Odds overview
Napoli are clear favourites: a Napoli win is available at 1.70, compared with 4.70 for Venezia and 4.10 for a draw. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is offered at 1.70 and Under 2.5 goals at 2.15. In the handicap markets, Napoli (0) at 1.28 have considerably shorter odds than Venezia (0) at 3.30.
Why Napoli are favourites
Napoli go into the match as favourites: bookmakers offer 1.70 for an away win, compared with 4.70 for a Venezia win and 4.10 for a draw.
• The hosts are highly vulnerable defensively: Venezia concede an average of 2.67 goals per match — the highest figure in Serie A.
• Venezia are the only Serie A club yet to pick up a point.
• Napoli are the reigning runners-up in Italy.
Form and Line-up Venezia
Venezia lost their most recent league matches to Lazio (0:2) and Atalanta (1:3). Following their poor start, the club officially announced the dismissal of head coach Giovanni Stroppa on 13 October. Davide Nicola was appointed in his place; last season, he made a strong start in Serie A with Cremonese, failing to take points only once in the first nine rounds.
Ahead of this round, the xGA figure for Venezia's opponents stands at 2.55 — the second lowest among 20 clubs.
- Venezia have failed to win 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- At least two goals have been scored in all six of Venezia's Serie A matches in 2026/27.
- Venezia's opponents have had more than 3.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable Venezia line-up (3-5-2): Filip Stankovic, Kike Pérez, Juan Jesus, Redouane Halhal, Richie Sagrado, Antoine Hainaut, Simon Sohm, Toma Bašić, Matías Moreno, John Yeboah, Akor Adams
Unavailable: Thierry Correia, Andrea Adorante, Bartol Franjic, Gianluca Busio (injured)
Form and Line-up Napoli
In the Italian league, Napoli convincingly beat Frosinone Calcio (3:0), but then lost away to Villarreal (1:3) in the UEFA Champions League in midweek. No one was injured in the European match, but five players remain sidelined for the Azzurri, including Italy defender Alessandro Buongiorno. Massimiliano Allegri's side sit eighth in Serie A.
- Napoli have not lost the offside count in their last 10 away Serie A matches.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in five of Napoli's six Serie A matches in 2026/27.
- Napoli have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in their last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable Napoli line-up (3-4-2-1): Alex Meret, Rafael Marín, Amir Rrahmani, Benoît Badiashile, Matteo Politano, Billy Gilmour, Scott McTominay, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Giovane, Kevin De Bruyne, Rasmus Højlund
Unavailable: Alessandro Buongiorno, Mathías Olivera, Antonio Vergara, Alisson Santos, Costantino Favasuli (unavailable)
The teams' chances
A Napoli win is quoted at 1.70, with fair odds of 1.78 and a 56.3% probability. For a draw, the figures are 4.10, fair odds of 4.28 and 23.3%; for a Venezia win, they are 4.70, 4.91 and 20.4%, respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia win | 4.70 | 4.91 | 20.4% |
| Draw | 4.10 | 4.28 | 23.3% |
| Napoli win | 1.70 | 1.78 | 56.3% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.15. At the 3.5-goal line, by contrast, Under 3.5 goals has shorter odds of 1.47, while Over 3.5 goals is available at 2.60.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.15 | 1.70 |
| 3.5 | 1.47 | 2.60 |
Handicap betting
Venezia (-1.5) are available at 8.50 and Napoli (-1.5) at 2.70. At the 1.5-goal handicap line, Venezia (+1.5) are at 1.43 and Napoli (+1.5) at 1.04; at the -1 line, the respective odds are 7.10 and 2.15. Venezia (+1) are available at 1.70, compared with 1.05 for Napoli (+1), while Venezia (0) are at 3.30, compared with 1.28 for Napoli (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.50 | -1.5 | 2.70 |
| 1.43 | 1.5 | 1.04 |
| 7.10 | -1 | 2.15 |
| 1.70 | 1 | 1.05 |
| 3.30 | 0 | 1.28 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.65, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is at 2.15.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.65 |
| No | 2.15 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Venezia — 1 goal; Napoli — 1.5 goals.
Venezia team total goals
Venezia team total goals: Over 0.5 goals is quoted at 1.45, compared with 2.60 for Under 0.5 goals. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is at 1.70 and Over 1 goal at 2.07; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is at 1.32 and Over 1.5 goals at 3.10.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.70 | 1 | 2.07 |
| 1.32 | 1.5 | 3.10 |
Napoli team total goals
Napoli team total goals: Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.09, compared with 5.70 for Under 0.5 goals; Over 1 goal is at 1.20, compared with 4.30 for Under 1 goal. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is at 2.10 and Over 1.5 goals at 1.70; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is at 1.60 and Over 2 goals at 2.25.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.70 | 0.5 | 1.09 |
| 4.30 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 2.10 | 1.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.60 | 2 | 2.25 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
Matches — 13 (Serie A, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.5;
Matches with a red card — 0 of 13;
Matches with a penalty — 3 of 13.
