Odds overview
Napoli are clear favourites: an away win is available at 1.70, compared with 4.70 for a Venezia win and 4.10 for a draw. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is offered at 1.70 against 2.15 for Under 2.5 goals. In the handicap market, Napoli (0) are much shorter at 1.28 than Venezia (0) at 3.30.
Why Napoli are favourites
Napoli go into the match as favourites: bookmakers offer 1.70 for an away win, compared with 4.70 for a Venezia win and 4.10 for a draw.
• The hosts are highly vulnerable in defence: Venezia concede an average of 2.67 goals per match — the highest figure in Serie A.
• Venezia are the only Serie A club yet to pick up a point.
• Napoli are the reigning runners-up in Italy.
Form and Line-up Venezia
Venezia lost their latest league matches to Lazio (0:2) and Atalanta (1:3). Following the poor start, the club officially announced the dismissal of head coach Giovanni Stroppa on 13 October. Davide Nicola was appointed in his place. Last season, he made a strong start in Serie A with Cremonese, failing to take points only once in the first nine rounds.
Ahead of this round, Venezia's opponents have an xGA figure of 2.55 — the second-lowest among 20 clubs.
- Venezia have failed to win 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- At least two goals have been scored in all six of Venezia's Serie A matches in the 2026/27 season.
- Venezia's opponents have registered more than 3.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable Venezia line-up (3-5-2): Filip Stankovic, Kike Pérez, Juan Jesus, Redouane Halhal, Richie Sagrado, Antoine Hainaut, Simon Sohm, Toma Bašić, Matías Moreno, John Yeboah, Akor Adams
Unavailable: Thierry Correia, Andrea Adorante, Bartol Franjic, Gianluca Busio (injured)
Form and Line-up Napoli
Napoli comfortably beat Frosinone Calcio (3:0) in the Italian league but then lost to Villarreal (1:3) away in the UEFA Champions League in midweek. Nobody was injured in the European match, but five players are on Napoli's injury list, including Italy defender Alessandro Buongiorno. Massimiliano Allegri's side are eighth in Serie A.
- Napoli have not lost the offside count in their last 10 away Serie A matches.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in five of Napoli's six Serie A matches in the 2026/27 season.
- Napoli have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in their last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable Napoli line-up (3-4-2-1):Alex Meret, Rafael Marín, Amir Rrahmani, Benoît Badiashile, Matteo Politano, Billy Gilmour, Scott McTominay, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Giovane, Kevin De Bruyne, Rasmus Højlund
Unavailable: Alessandro Buongiorno, Mathías Olivera, Antonio Vergara, Alisson Santos, Costantino Favasuli
The teams' chances
A Napoli win is quoted at 1.70, with fair odds of 1.78 and an implied probability of 56.3%. For the draw, the figures are 4.10, fair odds of 4.28 and 23.3%; for a Venezia win, they are 4.70, 4.91 and 20.4%, respectively.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia win | 4.70 | 4.91 | 20.4% |
| Draw | 4.10 | 4.28 | 23.3% |
| Napoli win | 1.70 | 1.78 | 56.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.15. At the 3.5-goal line, by contrast, Under 3.5 goals has shorter odds of 1.47, while Over 3.5 goals is offered at 2.60.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.15 | 1.70 |
| 3.5 | 1.47 | 2.60 |
Handicap prediction
Venezia (-1.5) are offered at 8.50 and Napoli (-1.5) at 2.70. At the 1.5 handicap line, the odds are 1.43 for Venezia (+1.5) and 1.04 for Napoli (+1.5); at the -1 line, they are 7.10 and 2.15 respectively. Venezia (+1) are available at 1.70 against 1.05 for Napoli (+1), while Venezia (0) are 3.30 against 1.28 for Napoli (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.50 | -1.5 | 2.70 |
| 1.43 | 1.5 | 1.04 |
| 7.10 | -1 | 2.15 |
| 1.70 | 1 | 1.05 |
| 3.30 | 0 | 1.28 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.65, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is 2.15.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.65 |
| No | 2.15 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/10
|
11/50
|
9/50
|
| 888sport |
23/20
|
11/50
|
9/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal lines: 1 goal for Venezia and 1.5 goals for Napoli.
Venezia team goals
Venezia team goals: Over 0.5 goals is quoted at 1.45 against 2.60 for Under 0.5 goals. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is 1.70 and Over 1 goal is 2.07; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals is 1.32 and Over 1.5 goals is 3.10.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.70 | 1 | 2.07 |
| 1.32 | 1.5 | 3.10 |
Napoli team goals
Napoli team goals: Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.09 against 5.70 for Under 0.5 goals, while Over 1 goal is 1.20 against 4.30 for Under 1 goal. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is 2.10 and Over 1.5 goals is 1.70; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is 1.60 and Over 2 goals is 2.25.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.70 | 0.5 | 1.09 |
| 4.30 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 2.10 | 1.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.60 | 2 | 2.25 |
