Odds overview
Strasbourg are the favourites: the away win is 2.30 versus 3.10 for the home win, with the draw at 3.45. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.87 — slightly shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 1.93. In the main handicap market, Strasbourg Draw No Bet at 1.65 is considerably shorter than Troyes Draw No Bet at 2.20.
Why Strasbourg are favourites for the match
The bookmakers favour the visitors: a Strasbourg win is available at 2.30 (a 41.5% probability without margin), the draw is offered at 3.45, and a Troyes win is 3.10.
- Troyes have persistent difficulties creating danger in attack: they are bottom of Ligue 1 for shots on target, averaging just 2.0 per match.
- The hosts have not outscored their opponents in any of their last 10 home league matches.
Form and Line-up Troyes
At the start of the Ligue 1 season, Troyes have taken four points from two matches: after a 0:0 home draw, they changed gear and recorded a 2:1 away win, conceding just one goal across the two matches.
However, the hosts' attack remains rather restrained: Troyes have had fewer than 11.5 shot attempts per game in 10 consecutive matches.
Key numbers:
- In 8 of Troyes' last 10 away matches, they and their opponents scored at least three goals
- In 8 of their last 10 home matches, Troyes scored no more than one goal
- In 10 of their last 10 home matches, Troyes had no more than 13 shots, including blocked attempts
Probable Troyes line-up (4-1-2-3): Patrick Bech — Lucas Maronnier — Adrien-Mehdi Monfray — Michel Diaz — Anis Uzenadji — Mouhamed Diop — Ayrton Gomis — Hugo Picard — Mervan Ifnaoui — Renaud Ripart — Antoine Mille
Form and Line-up Strasbourg
Strasbourg have started the league season without drawing: after a heavy 0:4 away defeat, they beat their opponents 2:1 at home to take three points from two matches.
The visitors' matches remain open: Strasbourg are joint second in Ligue 1 for goals conceded (2.5 on average), while at least 10 shots on target have been recorded in 9 of their last 10 away matches.
Key numbers:
- At least three goals were scored in 9 of Strasbourg's last 10 matches
- In 10 of Strasbourg's last 10 away matches, their opponents had at least four shots on target
- At least 24 shots in total were recorded in 9 of Strasbourg's last 10 matches
Probable Strasbourg line-up (4-2-3-1): Filip Jorgensen — Genesis Antwi — Andrew Omobamidele — Hayland Mitchell — Lucas Hogsberg — Diogo Lobao Sousa — Pape Demba Diop — Gessime Yassine — Giovanni Reyna — Sebastian Nanasi — Jacobo Ortega
Team chances
The home win is 3.10, with fair odds of 3.25 and a 30.8% probability; the draw is 3.45, with fair odds of 3.61 and a 27.7% probability. The away win is 2.30, with fair odds of 2.41 and a 41.5% probability, confirming Strasbourg's status as favourites.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes win | 3.10 | 3.25 | 30.8% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.61 | 27.7% |
| Strasbourg win | 2.30 | 2.41 | 41.5% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.87 is slightly shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 1.93. At the 3.5 mark, Under 3.5 goals at 1.35 has a clear advantage over Over 3.5 goals at 2.90.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.93 | 1.87 |
| 3.5 | 1.35 | 2.90 |
Handicap prediction
For the -1.5 handicap, Strasbourg (-1.5) at 4.30 is shorter than Troyes (-1.5) at 5.20; at the 1.5 line, Strasbourg (+1.5) at 1.11 is shorter than Troyes (+1.5) at 1.16. For the -1 handicap, the odds are 4.50 for Troyes (-1) and 3.55 for Strasbourg (-1); for +1, they are 1.25 and 1.15 respectively. In the Draw No Bet market, Strasbourg are 1.65, shorter than Troyes at 2.20.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.20 | -1.5 | 4.30 |
| 1.16 | 1.5 | 1.11 |
| 4.50 | -1 | 3.55 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 1.15 |
| 2.20 | 0 | 1.65 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.70 is shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.10: the market slightly favours both teams scoring over a scenario in which at least one does not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.70 |
| No | 2.10 |
Double chance prediction
The shortest odds are for 12 — 1.35. X2 is offered at 1.40, while 1X is 1.65.
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.65 | 1.35 | 1.40 |
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Troyes — 1 goal, Strasbourg — 1.5 goals.
Troyes team total
Troyes team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.35 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 3.00; at the line of 1, Over 1 goal is 1.65 versus Under 1 goal at 2.15. At the 1.5 mark, Under 1.5 goals at 1.50 is shorter, while Over 1.5 goals is 2.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.00 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.15 | 1 | 1.65 |
| 1.50 | 1.5 | 2.50 |
Strasbourg team total
Strasbourg team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.20 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 3.95, while Over 1 goal at 1.42 is shorter than Under 1 goal at 2.65. At the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.65 is shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.15; at the mark of 2, Under 2 goals is 1.25 versus Over 2 goals at 3.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.95 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.65 | 1 | 1.42 |
| 1.65 | 1.5 | 2.15 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.55 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Guillaume Paradis (France)
Matches — 15 (Ligue 1, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.8;
Matches with red cards — 1 of 15;
Matches with penalties — 1 of 15.
