Odds overview
AC Milan are clear favourites: they are available at 1.70 to win, while a draw is offered at 3.90 and a Udinese Calcio win at 5.00. In the main goals market, Over 2.5 at 1.88 is slightly shorter than Under 2.5 at 1.92. For handicaps, AC Milan (-1.5) at 2.75 is considerably longer than Udinese Calcio (+1.5) at 1.40, AC Milan (-1) at 2.20 is longer than Udinese Calcio (+1) at 1.67, and AC Milan (0) is 1.25 against 3.45 for Udinese Calcio (0).
Why AC Milan are favourites
Bookmakers offer 1.70 for an AC Milan win, 3.90 for a draw and 5.00 for a Udinese Calcio win.
- AC Milan go into this round unbeaten in the league: they have taken 15 points from seven matches and sit fourth in the table.
- Udinese Calcio enter the match on a losing run: they fell to Cagliari Calcio (0:1) and Torino (1:2), then suffered a heavy home defeat to Lecce (0:3).
Form and Line-up Udinese Calcio
The team have persistent defensive problems: Udinese Calcio concede 2.2 expected goals to opponents per game in Serie A. They score an average of 1.29 goals per match and win 3.86 corners.
- Under 3.5 goals have been scored in Udinese Calcio's last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- At least one goal has been scored in the second half of all 7 Udinese Calcio matches in the 2026/27 Serie A season.
- The two teams have combined for over 23.5 shots in 9 of Udinese Calcio's last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable Udinese Calcio line-up (3-4-2-1): Maduka Okoye, Oumar Solet, Matteo Palma, Enzo Ebosse, Mergim Vojvoda, Jesper Karlström, Oier Zarraga, Hassane Kamara, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Keinan Davis.
David Alaba will not play because of a calf injury.
Form and Line-up AC Milan
AC Milan have played two very different Serie A matches — beating Atalanta 3:2 and drawing 1:1 with Sassuolo. Their UEFA Europa League trip to Bournemouth ended in a 0:3 defeat, although Mike Maignan's sending-off had a significant impact on the game.
AC Milan's opponents average just 3.57 shots on target per game, the third-lowest figure in the league. Milan themselves win few corners — an average of 3 per match, the lowest figure in the competition.
- Under 3.5 goals have been scored in 9 of AC Milan's last 10 away matches in Serie A.
- Under 8.5 corners have been taken in all 7 of AC Milan's Serie A matches in the 2026/27 season.
- At least one second-half goal has been scored in all 7 of AC Milan's Serie A matches this season.
Probable AC Milan line-up (4-4-1-1): Mike Maignan, Fikayo Tomori, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlović, Pervis Estupiñán, Diego Moreira, Yunus Musah, Ardon Jashari, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Omari Hutchinson, Alphadjo Cissè.
Each team's chances
An AC Milan win is offered at 1.70, with fair odds of 1.78 and an implied probability of 56.3%. The corresponding figures are 3.90, 4.07 and 24.5% for a draw, and 5.00, 5.22 and 19.1% for a Udinese Calcio win.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Implied probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese Calcio to win | 5.00 | 5.22 | 19.1% |
| Draw | 3.90 | 4.07 | 24.5% |
| AC Milan to win | 1.70 | 1.78 | 56.3% |
Total goals betting
In the 2.5-goal market, Over 2.5 is offered at 1.88 against 1.92 for Under 2.5, showing a nearly even assessment with a slight preference for over. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 at 1.35 is a much stronger favourite than Over 3.5 at 2.95.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.92 | 1.88 |
| 3.5 | 1.35 | 2.95 |
Handicap betting
AC Milan (-1.5) are offered at 2.75, while Udinese Calcio (+1.5) are at 1.40. At the 1-goal handicap line, Udinese Calcio (+1) are at 1.67 against 2.20 for AC Milan (-1). With a handicap of 0, AC Milan (0) at 1.25 are much stronger favourites than Udinese Calcio (0) at 3.45.
| Home team | Handicap | Away team |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.75 | |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 2.20 | |
| 1.67 | 1 | |
| 3.45 | 0 | 1.25 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.83, slightly shorter than Both teams to score — No at 1.91; the market leans slightly towards both teams scoring.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.83 |
| No | 1.91 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
23/20
|
29/100
|
7/50
|
| 888sport |
11/10
|
1/4
|
9/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team goals lines for this match: 0.5 goals for Udinese Calcio and 1.5 goals for AC Milan.
Udinese Calcio team goals
For Udinese Calcio's team goals, Over 0.5 is available at 1.57 against 2.30 for Under 0.5. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 1.55 is favoured over Over 1 at 2.40, while at 1.5 goals Under 1.5 is 1.25 against 3.50 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 0.5 | 1.57 |
| 1.55 | 1 | 2.40 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.50 |
AC Milan team goals
For AC Milan's team goals, Over 0.5 is offered at 1.12 against 5.00 for Under 0.5, while Over 1 is 1.25 against 3.65 for Under 1. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 at 1.80 is slightly shorter than Under 1.5 at 1.95; at 2 goals, Under 2 is 1.48 and Over 2 is 2.55.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.00 | 0.5 | 1.12 |
| 3.65 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.95 | 1.5 | 1.80 |
| 1.48 | 2 | 2.55 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)
Matches — 15 (Serie A, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4;
Matches with a red card — 1 out of 15;
Matches with a penalty — 2 out of 15.
