Odds overview
Lazio are favourites: the away win is available at 1.98, while the home win and draw are offered at 3.75 and 3.60. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.80 is shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.02, indicating a slight expectation of a high-scoring game. In the handicap market, the away side Draw No Bet at 1.48 is clearly preferred to the home side Draw No Bet at 2.65.
Why Lazio are favourites
The bookmakers' odds favour the visitors: a Lazio win is available at 1.98, a Venezia win at 3.75 and the draw at 3.60.
- Lazio have made a convincing start to their away campaign, beating Udinese 2:1 and Bologna 1:0.
- Venezia have often lost at home at the start of the competition, suffering 0:2 defeats to Lecce and 2:4 defeats to Fiorentina.
Form and Line-up Venezia
Venezia have significant defensive problems: they lost to Milan (0:2) and Frosinone (2:3). Since the start of the season, Venezia have conceded an average of 2.75 goals per game.
Venezia are bottom for opponents' expected goals conceded (xG 2.54).
- Venezia have not won 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- Venezia's opponents have scored at least twice in 8 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- Venezia's opponents have registered at least 4 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable Venezia line-up (3-5-2): Filip Stankovic, Joel Schingtienne, Mathias Moreno, Juan Jesus, Antoine Hainaut, Simon Sohm, Thorir Helgason, Kike Perez, Thierry Rendall Correia, John Yeboah, Akor Adams.
Gianluca Busio, Marin Sverko, Bartol Franjic, Andrea Adorante and Armel Bella-Kotchap will not play for Venezia.
Form and Line-up Lazio
Lazio have defended reliably at the start of the campaign, conceding an average of just 0.75 goals per match. Lazio drew 2:2 with Milan at home, continuing to pick up points consistently.
Lazio earned a 1:0 clean-sheet win against Genoa. The average total number of fouls in Lazio matches is 28 — the second-highest figure in the league.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 9 of Lazio's last 10 Serie A away matches.
- Lazio have attempted fewer than 14 shots in 8 of their last 10 Serie A away matches.
- Both teams have combined for at least 8 shots on target in 8 of Lazio's last 10 Serie A away matches.
Probable Lazio line-up (4-3-3): Christos Mandas, Romano Floriani Mussolini, Josip Sutalo, Oliver Provstgaard, Nuno Tavares, Davide Frattesi, Reda Belahyane, Kenneth Taylor, Matteo Cancellieri, Tijjani Noslin, Mattia Zaccagni.
Adam Marusic and Nicolo Rovella are unavailable for Lazio, while Fisayo Dele-Bashiru is doubtful.
Team chances
The average odds are 3.75 for a home win, 3.60 for the draw and 1.98 for an away win. The fair-odds assessment gives Venezia a 25.4% chance at fair odds of 3.94, the draw 26.5% at 3.78, and Lazio 48.1% at 2.08: the visitors remain the most likely outcome.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia to win | 3.75 | 3.94 | 25.4% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.78 | 26.5% |
| Lazio to win | 1.98 | 2.08 | 48.1% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 at 1.80 is preferred to Under 2.5 at 2.02. At the 3.5 line, by contrast, Under 3.5 at 1.40 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 at 2.75, limiting expectations of a very high-scoring match.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.02 | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 handicap, the away side (-1.5) at 3.35 is shorter than the home side (-1.5) at 6.60. At the 1.5 line, the away side (+1.5) is shorter at 1.06 than the home side (+1.5) at 1.28. At the -1 handicap, the away side (-1) at 2.65 is also preferred to the home side (-1) at 5.90, while at the 1 line the away side (+1) is 1.08 versus 1.42 for the home side (+1). In the Draw No Bet market, the away side at 1.48 is clearly shorter than the home side at 2.65.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.60 | -1.5 | 3.35 |
| 1.28 | 1.5 | 1.06 |
| 5.90 | -1 | 2.65 |
| 1.42 | 1 | 1.08 |
| 2.65 | 0 | 1.48 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.70, while Both teams to score - No is available at 2.10. The shorter odds on Yes suggest that both teams scoring is considered more likely; No means that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.70 |
| No | 2.10 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team totals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Venezia — 1 goal; Lazio — 1.5 goals.
Venezia team total
Venezia team total: Over 0.5 at 1.40 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.70. At the 1 line, the odds are almost identical: Over 1 is 1.85 and Under 1 is 1.90. At the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 at 1.40 is preferred to Over 1.5 at 2.70.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.90 | 1 | 1.85 |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | 2.70 |
Lazio team total
Lazio team total: Over 0.5 at 1.16 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 4.40, while Over 1 at 1.30 is shorter than Under 1 at 3.15. At the 1.5 line, the odds are close: Under 1.5 is 1.83 and Over 1.5 is 1.92. At the 2 line, Under 2 at 1.38 is clearly shorter than Over 2 at 2.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.40 | 0.5 | 1.16 |
| 3.15 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.83 | 1.5 | 1.92 |
| 1.38 | 2 | 2.80 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Simone Sozza (Italy)
Matches — 18 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.7;
Matches with red cards — 3 out of 18;
Matches with penalties — 8 out of 18.
