Odds overview
Torino are modest favourites: a home win is available at around 2.10, while the draw and a Monza win are quoted at 3.45–3.55. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.87 is only slightly favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 1.93. The handicap odds show greater confidence in Torino: Torino (0) are at 1.53 against Monza (0) at 2.50; Torino (1.5) and Monza (1.5) are at 1.07 and 1.22 respectively.
Why Torino are favourites
Bookmakers favour the home side: a Torino win is available at odds of 2.10, while a Monza win is offered at 3.55.
- Monza are 14th with 7 points after 7 rounds and have failed to win away in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- Torino regularly play in high-scoring matches at home: at least three goals have been scored in 8 of their last 10 league games at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino.
Form and Line-up Torino
Torino thrashed Parma 3:0 away in the previous round, thanks to a Giovanni Simeone brace and a Ché Adams goal, with 6 shots on target. Yet Torino rank last in Serie A for total shots, averaging 9.71.
- At least one goal has been scored in the second half of all 7 Torino matches in Serie A this 2026/27 season.
- There have been fewer than 3.5 offsides in 8 of Torino's last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- Torino's opponents have taken more than 12.5 shots in 8 of their last 10 home matches in Serie A.
Probable line-up (3-5-2): Alberto Paleari, Saúl Coco, Ardian Ismajli, Enzo Ebosse, Marcus Pedersen, Nikola Vlašić, Emirhan İlkhan, Gvidas Gineitis, Rafael Obrador, Giovanni Simeone, Ché Adams.
Form and Line-up Monza
Monza come into the match after a 4:0 home win over Cagliari. Their games have consistently been open affairs: there have been more than 7.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 league matches, while Monza's opponents are caught offside less often than those of any other team in the league, just 0.43 times per game.
- Monza have lost 8 of their last 10 away matches in Serie A.
- At least one goal has been scored in the second half of all 7 Monza matches in Serie A this 2026/27 season.
- Monza have been caught offside at least twice in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): N. Törnqvist, E. Kouadio, S. Goglichidze, A. Carboni, S. Birindelli, M. Foe Ondoa, E. Akinsanmiro, R. Chaby Mangas, D. Mota Carvalho, J. Robinson, G. Pereira Sousa Varela.
The teams' chances
A Torino win is quoted at 2.10, with fair odds of 2.20 and a 45.4% probability. The corresponding figures are 3.45, 3.61 and 27.7% for a draw, and 3.55, 3.72 and 26.9% for a Monza win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino win | 2.10 | 2.20 | 45.4% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.61 | 27.7% |
| Monza win | 3.55 | 3.72 | 26.9% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Under is offered at 1.87 and Over at 1.93, giving the lower-scoring outcome a slight edge. At the 3.5-goal line, Under at 1.30 is much more likely than Over at 3.15.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.87 | 1.93 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.15 |
Handicap betting
Torino (-1.5) at 3.80 is favoured over Monza (-1.5) at 6.40. The odds are lower at the 1-goal line: Torino (1) are at 1.09 and Monza (1) at 1.33; at the 1.5-goal line, they are 1.07 and 1.22. Torino (-1) are quoted at 3.05 against 5.70 for Monza (-1), while Torino Draw No Bet (0) at 1.53 is notably shorter than Monza Draw No Bet (0) at 2.50.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.80 | -1.5 | 6.40 |
| 1.07 | 1.5 | 1.22 |
| 3.05 | -1 | 5.70 |
| 1.09 | 1 | 1.33 |
| 1.53 | 0 | 2.50 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.75, while Both teams to score — No is at 2.00. The market gives a slight edge to both teams scoring; No means that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.75 |
| No | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
29/100
|
33/100
|
67/100
|
| 888sport |
3/10
|
3/10
|
73/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Torino — 1.5 goals; Monza — 1 goal.
Torino team total goals
Torino's team total: Under 0.5 goals — 3.95, Over 0.5 — 1.20; Under 1 — 2.65, Over 1 — 1.42. At the 1.5-goal line, Under is at 1.70 against 2.10 for Over, and at the 2-goal line, the odds are 1.28 against 3.30: the market expects Torino to score at least once but is cautious about them scoring more than two.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.95 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.65 | 1 | 1.42 |
| 1.70 | 1.5 | 2.10 |
| 1.28 | 2 | 3.30 |
Monza team total goals
Monza's team total: Under 0.5 goals — 2.65, Over 0.5 — 1.42. At the 1-goal line, the odds are close — 1.80 for Under and 1.95 for Over; at the 1.5-goal line, Under at 1.35 is notably shorter than Over at 2.95, limiting expectations for the away side's goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.42 |
| 1.80 | 1 | 1.95 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.95 |
