Odds overview
Inter Milan are clear favourites: an Inter Milan win is available at 1.35, compared with 5.70 for a draw and 7.90 for a Venezia win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.35 is a much stronger favourite than Under 2.5 goals at 2.95. For the handicap, the odds of 1.47 on Inter Milan (-1) are considerably shorter than the 2.60 on Venezia (+1).
Why Inter Milan are favourites
The bookmakers strongly favour Inter Milan: an away win is offered at 1.35, compared with 5.70 for a draw and 7.90 for a Venezia win.
• Inter lead the league for goals scored, averaging 3 per match.
• Venezia's defensive problems are reflected in the numbers: they concede an average of 2.29 goals per game.
Form and Line-up Venezia
Venezia lost 0:1 to Genoa in the previous round. They tried to step up their game and increase the pressure in the second half, with Yeboah and Adams creating dangerous chances, but could not beat the goalkeeper.
Their modest attacking figures make it difficult for the hosts to pick up points regularly: they average just 0.86 goals per game, while Venezia's opponents have registered more than 3.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- No more than three goals were scored in 8 of Venezia's last 10 home matches in Serie A.
- The teams registered more than 7.5 shots on target in 8 of Venezia's last 10 Serie A matches.
- Venezia committed fewer than 11.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable line-up (3-5-2): Filip Stankovic, Redouane Halhal, Matias Moreno, Juan Jesus, Antoine Hainaut, Kike Perez, Simon Sohm, Toma Basic, Ridgeciano Haps, Akor Adams, John Yeboah
Form and Line-up Inter Milan
Inter come into the match after beating Fiorentina 2:1, scoring both their goals in stoppage time. A packed October schedule of nine matches in 29 days means the coaching staff must manage workloads carefully.
Away from home, Inter regularly force opponents into mistakes when playing out from the back: their opponents were caught offside more than 1.5 times in 8 of Inter's last 10 away matches in Serie A.
- Inter registered more than 4.5 shots on target in all 10 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- Fewer than 10.5 corners were taken in 8 of Inter's last 10 away matches in Serie A.
- More than 2.5 goals were scored in 8 of Inter's last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable line-up (3-5-2): Ivan Provedel, Yann Bisseck, Manuel Akanji, Alessandro Bastoni, Andy Diouf, Nicolo Barella, Hakan Calhanoglu, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Carlos Augusto, Francesco Pio Esposito, Marcus Thuram
Teams' chances
A Venezia win is offered at 7.90, with fair odds of 8.24 and a probability of 12.1%. A draw is available at 5.70, with fair odds of 5.94 and a probability of 16.8%. An Inter Milan win is offered at 1.35, with fair odds of 1.41 and a probability of 71.0%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia win | 7.90 | 8.24 | 12.1% |
| Draw | 5.70 | 5.94 | 16.8% |
| Inter Milan win | 1.35 | 1.41 | 71.0% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.95 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.35, making the over the favoured option. At 3.5 goals, the odds are almost level: Under 3.5 goals is 1.92 and Over 3.5 goals is 1.88.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.95 | 1.35 |
| 3.5 | 1.92 | 1.88 |
Handicap betting
Inter Milan (-1.5) are offered at 1.85 and Venezia (+1.5) at 1.95. Inter Milan (-1) are available at 1.47, compared with 2.60 for Venezia (+1). With a zero handicap, Inter Milan (0) are at 1.10 and Venezia (0) at 5.40.
| Home team | Handicap | Away team |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1.85 | |
| 1.95 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.47 | |
| 2.60 | 1 | |
| 5.40 | 0 | 1.10 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.60, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is at 2.25.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.60 |
| No | 2.25 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
2/1
|
17/100
|
2/25
|
| 888sport |
23/10
|
7/50
|
2/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals betting
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Venezia — 1 goal; Inter Milan — 2.5 goals.
Venezia team goals
For Venezia's team goals, Under 0.5 is available at 2.40 and Over 0.5 at 1.55. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 1.55 and Over 1 is 2.35; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is 1.25 and Over 1.5 is 3.55.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.55 | 1 | 2.35 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.55 |
Inter Milan team goals
For Inter Milan's team goals, Under 2 is offered at 2.60 and Over 2 at 1.47. The odds are close at the 2.5-goal line: Under 2.5 is 1.85 and Over 2.5 is 1.90. At 3 goals, Under 3 is 1.50 and Over 3 is 2.50.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 2 | 1.47 |
| 1.85 | 2.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.50 | 3 | 2.50 |
