Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Udinese are favourites: a home win is available at 2.25, while the draw and an away win are priced at 3.30–3.35. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.70 is clearly favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.15. Udinese Draw No Bet at 1.60 is shorter than Cagliari Draw No Bet at 2.30.
Why Udinese are favourites
Bookmakers favour the home side: an Udinese win is available at 2.25, while a Cagliari win is quoted at 3.35 and the draw at 3.30.
- The hosts come into the match in 13th place, with four points from their first four fixtures and a goal difference of 8:10.
- Cagliari have shown they can pick up points away from home and have already beaten Atalanta 2:1, keeping the odds for a draw and an away win at similar levels.
Form and Line-up Udinese
In the previous round, Udinese lost 3:5 to Inter after leading 2:0 after 16 minutes but then conceding five goals in a row. The Friulians had five calendar days to prepare for the new match.
The hosts have made an open start to the season: with 4.5 goals per match, they share second place in the league for average match scoring.
- No more than three goals in total have been scored in Udinese's last 10 Serie A home matches.
- Udinese have scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 Serie A home matches.
- Udinese's opponents have scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 Serie A home matches.
Probable Udinese line-up (3-4-2-1): Maduka Okoye, James Abankwah, Christian Kabasele, Enzo Ebosse, Mergim Vojvoda, Jesper Karlstrom, Lennon Miller, Hassane Kamara, Unai Gomez, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, Keinan Davis.
Form and Line-up Cagliari
The visitors' head coach, Fabio Pisacane, has built a model around compactness and discipline without the ball.
This approach is directly reflected in the figures: with 1.5 goals per game, Cagliari rank last in Serie A for match scoring.
- No more than three goals have been recorded in 9 of Cagliari's last 10 Serie A away matches.
- Cagliari have taken no more than five corners in 9 of their last 10 Serie A away matches.
- Cagliari's opponents have received no more than two yellow cards in their last 10 Serie A away matches.
Probable Cagliari line-up (4-3-2-1): Elia Caprile, Ze Pedro, Alessandro Deiola, Jose Luis Rodriguez, Adam Obert, Alessandro Romano, Harry Winks, Jacopo Fazzini, Michel Adopo, Daniel Maldini, Patrick Mendy.
Ze Pedro and Daniel Maldini are ready to play, while Yerry Mina has returned to the squad.
Team chances
A home win at 2.25 corresponds to a no-margin probability of 42.5% and fair odds of 2.35. The draw at 3.30 is assessed at 29% with fair odds of 3.45, while an away win at 3.35 is assessed at 28.5% and 3.50 respectively; Udinese have a slight edge.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese win | 2.25 | 2.35 | 42.5% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.45 | 29.0% |
| Cagliari win | 3.35 | 3.50 | 28.5% |
Total Goals Prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.70, compared with 2.15 for Over 2.5 goals, highlighting the lower-scoring option. On the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 2.20 is longer than Over 2 goals at 1.63. For 3.5, Under 3.5 goals at 1.22 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 goals at 3.85.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.70 | 2.15 |
| 2 | 2.20 | 1.63 |
| 3.5 | 1.22 | 3.85 |
Handicap Prediction
Udinese (-1.5) at 4.40 is shorter than Cagliari (-1.5) at 7.00. On the 1.5-goal handicap, the odds are close: Udinese (+1.5) — 1.05, Cagliari (+1.5) — 1.16. Udinese (-1) at 3.55 is favoured over Cagliari (-1) at 6.10, while Udinese (+1) at 1.08 is shorter than Cagliari (+1) at 1.25. In the Draw No Bet market, Udinese at 1.60 is clearly shorter than Cagliari at 2.30.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.40 | -1.5 | 7.00 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.16 |
| 3.55 | -1 | 6.10 |
| 1.08 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.60 | 0 | 2.30 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
The odds are almost identical: Both teams to score - No at 1.85 is slightly shorter than Both teams to score - Yes at 1.90. This marginally favours a scenario in which at least one team does not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.90 |
| No | 1.85 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
33/100
|
33/100
|
31/50
|
| 888sport |
3/10
|
33/100
|
67/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Udinese — 1 goal, Cagliari — 1 goal.
Udinese Team Total
Udinese team total: Under 0.5 goals at 3.40 is longer than Over 0.5 goals at 1.27; on the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is 2.25 compared with 1.60 for Over 1 goal. For 1.5, Under 1.5 goals at 1.55 is shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.40, indicating different expectations depending on the line.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.40 | 0.5 | 1.27 |
| 2.25 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 1.55 | 1.5 | 2.40 |
Cagliari Team Total
Cagliari team total: Under 0.5 goals at 2.60 is longer than Over 0.5 goals at 1.45. On the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal at 1.73 is shorter than Over 1 goal at 2.05, while for 1.5, Under 1.5 goals at 1.30 is clearly favoured over Over 1.5 goals at 3.20.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.73 | 1 | 2.05 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.20 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Gianluca Manganiello (Italy)
Matches – 11 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match – 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.1;
Matches with red cards – 0 out of 11;
Matches with penalties – 1 out of 11.
