 | 25.8% |
| Draw | 3.90 | 4.09 | 24.5% |
| Rennes win | 1.92 | 2.01 | 49.7% |
Total Goals Prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.20. At the 3.5 mark, by contrast, Under 3.5 goals is shorter at 1.50, compared with 2.50 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
Handicap Prediction
Sturm Graz (-1.5) are available at 6.20, while Rennes (-1.5) are at 3.10. At the 1.5 line, the odds are 1.32 for Sturm Graz (+1.5) and 1.07 for Rennes (+1.5). Sturm Graz (-1) at 5.50 are longer than Rennes (-1) at 2.60, while at the 1 line the odds are 1.50 versus 1.10. With the handicap at 0, Rennes Draw No Bet at 1.45 is favoured over Sturm Graz Draw No Bet at 2.65.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.20 | -1.5 | 3.10 |
| 1.32 | 1.5 | 1.07 |
| 5.50 | -1 | 2.60 |
| 1.50 | 1 | 1.10 |
| 2.65 | 0 | 1.45 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.60 looks more likely than both teams to score - No at 2.30, where at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 |
| No | 2.30 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
21/20
|
11/50
|
1/5
|
| William Hill |
19/20
|
1/4
|
1/4
|
| 888sport |
21/20
|
1/4
|
11/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Sturm Graz — 1 goal, Rennes — 1.5 goals.
Sturm Graz Team Total
Sturm Graz team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.35 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.95. At the 1 line, Over 1 goal is available at 1.75, compared with 2.02 for Under 1 goal, while at the 1.5 mark Under 1.5 goals is favoured at 1.45, compared with 2.70 for Over 1.5 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.95 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.02 | 1 | 1.75 |
| 1.45 | 1.5 | 2.70 |
Rennes Team Total
Rennes team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.12 and Over 1 goal at 1.25 are considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 5.00 and Under 1 goal at 3.45. At the 1.5 line, the odds are close: Over 1.5 goals at 1.83 and Under 1.5 goals at 1.92. At the 2 mark, Under 2 goals at 1.48 is favoured over Over 2 goals at 2.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.00 | 0.5 | 1.12 |
| 3.45 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.92 | 1.5 | 1.83 |
| 1.48 | 2 | 2.55 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Manfredas Lukjancukas (Lithuania)
Matches - 10 (international matches, 2025-2026);
Average fouls per match - 25;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows - 3.8;
Matches with red cards - 1 of 10;
Matches with penalties - 1 of 10.
