Odds Overview
AC Milan are clear favourites: an away win is priced at 1.78, while the draw is offered at 3.75 and a Torino win at 4.60. On the main 2.5 total, the prices are level — Under and Over are both 1.90. The handicaps show noticeably greater confidence in AC Milan: Milan Draw No Bet is 1.30 versus 3.15 on Torino Draw No Bet, while Milan (+1.5) is at 1.03 compared with 1.35 on Torino (+1.5).
Why AC Milan Are Favourites for the Match
The bookmakers give AC Milan the edge: the odds on an away win are 1.78, the draw is priced at 3.75, and a Torino victory is rated at 4.60.
• Ruben Amorim took charge of AC Milan in the summer, and the club declared a shift towards high pressing, quick attacks and more aggressive football.
• Torino have also changed coach: Ignazio Abate is managing a team in Serie A for the first time, which adds uncertainty to Torino's play at the start of the season.
Form and Line-up Torino
The team opened their official season with a 1:0 win over Carrarese Calcio in the Coppa Italia thanks to a goal from Giovanni Simeone. In the summer, Torino played four friendlies: they beat Burnley and Vado, drew once and lost once.
Key numbers:
- In 9 of Torino's last 10 home Serie A matches, the teams had no more than 9 shots on target.
- In 8 of their last 10 home matches, both sides took at least 9 corners combined.
- The hosts have scored against AC Milan in 13 of the last 15 home head-to-head meetings.
Probable Torino line-up (3-4-2-1): Diego Mascardi — Pietro Comuzzo, Eray Comert, Saul Coco — Marcus Pedersen, Kian Fitz-Jim, Gvidas Gineitis, Alessio Cacciamani — Nikola Vlasic, Cesare Casadei — Giovanni Simeone.
Form and Line-up AC Milan
The Rossoneri finished last season in fifth place with 70 points, one point off the Champions League places, and now play in the Europa League. Allegri was dismissed in the summer, Amorim took charge of the team, and Goncalo Ramos became the main signing.
Pre-season was tense. Amorim removed Tomori, Fofana, Nkunku and Odogu from training and put them up for transfer, while the club are prepared to sell Terracciano, Estupinan and Jimenez if a suitable offer arrives. At the same time, Pulisic, Leao, Jimenez and Gabbia joined the injury list. Even so, the team won their final friendly against Manchester United (4:2).
Key numbers:
In 9 of AC Milan's last 10 away Serie A matches, no more than 3 goals were scored.
In 9 of their last 10 away matches, both teams had a maximum of 9 shots on target combined.
All of their last 10 league matches produced no more than 10 corners.
Probable AC Milan line-up (3-4-2-1): Mike Maignan — Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic, Mario Gila — Samuel Chukwueze, Yunus Musah, Ardon Jashari, Alex Jimenez — Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Alffajo Cisse — Goncalo Ramos.
Absentees: Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao, Santiago Gimenez, Matteo Gabbia (all injured). Fikayo Tomori, Youssouf Fofana, Christopher Nkunku, David Odogu — suspended from the squad and put up for transfer.
Team Chances
The no-margin estimate gives Torino a 20.8% chance of winning, with average odds of 4.60 and fair odds of 4.81. The draw is rated at 25.5%: 3.75 versus 3.92. AC Milan have the highest probability — 53.7%; the average odds on an away win are 1.78, with the no-margin estimate at 1.86.
Result | Average odds | Average odds without margin | Probability without margin |
Torino to win | 4.60 | 4.81 | 20.8% |
Draw | 3.75 | 3.92 | 25.5% |
AC Milan to win | 1.78 | 1.86 | 53.7% |
Total Goals Prediction
Under 2.5 and Over 2.5 are priced equally at 1.90, which does not point to a preferred scenario. On the 3.5 line, Under is noticeably more likely at 1.35, while Over is offered at 3.00.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
3.5 | 1.35 | 3.00 |
Handicap Prediction
Torino (-1.5) is rated at 8.50, AC Milan (-1.5) at 2.95. On the 1.5 line, the lower price is on AC Milan (+1.5) — 1.03 versus 1.35 on Torino (+1.5). For the -1 handicap, the odds are 7.20 on Torino (-1) and 2.40 on AC Milan (-1); on the 1 line, they are 1.58 on Torino (+1) and 1.05 on AC Milan (+1). In the Draw No Bet market, AC Milan are 1.30 and Torino are 3.15.
Home team | Handicap | Away team |
8.50 | -1.5 | 2.95 |
1.35 | 1.5 | 1.03 |
7.20 | -1 | 2.40 |
1.58 | 1 | 1.05 |
3.15 | 0 | 1.30 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score — Yes has a small price advantage at 1.82 versus 1.93 on Both teams to score — No, meaning a scenario in which at least one team does not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.82 |
No | 1.93 |
Double Chance Prediction
The lowest odds in the double chance market are on X2 at 1.22. The 12 outcome is offered at 1.30 and 1X at 2.05, so the option of Torino avoiding defeat is rated more cautiously.
1X | 12 | X2 |
21/20
|
3/10
|
11/50
|
Team Total Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Torino — 1 goal, AC Milan — 1.5 goals.
Torino Team Total
Torino: Under 0.5 is priced at 2.40, Over 0.5 at 1.55. On the 1 line, the lower price is Under 1 at 1.60 versus 2.25 on Over 1; for the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 is offered at 1.28 and Over 1.5 at 3.35.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.40 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
1.60 | 1 | 2.25 |
1.28 | 1.5 | 3.35 |
AC Milan Team Total
AC Milan: Over 0.5 is 1.14 versus 4.60 on Under 0.5, while Over 1 is 1.25 against 3.45 on Under 1. On the 1.5 line, the odds are almost level: Under 1.5 is 1.90 and Over 1.5 is 1.85. For the 2 line, Under 2 is 1.40 and Over 2 is 2.70.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.60 | 0.5 | 1.14 |
3.45 | 1 | 1.25 |
1.90 | 1.5 | 1.85 |
1.40 | 2 | 2.70 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Luca Zufferli (Italy)
Matches – 18 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match – 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 2.9;
Matches with red cards – 1 of 18;
Matches with penalties – 9 of 18.
