Odds overview
Switzerland are clear favourites — a home win is available at 1.10, compared with 11.00 for a draw and 21.00 for a North Macedonia win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is favoured at 1.38, against 2.81 for Under 2.5.
Why Switzerland are favourites
The bookmakers give Switzerland a clear advantage: a Swiss win is available at 1.10, a North Macedonia win at 21.00 and a draw at 11.00.
- The hosts give opponents very little in front of goal: Switzerland's opponents average just 0.22 xG per match, the best record in the UEFA Nations League, and they have conceded no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the competition.
- North Macedonia have been ineffective in attack: they are bottom of the competition with no goals scored, making a turnaround against one of the group leaders extremely difficult.
Form and Line-up Switzerland
Switzerland have a perfect record in the autumn stretch of the UEFA Nations League, having beaten North Macedonia (3:0), Scotland (3:0) and Slovenia (2:1) in succession. The hosts consistently put opposing defences under pressure, registering at least 8 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 matches in the competition.
- No more than three goals were scored in 8 of Switzerland's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Nations League.
- Switzerland won the corner count in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Fewer than 5.5 yellow cards were shown in 8 of Switzerland's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Switzerland line-up (4-2-3-1): Gregor Kobel, Zachary Athekame, Nico Elvedi, Manuel Akanji, Ricardo Rodríguez, Remo Freuler, Ardon Jashari, Michel Aebischer, Johan Manzambi, Dan Ndoye, Zeki Amdouni.
Granit Xhaka will miss the training camp by mutual agreement, while Denis Zakaria and Ruben Vargas are absent through injury.
Form and Line-up North Macedonia
North Macedonia lost all three of their opening matches in the competition — to Switzerland (0:3), Slovenia (0:2) and Scotland (0:2). Away from home, they play cautiously: in 9 of their last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches, they committed fewer than 12.5 fouls and the total number of corners did not exceed 9.5.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in North Macedonia's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- The total number of goals did not exceed 2.5 in 8 of North Macedonia's last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
- Fewer than 5.5 yellow cards were shown in 9 of North Macedonia's last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable North Macedonia line-up (3-5-2): Stole Dimitrievski, Mario Mladenov, Visar Musliu, Anes Meljichi, Bojan Ilievski, Matej Gashtarov, Luka Stankovski, Sebastián Herrera Cardona, Enis Bardhi, Elif Elmas, Bojan Miovski.
The teams' chances
A Switzerland win is offered at 1.10, with fair odds of 1.15 and an 86.8% probability. A draw is quoted at 11.00, with fair odds of 11.52 and an 8.7% probability. A North Macedonia win at 21.00 corresponds to fair odds of 22.00 and a 4.5% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland win | 1.10 | 1.15 | 86.8% |
| Draw | 11.00 | 11.52 | 8.7% |
| North Macedonia win | 21.00 | 22.00 | 4.5% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.38 is clearly favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.81. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 is offered at 1.14 against 4.65 for Under 2. The odds are closer at the 3.5-goal line: Under 3.5 is 1.75 and Over 3.5 is 2.00.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.81 | 1.38 |
| 2 | 4.65 | 1.14 |
| 3.5 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Switzerland — 3 goals; North Macedonia — 0.5 goals.
Switzerland team goals
For Switzerland's team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.03 is heavily favoured over Under 0.5 at 7.90. At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 is available at 1.61 against 2.20 for Under 2.5; at 3 goals, Under 3 is 1.80 against 1.95 for Over 3. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 has shorter odds of 1.46, while Over 3.5 is offered at 2.54.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.90 | 0.5 | 1.03 |
| 2.20 | 2.5 | 1.61 |
| 1.80 | 3 | 1.95 |
| 1.46 | 3.5 | 2.54 |
North Macedonia team goals
For North Macedonia's team goals, Under 0.5 at 1.54 has shorter odds than Over 0.5 at 2.34. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 at 1.06 is clearly favoured over Over 1.5 at 6.50.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.54 | 0.5 | 2.34 |
| 1.06 | 1.5 | 6.50 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Edgars Malcevs (Latvia)
Matches — 13 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 29;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4;
Matches with a red card — 3 of 13;
Matches with a penalty — 6 of 13.
Yvon Landry Mvogo Nganoma
Manuel Obafemi Akanji
Nico Elvedi
Ricardo Iván Rodríguez Araya
Sascha Burchert
Fabian Rieder
Mohameth Djibril Ibrahima Sow
Remo Freuler
Dan Assane Ndoye
Mohamed Zeki Amdouni
Anthony Alexandro Racioppi
Marvin Keller
Zachary Athekame
Adrian Bajrami
Ardon Jashari
Johan Kula Manzambi
Michel Aebischer
Cedric Jan Itten
Joël Almada Monteiro
Stole Dimitrievski
Andrej Stojchevski
Ezgjan Alioski
Gjoko Zajkov
Visar Musliu
Agon Elezi
Dimitar Mitrovski
Elif Elmas
Enis Bardhi
Ljupcho Doriev
Elmin Rastoder
Damjan Shishkovski
Davor Taleski
Anes Meliqi
Bojan Ilievski
Din Alomerovic
Gjorge Dzhekov
Luka Stankovski
Matej Gashtarov
Tihomir Kostadinov
Bojan Miovski
