Odds overview
Troyes are narrow favourites in the 1X2 market: a home win is available at around 2.35, a draw at 3.50 and a Le Mans win at 3.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is shorter than Under 2.5 goals — 1.82 versus 1.98. For handicap (0), Troyes are quoted at 1.70, compared with 2.15 for Le Mans.
Why Troyes are favourites
Bookmakers favour Troyes over the visitors: a home win is available at 2.35, a draw at 3.50 and a Le Mans win at 3.00.
- The hosts have avoided major defensive lapses: Troyes' opponents have scored fewer than 3.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Their opponents have also struggled to win: Le Mans have failed to win 8 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- However, Troyes' home struggles considerably weaken their claim to favouritism: they have not won any of their last 10 home matches in Ligue 1.
Form and Line-up Troyes
Troyes drew 0:0 with Toulouse on 25 October 2026. Before that, they lost 1:3 at home to Lens on 17 October and 0:2 to Marseille on 11 October.
Renaud Ripart and Antoine Mille have scored for Troyes in the competition. Ripart has one goal in eight appearances, while Mille has one goal and one assist in eight league matches.
- Troyes have failed to win 8 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Troyes have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
Probable Troyes line-up: Hillel Konaté, Lucas Maronnier, Adrien Monfray, Michell Díaz, Paolo Gozzi, Antoine Mille, Karim Dermane, Mouhamed Diop, Jérémy Le Douaron, Renaud Ripart, Merwan Ifnaoui
Troyes' injury list includes defender Yasser Larouci (groin injury), midfielder Anis Ouzenadji (ankle injury) and Théo Eyoum.
Form and Line-up Le Mans
Le Mans drew 1:1 away to Auxerre on 25 October 2026. Before that, they lost 0:3 to Toulouse on 16 October and 1:3 to Paris Saint-Germain on 10 October.
The club's report on the Auxerre match lamented a missed opportunity: Louis Mafouta failed to convert a one-on-one chance in added time. But Mafouta remains a key figure in the club's attack — he has 4 goals and 1 assist in eight matches in the competition.
- More than 1.5 goals have been scored in each of Le Mans' last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Le Mans have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in each of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
Probable Le Mans line-up: Nicolas Kocik, Noa Bou, Samuel Yohou, Raúl Torrente, Lucas Bretelle, Alexandre Lauray, Jean Vercruysse, Lucas Calodat, Dame Gueye, Louis Mafouta, Habou Diallo
Le Mans list forward Adil Bourabaa, who has an ankle injury, and defender Harold Voyer as unavailable.
Teams' chances
A Troyes win has average odds of 2.35, with fair odds of 2.45 and a probability of 40.7%. A draw is offered at 3.50, with fair odds of 3.66 and a probability of 27.4%. A Le Mans win is quoted at 3.00, with fair odds of 3.13 and a probability of 31.9%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes to win | 2.35 | 2.45 | 40.7% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.66 | 27.4% |
| Le Mans to win | 3.00 | 3.13 | 31.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 1.98 and Over 2.5 at 1.82, making the over the slight favourite. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is considerably shorter at 1.40, compared with 2.75 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.98 | 1.82 |
| 3.5 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
Handicap prediction
Troyes (-1.5) are available at 4.40 and Le Mans (-1.5) at 5.00. Troyes (+1.5) are offered at 1.12, compared with 1.16 for Le Mans (+1.5). In the handicap market, Troyes (-1) are quoted at 3.60 and Le Mans (-1) at 4.30; for the +1 handicap, Troyes (+1) are 1.16 and Le Mans (+1) are 1.25. At handicap (0), Troyes are noticeably shorter at 1.70, compared with 2.15 for Le Mans.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.40 | -1.5 | 5.00 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 1.16 |
| 3.60 | -1 | 4.30 |
| 1.16 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.70 | 0 | 2.15 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.65, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is offered at 2.20.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.65 |
| No | 2.20 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
2/5
|
29/100
|
53/100
|
| 888sport |
9/25
|
3/10
|
13/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Troyes — 1.5 goals; Le Mans — 1 goal.
Troyes team total goals
For Troyes, Under 0.5 goals is quoted at 4.00 and Over 0.5 at 1.20. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is available at 2.70 versus 1.40 for Over 1. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is 1.68 and Over 1.5 is 2.12; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.25 and Over 2 is 3.50.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.00 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.70 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.68 | 1.5 | 2.12 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.50 |
Le Mans team total goals
For Le Mans, Under 0.5 goals is available at 3.30 and Over 0.5 at 1.30. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is quoted at 2.25 and Over 1 at 1.60. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is offered at 1.53 versus 2.40 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.25 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 1.53 | 1.5 | 2.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Azzedine Souifi (France)
Matches — 23 (Ligue 1 and Ligue 2, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 31;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.7;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 23;
Matches with a penalty — 7 of 23.
