Odds Overview
Roma are clear favourites: an away win is available at 1.57, while the draw is offered at 4.15 and a home win at 6.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 is shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.05, indicating a slight edge for a higher-scoring scenario. In the handicap markets, Roma Draw No Bet at 1.20 is considerably favoured over Torino Draw No Bet at 4.20.
Why Roma Are Favourites
Roma to win is available at 1.57, the draw at 4.15 and Torino to win at 6.00. The arguments for this assessment are:
Roma have made a confident start to Serie A — three wins from three matches, a 10:1 goal difference and top spot in the table.
Torino have lost twice in three matches and slipped to 13th in the table.
Roma have lost only once in their last 10 head-to-head meetings with Torino.
Form and Line-up Torino
Torino have made an inconsistent start to the season: after an away defeat to Sassuolo (1:2) and a home loss to Milan (1:2), they beat Fiorentina 2:1 away from home, scoring twice in eight minutes. They also went out of the Coppa Italia in the Round of 32 against Monza (0:1).
Key numbers:
Torino have not won the first half in their last 14 Serie A matches.
Three or more goals have been scored in 8 of Torino's last 10 Serie A matches.
Torino have received no more than one yellow card in 8 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable Torino line-up (3-5-2): Lucas Perri — Pietro Comuzzo, Ardian Ismajli, Eray Comert — Niccolo Fortini, Nikola Vlasic, Rolando Mandragora, Kian Fitz-Jim, Alberto Cacciamani — Giovanni Simeone, Che Adams.
Absentees: Cesare Casadei, Saul Coco (both injured).
Form and Line-up Roma
In European competition, Roma drew with Fenerbahce (1:1), with Bryan Cristante opening the scoring in the 39th minute. However, Gasperini's side have yet to drop points in the league — three straight wins by an aggregate score of 10:1. Roma first thrashed Lecce and Fiorentina 4:0 apiece, then beat Atalanta (2:1).
Key numbers:
Roma have won 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
Roma have not been outperformed by their opponents for shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
Roma have received no more than two yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable Roma line-up (3-4-2-1): Mile Svilar — Gianluca Mancini, Evan Ndicka, Mario Hermoso — Emanuele Lulli, Manu Kone, Bryan Cristante, Wesley — Matias Soule, Paulo Dybala — Donyell Malen.
Absentees: Lorenzo Pellegrini (doubtful).
Team Chances
Roma to win — 1.57; the fair odds are 1.64, implying a probability of 61.0%. The corresponding figures for the draw are 4.15, 4.33 and 23.1%, and for Torino to win 6.00, 6.27 and 16.0%: the market rates Roma's chances much more highly.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
Torino to win | 6.00 | 6.27 | 16.0% |
Draw | 4.15 | 4.33 | 23.1% |
Roma to win | 1.57 | 1.64 | 61.0% |
Total Goals Prediction
Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.75 versus 2.05 for Under 2.5, so more than three goals look slightly more likely. The situation is reversed at the 3.5 line: Under 3.5 is available at 1.37 and Over 3.5 at 2.85.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
3.5 | 1.37 | 2.85 |
Handicap Prediction
Roma -1.5 is available at 2.50, while Torino +1.5 is available at 1.50. At the -1 line, Roma -1 is 1.93, compared with 1.87 for Torino +1. The Draw No Bet market leans more strongly towards the visitors: Roma Draw No Bet is 1.20 versus 4.20 for Torino Draw No Bet.
Home | Handicap | Away |
— | -1.5 | 2.50 |
1.50 | 1.5 | — |
— | -1 | 1.93 |
1.87 | 1 | — |
4.20 | 0 | 1.20 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.80, while Both teams to score - No is 1.95. There is a slight edge for a scenario in which both teams score; the No option means that at least one of them will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.80 |
No | 1.95 |
Double Chance Prediction
X2 is the most likely double-chance outcome at 1.15. The 12 bet is 1.25 and 1X is 2.45, so the market rates the scenario without a Torino win much more highly.
1X | 12 | X2 |
2.45 | 1.25 | 1.15 |
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Torino — 0.5 goals, Roma — 1.5 goals.
Torino Team Total
Torino team total: Over 0.5 is available at 1.62 versus 2.25 for Under 0.5. At the 1 line, Under 1 is 1.48 and Over 1 is 2.55; at 1.5, Under 1.5 is 1.22 and Over 1.5 is 3.80. The odds favour one goal or fewer.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.25 | 0.5 | 1.62 |
1.48 | 1 | 2.55 |
1.22 | 1.5 | 3.80 |
Roma Team Total
Roma team total: Over 0.5 is available at 1.07 versus 6.20 for Under 0.5, while Over 1 is 1.17 versus 4.20 for Under 1. At the 1.5 line, Over 1.5 is 1.65 and Under 1.5 is 2.15; at the 2 line, Under 2 and Over 2 are available at 1.65 and 2.17 respectively. The market expects the visitors to score at least two goals rather than one or fewer.
Under | Team total | Over |
6.20 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
4.20 | 1 | 1.17 |
2.15 | 1.5 | 1.65 |
1.65 | 2 | 2.17 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Fabio Maresca (Italy)
Matches — 13 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 4.6;
Matches with red cards — 6 of 13;
Matches with penalties — 3 of 13.
