Odds overview
Switzerland are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.10, compared with 11.00 for a draw and 21.00 for a North Macedonia win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is favoured at 1.38, against 2.81 for Under 2.5 goals.
Why Switzerland are favourites
The bookmakers strongly favour Switzerland: a Swiss win is available at 1.10, a North Macedonia win at 21.00 and a draw at 11.00.
- The hosts give their opponents very little in front of goal: Switzerland's opponents average just 0.22 xG per match, the best record in the UEFA Nations League, and the team have conceded no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the competition.
- North Macedonia have been ineffective in attack: they sit bottom of the competition with no goals scored, making a turnaround against one of the group leaders extremely difficult.
Form and Line-up Switzerland
Switzerland have a perfect record in the autumn stretch of the UEFA Nations League, having beaten North Macedonia (3:0), Scotland (3:0) and Slovenia (2:1) in succession. The hosts consistently put opposing defences under pressure, recording at least 8 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 matches in the competition.
- No more than three goals were scored in 8 of Switzerland's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Nations League.
- Switzerland won the corners count in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Fewer than 5.5 yellow cards were shown in 8 of Switzerland's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Gregor Kobel, Zachary Athekame, Nico Elvedi, Manuel Akanji, Ricardo Rodríguez, Remo Freuler, Ardon Jashari, Michel Aebischer, Johan Manzambi, Dan Ndoye, Zeki Amdouni.
Granit Xhaka will miss the training camp by mutual agreement, while Denis Zakaria and Ruben Vargas are absent through injury.
Form and Line-up North Macedonia
North Macedonia lost their first three matches of the competition — to Switzerland (0:3), Slovenia (0:2) and Scotland (0:2). Away from home, they play cautiously: in 9 of their last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches, they committed fewer than 12.5 fouls and the total number of corners did not exceed 9.5.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in North Macedonia's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- No more than 2.5 goals were scored in 8 of North Macedonia's last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
- Fewer than 5.5 yellow cards were shown in 9 of North Macedonia's last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable line-up (3-5-2): Stole Dimitrievski, Mario Mladenovski, Visar Musliu, Anes Meljichi, Bojan Ilievski, Matej Gashtarov, Luka Stankovski, Sebastián Herrera Cardona, Enis Bardhi, Elif Elmas, Bojan Miovski.
The teams' chances
A Switzerland win is offered at 1.10, with fair odds of 1.15 and an 86.8% probability. The draw is quoted at 11.00, with fair odds of 11.52 and an 8.7% probability. A North Macedonia win at 21.00 corresponds to fair odds of 22.00 and a 4.5% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland to win | 1.10 | 1.15 | 86.8% |
| Draw | 11.00 | 11.52 | 8.7% |
| North Macedonia to win | 21.00 | 22.00 | 4.5% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.38 is much shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.81. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals is available at 1.14, against 4.65 for Under 2 goals. The odds are closer at the 3.5-goal line: Under 3.5 goals is 1.75 and Over 3.5 goals is 2.00.
| Goals line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.81 | 1.38 |
| 2 | 4.65 | 1.14 |
| 3.5 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/100
|
7/100
|
7/1
|
| 888sport |
1/100
|
3/50
|
11/2
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team goal lines: Switzerland — 3 goals; North Macedonia — 0.5 goals.
Switzerland team total goals
For Switzerland's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.03 is much shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 7.90. At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.61, against 2.20 for Under 2.5 goals; at the 3-goal line, Under 3 goals is 1.80, against 1.95 for Over 3 goals. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is shorter at 1.46, while Over 3.5 goals is offered at 2.54.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.90 | 0.5 | 1.03 |
| 2.20 | 2.5 | 1.61 |
| 1.80 | 3 | 1.95 |
| 1.46 | 3.5 | 2.54 |
North Macedonia team total goals
For North Macedonia's team total, Under 0.5 goals at 1.54 is shorter than Over 0.5 goals at 2.34. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.06 is much shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 6.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.54 | 0.5 | 2.34 |
| 1.06 | 1.5 | 6.50 |
